Morné

It will be a Christchurch final – Super 14 semi’s prediction


Written by Morné Nortier (Morné)

Posted in :Original Content on 23 May 2008 at 10:40

Who will go all the way? The semi’s prediction.

It is semi-final time and South Africa will be tuning in from early on Saturday morning cheering on the Canes and the Sharks! Why the Canes? Well it is simple, a Canes win will mean the Sharks will host the final if they take care of business in Sydney!

I hate to piss on your batteries though – the final will be in Christchurch…

Semi-final 1

The Crusaders host the guys from Wellington in what promises to be a cracking semi-final. Forget a high scoring affair, it will not happen, and for that reason alone forget about the Canes making it through to the finals – the Canes are not a knock-out type of team, relying too much on game breakers to secure them wins, or scoring against the run of play.

It is for this very reason that I do not believe that the Canes have what it takes to upset the Crusaders at home in a semi-final. Finals and knock out games are a different breed, you need structure, combinations that gel and a great defense – and in all these departments the Crusaders edge the Hurricanes.

Of course guys like Nonu who is returning to his best form in some time and guys like Collins will always be a threat, but if one simply consider the dominance the Crusaders should enjoy at scrum, line-out and territorial domination through the quality in their team – it becomes somewhat obvious what the end result will be. They have the best scrum in the competition, Ali Williams is the best line-out jumper in New Zealand and Dan Carter, assisted by Brett, has no equal in the world, let alone New Zealand.

The Crusaders should also have the better of the Canes at the breakdown which in essence means, the Canes are going to get their asses whipped. The Canes simply do not have ‘finals’ players to rely on – the Crusaders only have ‘finals’ players and will know exactly what to do to win this game, and most importantly, they won’t panic.

Prediction: Saders by 8

Semi-final 2

The one every South African will be waiting for. The Sharks are our only hope left in the competition and they are up against the best Tah’s side I have seen ever. I think the thing that impressed me most about the Tah’s this year was how well-balanced they are, and in that respect they are quite similar to the Sharks.

It is going to be a tough game, which I believe will see-saw quite a bit. Expect the crowd factor to influence the Sharks in the first 20, and if they can keep the Tah’s down to zero in that time, they would have done well.

The Tah’s will start like a house on fire – they would want to win this one for their coach – but in the end, emotion like this is folly – because you put too much pressure on yourself.

I reckon the Sharks already got the shit scared out of them on tour, and have now finally picked themselves up to play like the team we expected from game 1 in the tournament, but never saw.

Similar to the Crusaders, I think the Sharks on a whole, simply have better settled combinations, which should see them through. Make no mistake, it is going to be tough and I believe the Tah’s will want to play an expansive game looking at the pace specifically in the Sharks loose-trio. The Sharks however do not have the best defense in the competition for nothing, and if they keep their structures, and keep calm, they will get through in the end frustrating the Waratahs into submission.

Similar to the Saders also, I think the Sharks have ‘finals’ players, just look at the experience and combinations in the Sharks team and how many of those have played finals in the last 18 months. I also think Steyn is a masterstroke by Muir, and his influence on the game, never mind the way the Tah’s will approach the game will be different simply because of this one selection – and when you make guys change things because of one player, you know you have the edge.

What would pull it through for the Sharks however for me, is simply the quality and experience on the bench – the Waratahs are starting teenagers in the starting 15, let alone looking at depth on the bench! In Palu, Waugh, Tuqiri and possibly Beale, they have game-breakers – similar to the Canes – but it is in getting the structures and combinations to gel where the Sharks should see this through.

Prediction: Sharks by 6 (Let’s just hope the referee plays along this time)

Final: Crusaders vs. Sharks



37 Comments

  • I have my lucky everything ready for tomorrow morning.

    I’ve been saying since the start the final would be Saders & Sharks but I wouldn’t mind if I was wrong about the Saders making it.

  • Comment 1, posted at 23.05.08 14:20:49 by Milissa Reply
    MilissaVodacom Cup player
     
  • You are a king amongst men, Morne! Let’s just hope that your prediction for game 2 comes true.

  • Comment 2, posted at 23.05.08 10:48:52 by robdylan (Sharks Forever!) Reply
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  • Can’t really fault your predictions Morne…but I hope the first one is wrong…

    At the end of the day…I don’t care if we play the final in Mars…as long as we make it through…

    Go Sharks! Go Canes ! Go Sharks!

  • Comment 3, posted at 23.05.08 11:04:23 by blackshark N.R.N.S! Reply

    blackshark - I'm back!Super Rugby player
     
  • @blackshark N.R.N.S! (Comment 2) : You got that right. We’ve got to take this one week at a time

  • Comment 4, posted at 23.05.08 11:05:58 by robdylan (Sharks Forever!) Reply
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  • Robbie Fleck also predicts a Sharks win. :mrgreen:

  • Comment 5, posted at 23.05.08 11:06:36 by racheltjiedebeer Reply

    McLovinAssistant coach
     
  • Even the kind folk at rugby365 give it to the Sharks.

  • Comment 6, posted at 23.05.08 11:07:11 by racheltjiedebeer Reply

    McLovinAssistant coach
     
  • @racheltjiedebeer (Comment 4) :

    Who’s Robbie Fleck again ? :roll:

  • Comment 7, posted at 23.05.08 11:07:58 by blackshark N.R.N.S! Reply

    blackshark - I'm back!Super Rugby player
     
  • No one seems to be predicting a Canes win. Hope they’re all wrong.

  • Comment 8, posted at 23.05.08 11:08:07 by racheltjiedebeer Reply

    McLovinAssistant coach
     
  • @blackshark N.R.N.S! (Comment 6) : I only mentioned that cause I knew how much most people over here love him. :wink: :lol:

  • Comment 9, posted at 23.05.08 11:09:04 by racheltjiedebeer Reply

    McLovinAssistant coach
     
  • @racheltjiedebeer (Comment 8) : I hear he has a picture of Deon Kayser on his pajama top.

  • Comment 10, posted at 23.05.08 11:12:27 by robdylan (Sharks Forever!) Reply
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  • @robdylan (Sharks Forever!) (Comment 9) : The pic’s on the back. :lol:

  • Comment 11, posted at 23.05.08 11:14:18 by racheltjiedebeer Reply

    McLovinAssistant coach
     
  • I hate to say it but I don’t see the Canes beating the Saders. One can hope though.

  • Comment 12, posted at 23.05.08 11:14:46 by Nessa Reply

    NessaCurrie Cup player
     
  • He doesn’t know it’s there. :mrgreen:

  • Comment 13, posted at 23.05.08 11:14:58 by racheltjiedebeer Reply

    McLovinAssistant coach
     
  • @racheltjiedebeer (Comment 10) : LOL!

  • Comment 14, posted at 23.05.08 11:14:59 by robdylan (Sharks Forever!) Reply
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  • Two legends predicting a Sharks win? Must happen then…

  • Comment 15, posted at 23.05.08 11:15:06 by MorneN Reply
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  • @Nessa (Comment 11) : I agree. The Canes don’t have the tight five, regardless of how good their loosies are. Also, they showed precious little BMT in losing to the Blues. It will only get worse against the Saders.

  • Comment 16, posted at 23.05.08 11:16:08 by robdylan (Sharks Forever!) Reply
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  • @MorneN (Comment 14) : Morras, you are far closer to legend status than that showpony Fleck ;)

  • Comment 17, posted at 23.05.08 11:16:42 by robdylan (Sharks Forever!) Reply
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  • ok, and I have now made my picks. Saders and Sharks it shall be.

    68% of all the guys picking on SuperBru give it to the Sharks. Then again, it is an SA site…

  • Comment 18, posted at 23.05.08 11:18:40 by robdylan (Sharks Forever!) Reply
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  • Hey I was called Keo, the JJ Harmse of WP Rugby and The Tackler in the past – BUT NO-ONE can compare even me to the legend!!!

  • Comment 19, posted at 23.05.08 11:19:51 by MorneN Reply
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  • reading the match-ups on Keo, you can’t actually understand why they’ve given it to the Sharks ;)

  • Comment 20, posted at 23.05.08 11:20:57 by robdylan (Sharks Forever!) Reply
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  • Jan de Koning on 365… Sharks by 15! Yeah baby

  • Comment 21, posted at 23.05.08 11:22:05 by robdylan (Sharks Forever!) Reply
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  • @MorneN (Comment 18) : who was it that thought you were Keo? I vaguely remember that.

  • Comment 22, posted at 23.05.08 11:23:23 by robdylan (Sharks Forever!) Reply
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  • Supersport predictions for Saterday is: Crusaders by less than 7 and Sharks by 8.

  • Comment 23, posted at 23.05.08 11:25:31 by Nita Reply

    NitaVodacom Cup player
     
  • @robdylan (Sharks Forever!) (Comment 21) : Cant recall now myself.

  • Comment 24, posted at 23.05.08 11:27:18 by MorneN Reply
    Administrator
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  • @robdylan (Sharks Forever!) (Comment 21) :

    He’s to tall to be keo :roll:

  • Comment 25, posted at 23.05.08 11:34:31 by KSA Shark © Reply

    KSA Shark ©Head Coach
     
  • i will once again be going with the predictions as i WANT them to finish.

    Worked well for me last week. :wink:

  • Comment 26, posted at 23.05.08 11:35:42 by KSA Shark © Reply

    KSA Shark ©Head Coach
     
  • One cannot argue with the logic put forward suggesting a Crusaders win – but i think the Canes will be more of a handful than suggested. Carter is a shadow of the player he has in past seasons – the Canes on the other hand will be wanting to go beyond their perennial semi final. Coupled with the usual the Crusaders never lose mindset – i smell an upset.

    Go the Sharks – play like last week and it will be a doddle.

  • Comment 27, posted at 23.05.08 11:37:22 by Sauce Reply
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    Worcestershire SauceCurrie Cup player
     
  • @MorneN (Comment 23) : I think it was Dive Pass, actually…

  • Comment 28, posted at 23.05.08 11:43:37 by robdylan (Sharks Forever!) Reply
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  • @KSA Shark © (Comment 25) :

    My eggs are also in one basket KSA…put my head where my heart is :grin:

    Picked Canes by 4 and Shark by 8 …

  • Comment 29, posted at 23.05.08 11:43:54 by blackshark N.R.N.S! Reply

    blackshark - I'm back!Super Rugby player
     
  • @blackshark N.R.N.S! (Comment 28) :

    Nothing wrong with that.

  • Comment 30, posted at 23.05.08 11:45:01 by Nessa Reply

    NessaCurrie Cup player
     
  • I’m also going with Canes and Sharks, just call it women intuition… :smile: It almost the end, got nothing to loose.

  • Comment 31, posted at 23.05.08 11:49:44 by Nita Reply

    NitaVodacom Cup player
     
  • I forgot my flag at a friends place…have to get it this afternoon…

    Whew! That was close… :shock:

  • Comment 32, posted at 23.05.08 11:53:37 by blackshark - B.O.T.O.B! Reply

    blackshark - I'm back!Super Rugby player
     
  • @blackshark – B.O.T.O.B! (Comment 31) : we can’t afford any slip-ups!

  • Comment 33, posted at 23.05.08 12:11:47 by robdylan (First Sydney, then the World) Reply
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  • @robdylan (First Sydney, then the World) (Comment 32) :

    Yes BS – get with the programme! I have my lucky couch waiting.

  • Comment 34, posted at 23.05.08 12:13:59 by Nessa Reply

    NessaCurrie Cup player
     
  • @robdylan (Sharks Forever!) (Comment 27) :

    No Keo’s home-made characters have more depth… ;) …. and besides I would never be caught dead posting on Keo. :smile:

  • Comment 35, posted at 23.05.08 12:31:03 by Dive Pass Reply

    Dive PassCurrie Cup player
     
  • @Dive Pass (Comment 34) : whoops. Must have been someone else ;)

  • Comment 36, posted at 23.05.08 12:33:22 by robdylan (First Sydney, then the World) Reply
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  • @robdylan (First Sydney, then the World) (Comment 32) :

    @Nessa (Comment 33) :

    :oops: I’m on it…

  • Comment 37, posted at 23.05.08 12:39:08 by blackshark - B.O.T.O.B! Reply

    blackshark - I'm back!Super Rugby player
     

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