Richard Ferguson

Punter’s weekend preview – Week 11


Written by Richard Ferguson (Richard Ferguson)

Posted in :Bulls, Cheetahs, Lions, Sharks, Super Rugby on 3 May 2012 at 14:46
Tagged with : , , ,

Round 11 of Super Rugby sees another tough weekend of rugby matches, which does play into your hands as a punter, as the return for being on target is much greater. Head on over to the Marshalls World of Sport website and have a look at the following games:

Our weekend kicks off with a New Zealand derby, where the Hurricanes play host to an awful Blues outfit. This match should and most likely will only go one way.

Hurricanes – 5/10
Blues – 19/10

The second Friday morning game, and the first South African involvement for the weekend has the Bulls taking on the Rebels in their first tour match. The Rebels have been struggling this season and even more so with recent injuries, and the Bulls will target this match as a must win.

Rebels – 9/2
Bulls – 2/10

Our Super Saturday gets going with the Chiefs hosting the Lions in Hamilton. The Chiefs are top of the log and the Lions aren’t exactly flying high at the moment. Need I say more?

Chiefs – 5/100
Lions – 14/1

Even though it will not be the greatest match to watch, the Australian derby between the Brumbies and the Waratahs could go either way. If you have a strong feeling about either of these teams pulling off a victory, let me know.

Brumnies – 8/10
Waratahs – 11/10

The game we are all waiting for with eager anticipation, the Sharks playing host to the Highlanders. Again, a match that could go either way, but with the home team fancied slightly in terms of the odds.

Sharks – 4/10
Highlanders – 2/1

The fourth and final Saturday game has the Cheetahs up against the travelling Force. The Cheetahs, after their disappointing loss last weekend, will not lose another game at home, especially not against a weak Australian outfit.

Cheetahs – 3/10
Force – 28/10

Our one and only Sunday morning match, and we end the weekend with a cracker, as the Crusaders take on the defending champion Reds team. The Crusaders are at home and after a slow start, have hit their straps in the last couple of weeks.

Crusaders – 3/20
Reds – 5/1

If there are any other sporting codes you would like to see covered in our weekly betting article, please do not hesitate to contact me – [email protected]

Yours in Punting

Marshalls World of Sport is offering you the fantastic opportunity to win an all-expenses-paid weekend in London to watch the Springboks take on England at Twickenham on Saturday 24th November 2012 and a Premier League soccer match on the Sunday. Four lucky winners. Are you game?

We will be running 3 separate competitions to select our four lucky winners! A person is able to enter all 3 competitions (listed below) if they wish.

Competition 1 – Two Winners
Super Rugby –Marshalls World of Sport SuperBru Pool

Competition 2 – One Winner
Football Betting

Competition 3 – One Winner
Durban July 2012

Terms and conditions apply. For more information visit www.worldofsport.co.za



32 Comments

  • With the games all being dominated by favourites, I have gone with a SAFE four team multiple and a more DARING five team multiple.

    It is the only way to extract some decent value from the weekend.

    TIP – Stay away from the Aussie derby match on Saturday, you are bound to go the wrong way..

  • Comment 1, posted at 03.05.12 14:57:06 by Richard Ferguson Reply
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  • @Richard Ferguson (Comment 1) : i’m not much of a betting man, can you please explain something to me quickly, lets say sharks highlanders game if I were to put 100 on sharks what will i win and if i put it on highlanders what will i win if the respective teams win.

  • Comment 2, posted at 03.05.12 15:06:54 by MJ Reply

    MJUnder 21 player
     
  • A quick guid on odds:

    The odd is a percentage return you will receive on your bet.

    So, in your scenario of putting R100 on either the Sharks or the Highlanders, you will receive the following return:

    Sharks – R40
    Highlanders – R200

    You have to remember that the odd quoted is ONLY the return you receive, as you will get the money you lay (R100) back as well.

    So if you include the R100 that you spent on the bet, you will receive R140 in total if the Sharks win and R300 in total should the Highlanders win.

  • Comment 3, posted at 03.05.12 15:10:16 by Richard Ferguson Reply
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  • thought so, but needed to make sure before i place any bets, won’t be on the sharks though,thanks

  • Comment 4, posted at 03.05.12 15:28:31 by MJ Reply

    MJUnder 21 player
     
  • @Richard Ferguson (Comment 3) : what is you email address?

  • Comment 5, posted at 03.05.12 15:32:35 by Megatron Reply

    MegatronSuper Rugby player
     
  • @Megatron (Comment 5) :

    My email address is [email protected]

  • Comment 6, posted at 03.05.12 16:35:27 by Richard Ferguson Reply
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  • Not much return on a safe fourfold, but I`m not touching that aussie derby! :mrgreen:

  • Comment 7, posted at 03.05.12 18:06:39 by Original Pierre Reply
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    Original PierreSuper Rugby player
     
  • @Original Pierre (Comment 7) :

    On a tiny stretch, I can get even money on a safe fourfold..

    That’s good enough for me, especially if you are brave enough to go big with it..

  • Comment 8, posted at 03.05.12 18:22:44 by Richard Ferguson Reply
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  • If I read those odds correctly, the Sharks aren’t slightly favoured, they are yards ahead!

    The Bulls one is interresting, imagine having to bet on that one for a simple R50 return

  • Comment 9, posted at 03.05.12 19:48:40 by Die Kriek Reply

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  • @Richard Ferguson (Comment 8) : Well on Sportsbet I had to go with : Canes, Bulls, Chiefs, FS + Crusers to get 2.05 odds.

    I don`t feel comfortable with this. Surely there must be some upsets along the line?

  • Comment 10, posted at 03.05.12 20:01:15 by Original Pierre Reply
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  • @Die Kriek (Comment 9) :

    Yup, to make R50 you will need to lay R250..

    And yes, I did write that a tad incorrect. I didn’t want to jinx the boys..

  • Comment 11, posted at 03.05.12 20:12:47 by Richard Ferguson Reply
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  • @Richard Ferguson (Comment 3) : Sharks are favorites? :shock:

  • Comment 12, posted at 03.05.12 20:13:16 by Ben Reply
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  • @Richard Ferguson (Comment 11) : Seems a rather futile effort, and then we get the Chiefs, 5/100! How is that possible in SR, just too wrong!

    Good thinking not to jinx them, hope the bookies have it right though

  • Comment 13, posted at 03.05.12 20:17:19 by Die Kriek Reply

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  • R1000 on the Lions please. Thanks Richard. I finally understand how these odds work now.

  • Comment 14, posted at 03.05.12 20:24:16 by Ben Reply
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  • Quick question, the number of bets affect the odds, am I right?
    If so, say you get even odds, and you bet R100 on team A, and then as the week goes on, more bets are placed on B, ending up with team A 2/1 and team B 1/2, would you still win R100 on the 1/1 odds, or R200 on the 2/1 odds?

  • Comment 15, posted at 03.05.12 20:24:30 by Die Kriek Reply

    Super Rugby player
     
  • @Die Kriek (Comment 15) :

    There is an easy way to calculate multiple bets, but you have the right idea..

    You start with say your R100 bet, which goes on the first match. Your winnings are then put on the second matc and so it grows..

    If all four my teams win, I will eventually get R2000 for my R1000..

    But one loss messes up the process..

  • Comment 16, posted at 03.05.12 20:30:30 by Richard Ferguson Reply
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  • @Die Kriek (Comment 15) :

    I seem to have misread your question.. Sorry..

    Yes, the more money goes on a certain outcome, the lower that odd becomes. But once you have put your money down at say 2/1, that is what you will win. The others who bet later will then get the lower odd..

  • Comment 17, posted at 03.05.12 20:33:10 by Richard Ferguson Reply
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  • So if I put R1000 down on the Lions and they win, my return would be R15 000?

    Man if only I could see into the future! :mrgreen:

  • Comment 18, posted at 03.05.12 20:42:51 by Ben Reply
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  • @Richard Ferguson (Comment 16) : Dude multiples are just scary. Somewhere along the line we always slip up. There`s a reason why the odds go up when you add multiples . . .

  • Comment 19, posted at 03.05.12 20:44:08 by Original Pierre Reply
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    Original PierreSuper Rugby player
     
  • @Ben (Comment 18) :

    If only hey?

    Then imagine horse racing, where you see horses with 50/1 and 100/1 winning..

    Imagine that?!

  • Comment 20, posted at 03.05.12 20:54:06 by Richard Ferguson Reply
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  • @Richard Ferguson (Comment 20) : Holy smokes!

    R10 000 on the second horse will make you a very rich man if he wins. Thing is with rugby only 1 of two teams can win. With horses there are like 8 or more?

    Another thing. Are there odds for draws? Let’s say I put R1000 on the Lions to win. What would I get back if the game was drawn? 0?

  • Comment 21, posted at 03.05.12 20:59:39 by Ben Reply
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  • @Ben (Comment 21) :

    There are quite big odds for draws, and rightly so, as we haven’t seen one so far this season..

    You will not win anything if a game is drawn, unless you back the draw, like on superbru..

  • Comment 22, posted at 03.05.12 21:31:19 by Richard Ferguson Reply
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  • @Richard Ferguson (Comment 22) : Okay cool. Thanks. Do you bet on football as well?

  • Comment 23, posted at 03.05.12 21:35:06 by Ben Reply
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  • Oh yeah Rich.

    Sorry about your team going down to Man City on Monday. :mrgreen:

    Not that I’m really in any sort of position to be saying anything. Just glad my team made it to the CL finals. Man we need to win that thing so badly. And then we have a FA Cup final to look forward to as well.

    Sucks that the Community shield might be the only trophy Man Utd wins this season. Sucks for you that is! :mrgreen:

  • Comment 24, posted at 03.05.12 21:39:36 by Ben Reply
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  • @Ben (Comment 24) : you can mock Rich all you like, but no Saffer can say he’s a true supporter until they have backed the Hammers! It hurts like hell, but I stick by my team. (kinda like supporting the Lions in SR)

  • Comment 25, posted at 03.05.12 22:19:00 by Die Kriek Reply

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  • @Die Kriek (Comment 25) : I’ve been supporting Chelsea from before the Roman Abramovich era.

    But I really get what you are saying. That has to suck..

  • Comment 26, posted at 03.05.12 22:24:15 by Ben Reply
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  • @Die Kriek (Comment 25) : Also have a buddy who until today still supports Southhampton. Ouch!

  • Comment 27, posted at 03.05.12 23:07:43 by Ben Reply
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  • @Ben (Comment 27) : Southampton I mean. :oops:

  • Comment 28, posted at 03.05.12 23:14:47 by Ben Reply
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  • @Ben (Comment 28) : I was actually there today :)

  • Comment 29, posted at 03.05.12 23:34:14 by robdylan Reply
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  • @Ben (Comment 23) :

    I don’t really bet football anymore, I don’t follow it that closely, and the fact that the draw is always a possibility puts me off..

    As for Man Utd, damn I was disappointed. But I think the better team will win the League this year, and make for a nice change..

  • Comment 30, posted at 04.05.12 07:06:48 by Richard Ferguson Reply
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  • @Richard Ferguson (Comment 30) : EPL must be the hardest competition to predict on SuperBru. So unpredictable.

    And like you said the draw is always a big possibility. Wouldn’t bet on football either.

  • Comment 31, posted at 04.05.12 07:58:54 by Ben Reply
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  • @Ben (Comment 31) :

    Its just not worth it, to be very honest..

    The odds are structured in such a way that the bookie wins..

    I have always been of the opinion that you only bet on what you know, and I don’t know EPL or Champs League or any Football for that matter..

    Now horses, thats a different story

  • Comment 32, posted at 04.05.12 08:09:35 by Richard Ferguson Reply
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