Hertford Highlander

ITM Cup – 2010 Semi Final Preview


Written by Gwyn Pratley (Hertford Highlander)

Posted in :All Blacks, Original Content on 28 Oct 2010 at 04:43

Then there were four ! After thirteen non-stop unpredictable rounds of ITM Cup Rugby in 2010 we are left with all the usual suspects making up our semi finalists.

Last week’s action saw us without any All Blacks in our ranks (well almost) and the results reflected that. Canterbury who are the top side in the competition finishing 1st after the round robin phase crashed to defeat away to Waikato and have many punter’s scratching their heads as what to do this weekend. They take on a form Wellington side, which came from behind to beat Southland in impressive fashion in Invercargill.

Auckland will also host Waikato in the other semi final with both teams travelling well. It will be another close affair and could go either way.

This weekend the head says wins to Canterbury and Auckland, but the form book suggests Wellington and Waikato. Arguments can be easily formulated either way – only time will tell.

Round 13 Analysis

Game 85 Northland (36) v Bay of Plenty (24) Prediction: Bay of Plenty by 1-5 pts
Game 86 Waikato (26) v Canterbury (6) Prediction: Waikato by 1-5 pts
Game 87 North Harbour (47) v Taranaki (49) Prediction: Taranaki by 1-5 pts
Game 88 Otago (24) v Manawatu (46) Prediction: Otago by 5-10 pts
Game 89 Southland (14) v Wellington (27) Prediction: Southland 5-10 pts
Game 90 Auckland (49) v Tasman(10) Prediction: Auckland by 20-25 pts
Game 91 Counties-Manukau (28) v Hawke’s Bay (31) Prediction: Counties by 1-5 pts

Round 11 Win Percentage 3/7 43% Season Win Percentage 62/91 68%

Leading Point Scorer(s) after Round 13

172 – Lachie Munro (Northland)
122 – Mike Harris (North Harbour)
110 – Colin Slade (Canterbury)
109 – Matt Berquist (Auckland)
102 – Willie Ripia (Taranaki)
102 – Robbie Robinson (Southland)
100 – Trent Renata (Waikato)
99 – Glen Dickson (Otago)
91 – Stephen Donald (Waikato)
90 – Tim Nanai-Williams (Counties-Manukau)

Leading Try Scorer(s) after Round 13

10 – Leila Masaga (Waikato)
9 – Robbie Fruean (Canterbury)
9 – Ashlee Tuala (Counties)
9 – Matt Luamanu (North Harbour)
8 – Julian Savea (Wellington)
7 – Jared Payne (Northland)
7 – Telusa Veainu (Canterbury)
7 – Dean Budd (Northland)
6 – Sean Maitland (Canterbury)
6 – Lachie Munroe (Northland)
6 – Taniela Moa (Bay of Plenty)
6 – Jayden Hayward (Taranaki)

Final Round Robin Standings

Taranaki and Southland made the ‘Super Power Provinces’ work hard in 2011 but somehow they all scrapped through by the skin of their teeth in the end.

BOP will be delighted with their first division status next season and Hawke’s Bay will be rueing a poor start to the season.

Semi Finalist’s

1. Canterbury (45)
2. Auckland (45)
3. Waikato (44)
4. Wellington (42)

ITM Cup First Division – Playing with the ‘Big Boys’ in 2011

5. Taranaki (42)
6. Bay of Plenty (37)
7. Southland (34)

ITM Cup Second Division 2011

8. Hawke’s Bay (33)
9. Counties-Manukau (31)
10. Northland (29)
11. North Harbour (21)
12. Tasman (20)
13. Manawatu (18)
14. Otago (10)

Semi Final Match Previews

Game 92 Canterbury v Wellington Prediction: Wellington by 1-5 points

Canterbury returned home last week with their tail between their legs after being demolished up front by Waikato. The South Islanders suffered their worst defeat of the season and provided Wellington with a blueprint of how to beat them. Wellington on the other hand is riding a crest of a wave and has played their best rugby of the season in recent weeks.

Although there are compelling arguments for why Wellington has every chance of winning this encounter, we seem to have the same discussion at this time of the season every year, and it never happens.

Everyone’s head says Canterbury, but a few who follow form rather than history are tipping Wellington away from home.

In team news Canterbury make one change with big lock Luke Romano returning, while Wellington bring back Treeby and Levave to the starting line-up. The selection talking point in the capital has been the non selection of the fully fit former All Black and Wellington skipper Rodney So’oialo, who has had plenty to say about the management of his omission.

My call, Canterbury looked shaky in Round 1 drawing 23-23 at home to Hawke’s Bay they also looked just as flaky last week when getting demolished 6-26 away from home to Waikato, whereas Wellington did superbly well last week winning away in Invercargill. They are a very young side that just may not have as many demons in the cupboard as other unsuccessful Wellington sides of the past – Wellington for me in a tight one, with a match winning play from someone special like Victor Vito or Julian Savea.

TEAMS:

Canterbury: 1. Wyatt Crockett, 2. Steve Fualau, 3. Peter Borlase, 4. Luke Romano, 5. Isaac Ross, 6. Ash Parker, 7. Matt Todd, 8. Nasi Manu, 9. Willi Heinz, 10. Colin Slade, 11. Telusa Veainu, 12. Ryan Crotty, 13. Robbie Fruean, 14. Tu Umaga-Marshall, 15. Sean Maitland.

Reserves: 16. Paul Ngauamo, 17. Andrew Olorenshaw, 18. Rob Verbakel, 19. Brendon O’Connor, 20. Takerei Norton, 21. Stephen Brett, 22. Sam Monaghan.

Wellington: 1. John Schwalger, 2. Dane Coles, 3. Neemia Tialata, 4. Jeremy Thrush, 5. Api Naikatini, 6. Faifili Levave, 7. Scott Fuglistaller, 8. Victor Vito, 9. TJ Perenara, 10. Lima Sopoaga, 11. Alipate Leiua, 12. Sean Treeby, 13. Tajhon Mailata, 14. Julian Savea, 15. Apoua Stewart.

Reserves: 16. Ged Robinson, 17. Reg Goodes, 18. Brad Shields, 19. Dean Brunsdon, 20. Ruki Tipuna, 21. Fa’atonu Fili, 22. Charlie Nagati.

Game 93 Auckland v Waikato Prediction: Waikato by 5-10 points

Waikato beat Auckland in round robin play after the hooter 31-28 and the Eden Park boys will be well motivated to reverse that result this time out.

Both teams are in good form with Auckland’s all around game looking good both in attack and defence. Waikato are the same putting five good wins together in a row.

This is obviously going to be a close match with the Waikato forwards having to back up from a punishing encounter last weekend.

Auckland will start favourites, but I think Waikato may just be able to get the edge and pull it out of the fire.

TEAMS:

Auckland: 1. Tevita Mailau, 2. Tom McCartney, 3. Charlie Faumuina, 4. Kurtis Haiu, 5. Liaki Moli, 6. Onosai’i Auva’a, 7. Sean Polwart, 8. Peter Saili, 9. Toby Morland, 10. Gareth Anscombe, 11. Chay Raui, 12. Benson Stanley, 13. Ben Atiga, 14. Dave Thomas, 15. Brent Ward.

Reserves: 16. Ash Dixon, 17. Angus Ta’avao, 18. Steven Luatua, 19. Chris Lowery, 20. Auvasa Faleali’i 21. Matt Berquist, 22. Winston Stanley.

Waikato: 1. Toby Smith, 2. Aled de Malmanche, 3. Nathan White (captain), 4. Toby Lynn, 5. Romana Graham, 6. Dominiko Waqaniburotu, 7. Jack Lam, 8. Alex Bradley, 9. Tawera Kerr-Barlow, 10. Trent Renata, 11. Dwayne Sweeney, 12. Jackson Willison, 13. Save Tokula, 14. Sitiveni Sivivatu or Henry Speight, 15. Sosene Anesi.

Reserves: 16. Hikairo Forbes, 17. Ben May, 18. Kent Fife, 19. Zack Hohneck, 20. Malcolm Barnes, 21. Christian Leali’ifano, 22. Speight or Tim Mikkelson.



40 Comments

  • What a tournament this has been!! I’m sad that it is over.

    Thanx for all the hard work put into this thread HH.

    Will see you on the NZ v Aus thread..

  • Comment 1, posted at 28.10.10 06:45:09 by Richard Ferguson Reply
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  • HH its gotta hurt some looking at that log?

  • Comment 2, posted at 28.10.10 08:27:44 by Sportbilly Reply

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  • HH it has been great I have always followed Kiwi Rugger, but being based in Abu Dhabi and having access to the games on Showtime’s sport has been great. Sorry it’s over!!

  • Comment 3, posted at 28.10.10 08:43:32 by Whindy Reply
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  • @Richard Ferguson (Comment 1) :

    You are??

    Dude, I suck at predicting ITM games!! :evil: :roll:

  • Comment 4, posted at 28.10.10 08:56:59 by wpw Reply
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  • Still no Sharks team available?

    Wonder if there will be a surprise . . .

  • Comment 5, posted at 28.10.10 09:04:38 by Original Pierre Reply
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  • @wpw (Comment 4) : me too – had perfect “0″ for last week :oops:

  • Comment 6, posted at 28.10.10 10:28:26 by rekinek Reply
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  • @rekinek (Comment 6) :

    Well, at least I am higher than ‘Sandshark’ bwahahahaha :mrgreen: :twisted:

  • Comment 7, posted at 28.10.10 10:34:41 by wpw Reply
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  • @wpw (Comment 7) : me too !! at least for now :roll:

  • Comment 8, posted at 28.10.10 10:37:22 by rekinek Reply
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  • @Richard Ferguson (Comment 1) :

    It’s been fun ….it’s been tough to call. AB’s v Aussie could be very close, still no Sonny Bill, I think they may roll him out against Scotland….poor buggers !

    @Sportbilly (Comment 2) :

    Hurt is an understatement was talking after we lost heavily to the 13th placed side at home…. conclusion being we could be in big trouble next year…promotion relegation looms large.

    @Whindy (Comment 3) :

    Didn’t realise you were there….your going well in the SB comp. aren’t you……i’m after some honours there. lol

    @wpw (Comment 4) :

    …. not just ITM Cup games…..you need to listen to the King of Predictions more often. lol

    @rekinek (Comment 6) :

    Saw that….that is actually really hard to do….hopefully you fancy Aussie this weekend ! lol

    Enjoy the CC Final !

  • Comment 9, posted at 28.10.10 10:50:58 by Hertford Highlander Reply
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  • @Hertford Highlander (Comment 9) : are you trying to make me feel special (like being nice) or just rubbing it in :grin:

  • Comment 10, posted at 28.10.10 10:53:23 by rekinek Reply
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  • @rekinek (Comment 10) :

    Special !

  • Comment 11, posted at 28.10.10 10:55:12 by Hertford Highlander Reply
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  • @Hertford Highlander (Comment 11) : ;-)

  • Comment 12, posted at 28.10.10 11:31:10 by rekinek Reply
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  • @Hertford Highlander (Comment 11) : hello :smile:

    glad to c that u are back with us and again thanks for the help in the ITM cup i’m sorry to c that its nearlly over but good things do come to an end :mrgreen:

  • Comment 13, posted at 28.10.10 20:10:18 by chaz (Black and White forever) Reply

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  • I have picked the two home teams and the two away teams are predicted winners.

    Nothing new there, I’ll be getting no points. :lol:

  • Comment 14, posted at 29.10.10 08:01:25 by KSA Shark © Reply

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  • @wpw (Comment 7) :

    Anyone who ever made a pick is higher than me. :oops:

  • Comment 15, posted at 29.10.10 08:03:38 by KSA Shark © Reply

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  • Canterbury 3 – 0 Wellington

    7 minutes

  • Comment 16, posted at 29.10.10 08:45:29 by Richard Ferguson Reply
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  • Canterbury 3 – 7 Wellington

    11 minutes

  • Comment 17, posted at 29.10.10 08:49:23 by Richard Ferguson Reply
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  • Canterbury 10 – 14 Wellington

    18 minutes

  • Comment 18, posted at 29.10.10 08:55:24 by Richard Ferguson Reply
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  • @Richard Ferguson (Comment 18) :

    High scoring game for a Semi. :shock:

    C’mon Canterbury!!!!!!!!!!!!

  • Comment 19, posted at 29.10.10 08:57:42 by KSA Shark © Reply

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  • Canterbury 17 – 14 Wellington

    22 minutes

  • Comment 20, posted at 29.10.10 09:00:16 by Richard Ferguson Reply
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  • @Richard Ferguson (Comment 20) :

    That’s more like it.

    Kids playing Mario Kart on Wii, Kette Watching Discovery ID. I’m relegated to the PC. :razz:

  • Comment 21, posted at 29.10.10 09:02:13 by KSA Shark © Reply

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  • Canterbury 20 – 17 Wellington

    25 minutes

  • Comment 22, posted at 29.10.10 09:03:28 by Richard Ferguson Reply
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  • Canterbury 27 – 17 Wellington

    28 minutes

  • Comment 23, posted at 29.10.10 09:05:48 by Richard Ferguson Reply
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  • @KSA Shark © (Comment 14) : Me too :twisted:

  • Comment 24, posted at 29.10.10 09:07:49 by Jarson Reply
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  • Canterbury 27 – 20 Wellington

    30 minutes

  • Comment 25, posted at 29.10.10 09:09:05 by Richard Ferguson Reply
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  • @Hertford Highlander (Comment 9) :

    Welcome back mate!! ;-)

  • Comment 26, posted at 29.10.10 09:10:32 by wpw Reply
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  • Canterbury 34 – 26 Wellington

    HALF TIME

  • Comment 27, posted at 29.10.10 09:21:21 by Richard Ferguson Reply
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  • Canterbury 37 – 26 Wellington

    55 minutes

  • Comment 28, posted at 29.10.10 09:46:54 by Richard Ferguson Reply
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  • Canterbury 37 – 31 Wellington

    58 minutes

  • Comment 29, posted at 29.10.10 09:49:52 by Richard Ferguson Reply
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  • @Richard Ferguson (Comment 28) :

    I got excited there for a second.

    Game 92: Canterbury v Wellington: Canterbury by 13
    Game 93: Auckland v Waikato: Auckland by 10

  • Comment 30, posted at 29.10.10 09:53:21 by KSA Shark © Reply

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  • Canterbury 37 – 34 Wellington

    61 minutes

  • Comment 31, posted at 29.10.10 09:53:55 by Richard Ferguson Reply
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  • @KSA Shark © (Comment 30) :

    Nice Andre.. Im sure Canterbury will pull through here.. Maybe not by 13, but 2 points for a win is good..

  • Comment 32, posted at 29.10.10 09:54:52 by Richard Ferguson Reply
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  • Canterbury 40 – 34 Wellington

    63 minutes

  • Comment 33, posted at 29.10.10 09:55:57 by Richard Ferguson Reply
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  • @Richard Ferguson (Comment 33) :

    One more converted try will do fine thanks.

  • Comment 34, posted at 29.10.10 10:08:13 by KSA Shark © Reply

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  • Canterbury 43 – 41 Wellington

    73 minutes

  • Comment 35, posted at 29.10.10 10:08:22 by Richard Ferguson Reply
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  • Canterbury 50 – 41 Wellington

    77 minutes

  • Comment 36, posted at 29.10.10 10:12:43 by Richard Ferguson Reply
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  • Canterbury 57 – 41 Wellington

    78 minutes

  • Comment 37, posted at 29.10.10 10:15:12 by Richard Ferguson Reply
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  • Canterbury 57 – 41 Wellington

    FULL TIME

  • Comment 38, posted at 29.10.10 10:17:10 by Richard Ferguson Reply
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  • @Richard Ferguson (Comment 38) :

    YES YES YES!!!!!!!!!!

    Margin of 16. I get correctpick and MP

  • Comment 39, posted at 29.10.10 10:18:06 by KSA Shark © Reply

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  • geez, 57 – 41. was this netbal or rugby? ;-) go canterbury!!!

  • Comment 40, posted at 29.10.10 14:47:41 by VanWilder Reply

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