Four weeks gone in the Super 14 and it’s time to reveal exactly how well we’re doing with our predictions…
Now, we’re all armchair critics here; amateurs who love the game and spend a fair amount of time time watching it, reading about it, discussing it and in the case of those who contribute to the site, writing about it. It takes a fair amount of guts to put your opinion out there, for the world to see and pick apart at their leisure… what’s more, it makes us pretty easy targets when it comes to our predictions: especially those we get wrong!
So, not content with putting up at least two weekly threads where we give our opinions and put our, erm, “tackle” on the proverbial block, we’ll also do a number of post mortems to name and shame those of use who are not living up to our self-styled “expert” billing. As an example, next time our favourite desert-based referee starts mouthing off about how the Sharks have the wrong player at inside centre, we can gently remind him that he should rather focus on improving his rather paltry 71% success rate and leave team selection to the real experts!
We are very fortunate to have our runaway SuperBru pool leader, Ghost10, writing a weekly prediction thread for us and the wisdom of following his advice can not be clearer than this: Ghostie has picked an incredible 25 out of 28 results correctly so far this season. That’s a success rate of 89.29%. Something that Kandas mentioned in a comment yesterday is so valid here… if you’re picking 9 out of 10 winners correctly, bonus points don’t really matter so much anymore.
Regular contributor HellBent is not playing in the SuperBru pool, but does submit weekly predictions which we include in our prediction thread. His return thus far is an impressive 23 from 28, or 82.14%, exactly the same number as I have managed (along with Kandas). HB has so far predicted all 7 matches correctly in two of the four rounds played.
MorneN and KSA Shark are a few places further back, both having picked 20 results correctly, for a 71.43% success rate. If anything, this proves that those who study the game most intimately are often less able to pick the correct result, although we won’t let this stop us from having a good old dig when the opportunity arises!
Bringing up the rear (so to speak) are our Cape Town friends, Sauce and provincejoulekkading with 57% and 53% respectively, so a fair amount of raising of games is definitely in order. Certainly in Claytie’s case, we would encourage drinking less on Thursday, which might help with getting his picks in on time! Just remember that no criticism will be allowed from those contributors who, to date, have not put forward any predictions at all. You all know who you are!
By the way, just because it’s always good to have an external yardstick, I took the liberty of compiling a tally for our friends over at www.keo.co.za. Bear in mind that these tipsters are paid rugby scribes, so one would assume they should know what they’re talking about (well, certainly anyone who’s never actually read that rubbish). The professionals have amassed a woeful 19 correct predictions out of 28 – that’s only 67.68%.
We’ll take another checkpoint after round 8. Keep tipping all!Tweet