Letgo

My Prediction Log Week 10


Written by Maria Delport (Letgo)

Posted in :Bulls, Lions, Original Content, Sharks, Stormers, Super Rugby on 30 Apr 2012 at 12:34
Tagged with : , , , , ,

In week 8 I started a segment called “Time for Predictions”. This was my week 8 Log predictions.

Before the Chiefs game the Sharks still had their faith in their own hands and by winning all their own games could have still possibly ended 4th on the log, just behind the Reds at three and topping the Australian log. The Stormers and Crusaders were the top two and the Bulls and Chiefs made up the rest of the top six. The teams who just missed out in my week 8 predictions were the Brumbies, The Highlanders and the Hurricanes.

I made a spreadsheet (2012 SUPER 15 – 30 April) with predictions (also in Week 10 Spreadsheet pdf) and an example of how the spreadsheet works. Let’s see what happened to my predictions after two weeks of rugby:

Just to let you know, I correctly predicted all the results of week 10 and thus my predicted log from week 9 to week 10 did not change at all, but in week 9 it was a whole different story with three of the results of week 9 ending up different from what I had predicted. I had incorrectly predicted that the Stormers would falter at week 3 on tour against the Reds, that the Highlanders would take only a losing bonus point from the Waratahs and that the Sharks would make it three from three at home against the Chiefs. The Highlanders game was a pretty close call and the Sharks disappointed themselves, but I should have known the Stormers would be too strong for a wounded Reds team.

These results had effects on 5 teams in my week 10 prediction log.

The Chiefs moved up 2 spots and took the Sharks’ spot at 4, with the Sharks moving down 2 into 6th. The Brumbies jumped the log by four and moved into 3rd, by taking over the Reds as the Austrialian conference leaders. This pushed the Reds right out of the top 6 into 8th and the Highlanders moved 1 spot closer to the playoffs into 7th.

Here’s my predicted log after 10 weeks (Log Predictions 10):

1 Crusaders 66
2 Stormers 66
4 Chiefs 62
5 Bulls 60
6 Sharks 59
3 Brumbies 54
7 Highlanders 54
8 Reds 50
9 Hurricanes 47
10 Waratahs 44
11 Cheetahs 36
12 Force 32
13 Blues 30
14 Lions 21
15 Rebels 20


7 Comments

  • Would the Brumbies not be at 3 with the way the conference system works?

  • Comment 1, posted at 30.04.12 12:42:19 by Bokhoring Reply
    BokhoringCurrie Cup player
     
  • @Bokhoring (Comment 1) : I read 1,2 4,5, 6, 3………lol

  • Comment 2, posted at 30.04.12 14:27:08 by Silver Fox Reply
    Silver FoxCurrie Cup player
     
  • Definitively had a blond moment there – did not even look at the little numbers up front

  • Comment 3, posted at 30.04.12 14:34:45 by Bokhoring Reply
    BokhoringCurrie Cup player
     
  • Letgo,

    If our Sharks finish 6th we in for a rough, rough time. We would then head off to play the Brumbies in Oz, then if we beat them have to travel to NZ to play the Saders in a semi, if we beat them then head off to Cape Town if the Stormers happen to win their semi and play them there.

    Now if Chiefs beat the Bulls, then it would be Chiefs that would have to travel to Cape Town for a semi and if they happen to beat the Stormers, then I think we just may have a chance. Cause we would be waiting in NZ to face them after they have travelled…… :mrgreen:

  • Comment 4, posted at 30.04.12 14:55:53 by Puma Reply
    PumaCurrie Cup player
     
  • Sharks won’t even make the top 6. That’s my prediction.

  • Comment 5, posted at 30.04.12 15:08:56 by Ben Reply
    BenTeam captain
     
  • @Puma (Comment 4) : It’s Ironic, but because the Australians will just be pushed up the log, it will actually not be that bad to end 6th and play the 3rd placed Australian team. I believe we can beat any of the Australian teams in Australia. That means at the very least we can get to the semi’s. And it will make no difference whether we ended up at 4 or 6, because the top 2 sides will get the home semi’s anyway.

    Stormers and Crusaders will always be a very difficult game, but I don’t think coming 4 or 6 on the log will make much of a difference to that result.

  • Comment 6, posted at 30.04.12 15:12:02 by Letgo Reply
    Author
    LetgoTeam captain
     
  • @Ben (Comment 5) : That’s a very sane prediction to make. We’re 3 from 9 and have to play 7 more, 4 of which is against opposition that is higher than us on the log.

    The logical thing would be to predict a 9th or 10th spot with about 47 log points.

    We’ll see though, sport aren’t always logical. Sias would know.

  • Comment 7, posted at 30.04.12 15:22:01 by Letgo Reply
    Author
    LetgoTeam captain
     

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