robdylan

Super Rugby 2012: Round 5 preview and predictions


Written by Rob Otto (robdylan)

Posted in :Original Content, Super Rugby on 22 Mar 2012 at 13:33
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Man, what an awesome round we had last week, with 5 correct winners out of 6 games! That takes our overall success rate to 14 out of 27 games, which is just above 50%. Time to open an account with Marshall’s World of Sport, perhaps…

Let’s look at round 5.

Blues v Hurricanes 23 March at 08:35

These two sides have started the season in exactly the opposite fashion to what was expected, with the Canes doing much better on tour than expected, before losing a close one at home to the Highlanders. The Blues, though, have been shocking, with only an unexpected win at Loftus bringing any cheer to their fans. The home side might be a little disrupted having just returned from tour, so I’m going to back the Canes to win a close one here, maybe by 5 points.

Blues: 15. Lachie Munro, 14. David Raikuna, 13. Benson Stanley, 12. Ma’a Nonu, 11. Rudi Wulf, 10. Piri Weepu, 9. Alby Mathewson, 8. Brad Mika, 7. Daniel Braid (Captain), 6. Chris Lowrey, 5. Ali Williams, 4. Liaki Moli, 3. Charlie Faumuina, 2. Tom McCartney, 1. Tony Woodcock
Replacements: 16. James Parsons, 17. Tevita Mailau, 18. Filo Paulo, 19. Sean Polwart, 20. Gareth Anscombe, 21. Michael Hobbs, 22. Hadleigh Parkes

Hurricanes: 15. André Taylor, 14. Cory Jane, 13. Conrad Smith (Captain), 12. Tim Bateman, 11. Julian Savea, 10. Beauden Barrett, 9. TJ Perenara, 8. Victor Vito, 7. Jack Lam, 6. Faifili Levave, 5. Jason Eaton, 4. Jeremy Thrush, 3. Jeffery Toomaga-Allen, 2. Dane Coles, 1. Ben May
Replacements: 16. Motu Matu’u, 17. Michael Bent, 18. James Broadhurst, 19. Brad Shields, 20. Chris Eaton, 21. Dan Kirkpatrick, 22. Charlie Ngatai

Rebels v Force 23 March at 10:40

The battle of the cellar dwellers in the Aussie conference. Only tune in if you have a high boredom threshold, in other words! The Force have a little bit of form on their side, having picked up a rare win in Sidney the week before, so we’ll back the visitors to shade the newcomers. Force to win by around 3 points.

Rebels: 15. Richard Kingi, 14. Mark Gerrard, 13. Lachlan Mitchell, 12. James O`Connor, 11. Cooper Vuna, 10. Daniel Cipriani, 9. Nick Phipps, 8. Gareth Delve (Captain), 7. Tom Chamberlain, 6. Tim Davidson, 5. Hugh Pyle, 4. Luke Jones, 3. Laurie Weeks, 2. Adam Freier, 1. Nic Henderson
Replacements: 16. Ged Robinson, 17. Rodney Blake, 18. Alister Campbell, 19. Jarrod Saffy, 20. Michael Lipman, 21. Lloyd Johansson, 22. Julian Huxley

Force: 15. David Harvey, 14. Nick Cummins, 13. Will Tupou, 12. Rory Sidey, 11. Alifeleti (Alfi) Mafi, 10. James Stannard, 9. Brett Sheehan, 8. Matthew Hodgson, 7. David Pocock (Captain), 6. Angus Cottrell, 5. Nathan Sharpe, 4. Sam Wykes, 3. Salesi Ma’afu, 2. Nathan Charles, 1. Kieran Longbottom
Replacements: 16. Ben Whittaker, 17. Pekahou Cowan, 18. Toby Lynn, 19. Richard Brown, 20. Justin Turner, 21. Winston Stanley, 22. Samu Wera

Waratahs v Sharks 24 March at 06:35

Ah dear, one of those head versus heart calls here. I see this one as quite simple; the Sharks SHOULD win because they have the better side and are playing the better rugby. Whether they WILL win depends entirely on how they approach the game and the extent to which they allow the Sydney factor to detract from the rugby. Let’s close our eyes and hope our boys manage to do the job. Sharks by 7.

Waratahs: 15. Bernard Foley, 14. Tom Kingston, 13. Rob Horne, 12. Tom Carter, 11. Adam Ashley-Cooper, 10. Berrick Barnes, 9. Brendan McKibbin, 8. Wycliff Palu, 7. Chris Alcock, 6. Dave Dennis, 5. Kane Douglas, 4. Dean Mumm, 3. Sekope Kepu, 2. Tatafu Polota-Nau, 1. Benn Robinson (Captain)
Replacements: 16. John Ulugia, 17. Paddy Ryan, 18. Sitaleki Timani, 19. Lopeti Timani, 20. Sarel Pretorius, 21. Daniel Halangahu, 22. Brackin Karauria-Henry

Sharks: 15. Riaan Viljoen, 14. Odwa Ndungane, 13. Tim Whitehead, 12. Meyer Bosman, 11. Lwazi Mvovo, 10. Patrick Lambie, 9. Charl McLeod, 8. Keegan Daniel (Captain), 7. Willem Alberts, 6. Marcell Coetzee, 5. Jandre Marais, 4. Anton Bresler, 3. Jannie du Plessis, 2. Bismarck du Plessis, 1. Dale Chadwick
Replacements: 16. Craig Burden, 17. Nick Schonert, 18. Steven Sykes, 19. Jacques Botes, 20. Frederic Michalak, 21. Marius Joubert, 22. Louis Ludik

Crusaders v Toyota Cheetahs 24 March at 08:35

The Cheetahs did well to beat the Rebels last week, but one feels that a side that just managed to squeak a win against the weakest team in the competition is going to really battle against the strongest. Dan Carter returns (albeit off the bench), but I doubt the Saders will need him to win this one… Crusaders by 12.

Crusaders: 15. Israel Dagg, 14. Sean Maitland, 13. Robert Fruean, 12. Ryan Crotty, 11. Zac Guildford, 10. Tom Taylor, 9. Andy Ellis, 8. Kieran Read (Captain), 7. Matt Todd, 6. Luke Whitelock, 5. Sam Whitelock, 4. Luke Romano, 3. Owen Franks, 2. Corey Flynn, 1. Ben Franks
Replacements: 16. Quentin MacDonald, 17. Wyatt Crockett, 18. Ross Kennedy, 19. Brendon O’Connor, 20. Willi Heinz, 21. Dan Carter, 22. Tom Marshall

Cheetahs: 15. Hennie Daniller, 14. Cameron Jacobs, 13. Robert Ebersohn, 12. Andries Strauss, 11. Willie Le Roux, 10. Johan Goosen, 9. Tewis de Bruyn, 8. Philip Van der Walt, 7. Justin Downey, 6. Heinrich Brussow, 5. Izak van der Westhuizen, 4. George Earle, 3. Lourens Adriaanse, 2. Adriaan Strauss (Captain), 1. Trevor Nyakane
Replacements: 16. Hercu Liebenberg, 17. Coenie Oosthuizen, 18. Andries Ferreira, 19. Ashley Johnson, 20. Piet van Zyl, 21. Sias Ebersohn, 22. Rayno Benjamin

Brumbies v Highlanders 24 March at 10:40

The Brumbies have surprised a fair few pundits this season and are currently in second place on the Aussie conference log, on points difference only. The Highlanders have gone one better, though and have yet to lose at all. Tough one to call, but I think the Landers are going to lose their unbeaten record this week. Brumbies to win by 4.

Brumbies: 15. Jesse Mogg, 14. Henry Speight, 13. Andrew Smith, 12. Pat McCabe, 11. Joseph Tomane, 10. Christian Lealiifano, 9. Nic White, 8. Ben Mowen (Captain), 7. Michael Hooper, 6. Peter Kimlin, 5. Sam Carter, 4. Leon Power, 3. Dan Palmer, 2. Stephen Moore, 1. Ben Alexander
Replacements: 16. Anthony Hegarty, 17. Ruaidhri Murphy, 18. Scott Fardy, 19. Ita Vaea, 20. Ian Prior, 21. Zack Holmes, 22. Tevita Kuridrani

Highlanders TBA

Vodacom Bulls v Reds 24 March at 17:05

The Reds are battered and bruised and have been forced to pick a rookie-laden backline. With all of their key playmakers (bar Genia) now missing and the Bulls close to full strength again, there can only be one winner. Bulls by 15.

Bulls: 15. Zane Kirchner, 14. Akona Ndungane, 13. Johann Sadie, 12. Wynand Olivier, 11. Bjorn Basson, 10. Morné Steyn, 9. Francois Hougaard, 8. Pierre Spies (Captain), 7. Jacques Potgieter, 6. CJ Stander, 5. Juandre Kruger, 4. Flip van der Merwe, 3. Werner Kruger, 2. Chiliboy Ralepelle, 1. Dean Greyling
Replacements: 16. Willie Wepener, 17. Frik Kirsten, 18. Wilhelm Steenkamp, 19. Arno Botha, 20. Jano Vermaak, 21. Louis Fouche, 22. JJ Engelbrecht

Reds: 15. Rod Davies, 14. Dom Shipperley, 13. Jonathan Lance, 12. Ben Tapuai, 11. Luke Morahan, 10. Dallan Murphy, 9. Will Genia, 8. Jake Schatz, 7. Beau Robinson, 6. Scott Higginbotham, 5. James Horwill (Captain), 4. Rob Simmons, 3. Greg Holmes, 2. Saia Faingaa, 1. Ben Daley
Replacements: 16. James Hanson, 17. James Slipper, 18. Van Humphries, 19. Radike Samo, 20. Liam Gill, 21. Nick Frisby, 22. Nathan Eyres-Brown

MTN Lions v DHL Stormers 24 March at 19:10

The Stormers haven’t lost yet, whilst the Lions have so many injuries they can’t seem to name a team. Again, an easy one to pick. Stormers by 12.

Lions: 15 James Kamana, 14 Deon van Rensburg, 13 Jaco Taute, 12 Doppies la Grange, 11 Andries Coetzee, 10 Butch James, 9 Tian Meyer, 8 Warren Whiteley, 7 Joshua Strauss (captain), 6 Derick Minnie, 5 Franco van der Merwe, 4 Marius Coetzer, 3 Patric Cilliers, 2 Callie Visagie, 1 Caylib Oosthuizen

Substitutes: 16 Martin Bezuidenhout, 17 Jacobie Adriaanse, 18 Stephan Greeff, 19 Cobus Grobbelaar, 20 Ross Cronje, 21 Michael Killian, 22 Ruan Combrinck

Stormers: 15. Johan Pietersen, 14. Gio Aplon, 13. Juan de Jongh, 12. Jean de Villiers (Captain), 11. Bryan Habana, 10. Peter Grant, 9. Dewaldt Duvenage, 8. Nick Koster, 7. Duane Vermeulen, 6. Siya Kolisi, 5. Andries Bekker, 4. Eben Etzebeth, 3. Brok Harris, 2. Tiaan Liebenberg, 1. Steven Kitshoff
Replacements: 16. Siyabonga Ntubeni, 17. Frans Malherbe, 18. De Kock Steenkamp, 19. Nizaam Carr, 20. Louis Schreuder, 21. Gary Van Aswegen, 22. Gerhard van den Heever



28 Comments

  • I only have four of the seven the same as you Rob..

    In your current form, that worries me a bit!

  • Comment 1, posted at 22.03.12 13:36:28 by Richard Ferguson Reply
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  • The Snoil… 15 James Kamana, 14 Deon van Rensburg, 13 Jaco Taute, 12 Doppies la Grange, 11 Andries Coetzee, 10 Butch James, 9 Tian Meyer, 8 Warren Whiteley, 7 Joshua Strauss (captain), 6 Derick Minnie, 5 Franco van der Merwe, 4 Marius Coetzer, 3 Patric Cilliers, 2 Callie Visagie, 1 Caylib Oosthuizen

    Substitutes: 16 Martin Bezuidenhout, 17 Jacobie Adriaanse, 18 Stephan Greeff, 19 Cobus Grobbelaar, 20 Ross Cronje, 21 Michael Killian, 22 Ruan Combrinck

  • Comment 2, posted at 22.03.12 13:38:12 by The Quirk Reply
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    The QuirkVodacom Cup player
     
  • @The Quirk (Comment 2) :

    A bit late on the uptake their..

    http://www.sharksworld.co.za/2012/03/22/lions-make-changes-aplenty/

  • Comment 3, posted at 22.03.12 13:40:18 by Richard Ferguson Reply
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  • @Richard Ferguson (Comment 3) : Well, it says Snoil TBA in the article, just thought i’d help a bit…

  • Comment 4, posted at 22.03.12 13:42:37 by The Quirk Reply
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  • @The Quirk (Comment 4) :

    Thanks..

  • Comment 5, posted at 22.03.12 13:43:57 by Richard Ferguson Reply
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  • FYI, I have decided that henceforth the team that plays at the Coke Tin shall be known as the SNOIL… Thanks entirely to their dancing girls c*cking up by getting all the letters backwards on camera last year…

  • Comment 6, posted at 22.03.12 13:44:26 by The Quirk Reply
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  • @The Quirk (Comment 6) :

    They aren’t the sharpest bunch in the world it seems..

    After the water bottle incident, one would have thought that it would be the Bulls supporters letting the team down?!

  • Comment 7, posted at 22.03.12 13:46:21 by Richard Ferguson Reply
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  • @The Quirk (Comment 6) : that’s hardly original, Quirky :)

  • Comment 8, posted at 22.03.12 13:47:34 by robdylan Reply
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  • @robdylan (Comment 8) : I know, but it’s still funny…

  • Comment 9, posted at 22.03.12 13:48:23 by The Quirk Reply
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    The QuirkVodacom Cup player
     
  • Didn’t the Cheetahs beat the Crusaders last season when all had written them off? Hehe but I think the Crusaders will walk this one. Rebels vs Force will be a close game. Going to go with Rebels to win. Also think the Highlanders will thump the Brumbies.

  • Comment 10, posted at 22.03.12 13:57:07 by Ben Reply

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  • @Richard Ferguson (Comment 7) :

    TBH i dont think you want smart cheerleaders .

  • Comment 11, posted at 22.03.12 13:57:53 by Zibbie Reply
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  • @Ben (Comment 10) :

    i know !!!!!! im hoping 29 more people loose lives !!!!

  • Comment 12, posted at 22.03.12 13:58:32 by Zibbie Reply
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  • @Zibbie (Comment 11) : I don’t think anyone smart would want to be a cheerleader…

  • Comment 13, posted at 22.03.12 14:04:18 by lostfish Reply
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  • The only way to make the Force – Rebels game more interesting would be to pick one of them on LMS.

  • Comment 14, posted at 22.03.12 14:05:48 by lostfish Reply
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  • @Zibbie (Comment 12) : Ag I don’t care. :)

  • Comment 15, posted at 22.03.12 14:06:15 by Ben Reply

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  • @lostfish (Comment 14) :

    Or to put some money on them!

  • Comment 16, posted at 22.03.12 14:06:22 by Richard Ferguson Reply
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  • @lostfish (Comment 14) :

    That wouldn’t make it interesting it would make it painful. ;-)

  • Comment 17, posted at 22.03.12 14:09:37 by Pokkel Reply
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  • @lostfish (Comment 13) :

    Very good point . Then again i dont care if the cheerleaders spell frikkadelle , as long as the team win im happy ..

    @Ben (Comment 15) :

    if the Lions gets relegated ill be ready to look nifty im in oaklies :cool:

  • Comment 18, posted at 22.03.12 14:13:22 by Zibbie Reply
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  • Got 4 of the games the same, went for a draw in the Rebels v Force game :razz:

  • Comment 19, posted at 22.03.12 14:14:49 by JarsonX Reply
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  • @Pokkel (Comment 17) : painful is more interesting than a snoozefest.

  • Comment 20, posted at 22.03.12 14:16:13 by lostfish Reply
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  • Highlanders and Rebels gonna win…

  • Comment 21, posted at 22.03.12 14:19:46 by JJR Reply
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    JJRCurrie Cup player
     
  • @The Quirk (Comment 6) : Actually they had their backs to the sharks supporters, which is what any self respecting LION does, from the front the banners they were carrying read correctly. :lol:

  • Comment 22, posted at 22.03.12 14:25:02 by Greg Reply

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  • @lostfish (Comment 20) :

    I’ll have to be super bored to watch that game. I might catch some highlights somewhere.

  • Comment 23, posted at 22.03.12 14:29:06 by Pokkel Reply
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  • @Greg (Comment 22) :

    i think he might have been a cheerleader at some stages …

  • Comment 24, posted at 22.03.12 14:30:07 by Zibbie Reply
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  • 3 deaths due to none selection

  • Comment 25, posted at 23.03.12 06:46:46 by Zibbie Reply
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  • @Zibbie (Comment 25) : I have opted to take a bye this week still recovering from last weeks Chiefs game

  • Comment 26, posted at 23.03.12 07:09:30 by BR Reply

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  • @BR (Comment 26) :

    haha . same !!!

  • Comment 27, posted at 23.03.12 07:15:33 by Zibbie Reply
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  • brumbies to cause the weekends upset

  • Comment 28, posted at 23.03.12 13:47:20 by jako Reply
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