The Springboks are going to smash the convicts. Yeah I said it and I stick with it.
I am more or less done trying to raise points with regards to our loss to New Zealand to people because as my dad used to say; “Hardegat-geit ken geen perke nie”.
The Boks lost on Saturday, and yes they did deserve to lose. Not because they played bad rugby, or that the tactics were so off that we deserved it, or even that New Zealand played the better rugby to beat us.
The Boks made schoolboy errors when all the hard work was already done and that cost us.
If you want me to explain that in a simpler term; “Unforced errors”.
When last did any Bok team construct more line-breaks than our great traditional foe’s in a test match – hell even a Super 14 match?
But if you stuff up time and time again on the line where our execution did not cut it, or you make schoolboy, unforced errors in kicking like we did, not even to mention the quick line-out brainfarts then it is not that difficult to see why they lost.
And no, I am not suggesting that we lost the game rather than the All Blacks winning it – that is about as pathetic as blaming the referee. Plain and simple fact is you cannot expect to win when you do as many stupid things on a field as what they did, and managed to do for 80 minutes.
The mere fact that we were only 5 points adrift being the more dangerous side on attack for a good 65 minutes of the game was indication enough for me that the changes or approach should only change about 5 to 10 %, and not 50 to 80% as some suggests.
So over to the convicts and what can we expect this Saturday?
Where Dan Carter kept South Africa in their own half forcing them to play from there (resulting in a freebie try) Gitt’s and Barnes for Australia simply does not have that tactical noose.
It is not that they are bad kickers but they employ a more attacking style of kicking rather than a tactical one. Where Carter gave New Zealand a tactical, and territorial advantage against the Boks, the Aussies look to attack space behind the first line of defence which they attack (through kicks) and on the corners for their wings who are superior to just about any team in the air.
Where McCaw and his chronies swarm the rucks and makes a damn nuisance of themselves, the Aussies rely too much on one or two individuals in this department although it is an area they have improved on. But let’s be honest, Smith or Waugh is no McCaw and where McCaw is not only a great scrounger, but also has a massive work rate like Schalk, the Aussies are only good when on the front foot.
But even then, some might highlight our inexperienced back three especially Nokwe and yes, I am also concerned about him but look at it this way.
The Aussies have come to South Africa for a long time and only managed to scrape one win in well over a decade, and that with much more talented players like the bunch coming over now and against Bok teams much worse and inexperienced than we have now.
They turn to jelly in South Africa and although they have the best coach in the world in their ranks now, who also knows what it takes to win in South Africa, the test against New Zealand (where they got smashed after winning the week before) shows me these Aussies still can’t travel.
The coach might know what mindset they need to win in South Africa, but he is not going to teach his players who have lost here, time and time again those secrets in 4 months.
So from a person who does not usually like to make test match predictions, here is mine;
The Boks by no less than 8.Tweet