There is no reason our World Champs cannot smash the Wallabies tomorrow.
That is unless you take into regard the fact that they have two of the best players on the ground forcing turn-overs, and that it is an area where rugby under the ELV’s are often won and lost.
I am under no illusions that the Boks were slightly lucky in not having to face McCaw in New Zealand in our emphatic win last weekend, and that Schalk basically had free reigns – something that will drastically change this time around.
Also, make no mistake – two tests against (now) the second best team in the world is no small matter, and our boys are playing their third test in 3 weeks.
Add to this we are missing players through injury, suspension and rotation leaving us with a host of new combinations yet again, and I would forgive you for thinking I am on drugs.
But here is the thing…
For the first time in a very, very long time, I actually believe our boy are starting to believe they are the best in the world, and that they can beat anyone, anywhere, anytime.
There is an air of confidence around this team, and even with losses to players like Smit, Du Preez and Fourie you still get the feeling that man for man, we got the edge against the Ozzies.
The Boks have not won away from home often in the recent past, and that to me is more about what was in their heads, than what was produced on the field. Just ask Tim Goodenough how important the mental side of rugby is especially when touring, and what a winning mindset, and never say die attitude can do to even an average team – something our boys are certainly not.
Coming back to rugby reasons however, I still think we should win.
I did mention that the Aussies, according to Verusco statistics, have the best player in the team when it comes to turn-over’s forced in Smith and Waugh – and at some stage they will even be on the field together!
The Aussies are also pretty well rested in comparison to the Boks who has come off two bruising tests.
But do not forget, the Boks will hit the ground running having played two tests now under the ELV’s, which Australia might take some time to adapt to having played under the old laws in their incoming tours.
I also think De Villiers should not concern him too much to pick loosies to combat Smith and Waugh. Once you start picking a team to try and combat the opponents strengths, you can very easily fall into the trap of also playing the game the way they want you to play, and not playing the game you want to according to your strengths.
When it comes to work rate, tackling and strength and power in carrying up the ball, the Boks nail the Aussies in this department, and is also the reason why they should play a game to use this strength of ours. Make them play the way we want to.
Also, in the tight 5 we should also have the upper hand, and as many a test proved, when your tight 5 is shunted backwards, your loosies and backline means very little.
The Boks should not deviate from the brutality we tackle every test. Our boys scare the living daylights out of teams, and for good reason, they are a bunch of sissies.
But it is mentally where the Boks have the edge, and I have seen enough rugby games in my life to know that if you win the mental battle first, game-plans and tactics on the field is secondary to victory.
It is why I believe we will welcome our boys back as the number one team in the world next week, having scored a 4 point victory over Australia!Tweet