KSA Shark ©

Just one side certain in exciting playoffs chase


Written by Andre Bosch (KSA Shark ©)

Posted in :In the news, Super 14 on 4 May 2008 at 13:18

One week closer to the playoffs and the only thing that became clearer over the weekend is that the Blues are the longest shot of the seven teams still in contention.

Gregor Paul writes in the Herald on Sunday that the Crusaders are in, the Waratahs will be close enough to smell the top four if they won overnight in Pretoria and the Stormers will be in great shape if they did the business in Cape Town this morning.

The Chiefs are the other contenders with their destiny in their own hands. If they can pick up five points in Johannesburg this week the gambling fraternity will be tempted to stick the big bucks on the top four, featuring the Crusaders, Stormers, Waratahs and Chiefs.

Tempted but not entirely convinced because the Sharks, Blues and Hurricanes are all still alive, making this one of the most exciting run-ins of recent years.

With viewer interest on the wane, TV bosses will be loving the fact that with two rounds left, only one team is certain of a knockout place, with six others chasing the other three berths.

Fate has also intervened on behalf of the competition organisers as the schedule has thrown up some intriguing clashes in the final round, meaning there will be six teams with everything to play for in the final round-robin fixtures.

Even at this stage, there are too many permutations to get your head around.

One of the key points to absorb is that the Hurricanes, after taking five points against the Lions, are the best placed wild card.

They face the Force this Friday in Wellington and could come to Eden Park in the final round already on 41 points.

That’s the maximum total the Blues can reach if they defeat the Highlanders in Dunedin this week scoring four tries and then do the same against the Hurricanes.

If the Blues and Hurricanes are tied on 41 points it will come down to points differential – with the men from the capital’s differential sitting at 97 compared with the Blues on 60.

But if the Hurricanes can win in Auckland they could get to 45 or 46 points and that will make them hard to oust from the mix.

The Sharks could get to 42 points if they pick up maximums against the Cheetahs and Chiefs. If they do, that would restrict the potential maximum of the Chiefs and then everything gets too hard to piece together



22 Comments

  • The Sharks could get to 42 points if they pick up maximums against the Cheetahs and Chiefs. If they do, that would restrict the potential maximum of the Chiefs and then everything gets too hard to piece together

    My senitments exactly. :oops: So many permutations at the moment it is just frikken stupid

  • Comment 1, posted at 04.05.08 13:19:51 by KSA Shark © (FJ!ELN!) Reply
    KSA Shark ©Head Coach
     
  • Even if the Sharks take max points in their next two matches, they still need teams currently in position 2-4 to lose.

    Stormers v Tahs next week , so that’s a definite loss for one. Tahs 5 points ahead and Stormers 3 points ahead.

    Canes play Force at home & Force are pretty much out of it. Not sure that even if they still had a realistic chance of making the semi’s they can beat the Canes away.

    And lets not forget about the Chiefs. Definite win against the Lions. And for the Sharks to max points we have to say a loss against the Sharks.

  • Comment 2, posted at 04.05.08 13:37:30 by racheltjiedebeer Reply
    McLovinAssistant coach
     
  • So where does that leave us? Goodness knows, I’ve given myself a headache..

  • Comment 3, posted at 04.05.08 13:38:11 by racheltjiedebeer Reply
    McLovinAssistant coach
     
  • Saders are home and hosed. Even if tahs lose to the Stormers, they should end up on at least 42 points. And they are likely to gain bonus point against Reds.

    If Stormers win both their matches it leaves them on 43 points minimum.

    Canes should beat Force and probably Blues. That’s 44 points at least.

  • Comment 4, posted at 04.05.08 13:42:48 by racheltjiedebeer Reply
    McLovinAssistant coach
     
  • So it seems the Sharks need the Stormers and/or Canes to lose.

  • Comment 5, posted at 04.05.08 13:44:15 by racheltjiedebeer Reply
    McLovinAssistant coach
     
  • Canes could still reach 42 points even if the lose a match.

  • Comment 6, posted at 04.05.08 13:44:53 by racheltjiedebeer Reply
    McLovinAssistant coach
     
  • I need to lie down. :???:

  • Comment 7, posted at 04.05.08 13:45:38 by racheltjiedebeer Reply
    McLovinAssistant coach
     
  • #3 :lol:

    #7 :mrgreen:

  • Comment 8, posted at 04.05.08 14:05:12 by KSA Shark © (FJ!ELN!) Reply
    KSA Shark ©Head Coach
     
  • Sharks are screwed, seems to be the consensus

  • Comment 9, posted at 04.05.08 14:33:45 by robdylan (Sharks Forever!) Reply
    Competition Winner Administrator
    robdylanHead Coach
     
  • I don’t even want to do the ‘worst case scenario’ calcs. Cause we all now what that would mean. Not 1 SA team in the semi’s. :shock: :evil: :sad: :cry: :!:

  • Comment 10, posted at 04.05.08 14:37:57 by racheltjiedebeer Reply

    McLovinAssistant coach
     
  • Seems to ME to be confusing. :wink:

  • Comment 11, posted at 04.05.08 14:38:07 by KSA Shark © (FJ!ELN!) Reply

    KSA Shark ©Head Coach
     
  • Still a bit in denial, but I fear 42 points simply won’t be enough. But hope springs eternal… :roll:

  • Comment 12, posted at 04.05.08 14:39:27 by racheltjiedebeer Reply

    McLovinAssistant coach
     
  • now = know

  • Comment 13, posted at 04.05.08 14:42:30 by racheltjiedebeer Reply

    McLovinAssistant coach
     
  • We’re more likely to end on 40 or 41

  • Comment 14, posted at 04.05.08 14:43:16 by robdylan (Sharks Forever!) Reply
    Competition Winner Administrator
    robdylanHead Coach
     
  • 8/9 wins seems to be the minimum required wins to make semi’s.

  • Comment 15, posted at 04.05.08 14:44:05 by racheltjiedebeer Reply

    McLovinAssistant coach
     
  • Last year teams 2-4 all had 42 points.

  • Comment 16, posted at 04.05.08 14:44:44 by racheltjiedebeer Reply

    McLovinAssistant coach
     
  • I’m off. Saw IV requires my attention.

  • Comment 17, posted at 04.05.08 14:45:57 by racheltjiedebeer Reply

    McLovinAssistant coach
     
  • don’t even want to do the ‘worst case scenario’ calcs. Cause we all now what that would mean. Not 1 SA team in the semi’s.

    Comment 10 of 17, posted at 04.05.08 14:37:57 by racheltjiedebeer Edit

    And the Bulls shouting their mouths off. :lol:

  • Comment 18, posted at 04.05.08 14:47:11 by KSA Shark © (FJ!ELN!) Reply

    KSA Shark ©Head Coach
     
  • I’m off. Saw IV requires my attention.

    Comment 17 of 18, posted at 04.05.08 14:45:57 by racheltjiedebeer Edit

    Who woulda thunk a GAY dude would be interested in Saw movies. :lol: :wink:

  • Comment 19, posted at 04.05.08 14:48:04 by KSA Shark © (FJ!ELN!) Reply

    KSA Shark ©Head Coach
     
  • So now we need to adjust our expectations

  • Comment 20, posted at 04.05.08 14:49:03 by robdylan (Sharks Forever!) Reply
    Competition Winner Administrator
    robdylanHead Coach
     
  • hey it’s heavy if we don’t make it but it won’t casue me to slit my wrists :wink:

    Do you know of anyone we could assign to keep watch over you for a few weeks after we gwet knocked out. :wink:

    You win some you lose some, at least we’ve won more than we’ve lost.

  • Comment 21, posted at 04.05.08 14:58:39 by KSA Shark © (FJ!ELN!) Reply

    KSA Shark ©Head Coach
     
  • My wife and kid will keep me sane :-)

  • Comment 22, posted at 04.05.08 15:42:01 by robdylan (Sharks Forever!) Reply
    Competition Winner Administrator
    robdylanHead Coach
     

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