robdylan

Super Rugby 2012: Round 12 preview and predictions


Written by Rob Otto (robdylan)

Posted in :Original Content, Super Rugby on 10 May 2012 at 09:00
Tagged with : ,

Another fun-filled weekend of Super Rugby awaits and with no Aussie derbies at all in the round (coupled with a realistic chance that all four of their teams that are playing this week might lose) it may turn out to be a great round indeed! Let’s run the rule over the round 12 action…

Blues v MTN Lions 11 May at 09:35

This battle of the cellar dwellars will unfortunately do little to hold the interest, save for those desperate few keen to figure out how one of them could possibly conspire to lose to the other, so dire have both been in 2012. Let’s give this one to the Blues, based on home ground advantage and the fact that while they are shit, they probably aren’t quite shit enough to lose to Mitchell’s mob. Blues by 7.

Blues: 15. Hadleigh Parkes, 14. David Raikuna, 13. Ma’a Nonu, 12. Michael Hobbs, 11. Benson Stanley, 10. Gareth Anscombe, 9. Piri Weepu, 8. Peter Saili, 7. Luke Braid (Captain), 6. Daniel Braid, 5. Ali Williams, 4. Liaki Moli, 3. Charlie Faumuina, 2. Tom McCartney, 1. Tevita Mailau
Replacements: 16. James Parsons, 17. Angus Ta’avao, 18. Filo Paulo, 19. Steven Luatua, 20. Alby Mathewson, 21. Lachie Munro, 22. Sherwin Stowers

Lions: 15. Andries Coetzee, 14. Deon van Rensburg, 13. Lionel Mapoe, 12. Jaco Taute, 11. Michael Killian, 10. Elton Jantjies, 9. Ross Cronje, 8. Joshua Strauss (Captain), 7. Grant Hattingh, 6. Derick Minnie, 5. Ruan Botha, 4. Franco van der Merwe, 3. Pat Cilliers, 2. Callie Visagie, 1. JC Janse van Rensburg
Replacements: 16. Martin Bezuidenhout, 17. CJ van der Linde, 18. Cobus Grobbelaar, 19. Jaco Kriel, 20. Tian Meyer, 21. Ruan Combrinck, 22. James Kamana

Waratahs v Vodacom Bulls 11 May at 11:40

The Bulls have a great opportunity here to go two from two in Australia, in the process knocking the Tahs well back into the chasing pack and opening up a bit of breathing space for the top teams. They had their fright in Melbourne last week and will no doubt have tightened up on defence; the Waratahs, in contrast, have basically chucked away their whole team and started again after being humbled by the Brumbies. It’s always a long shot to call a South African win in Sydney, but that’s what I’m going to do this week. Bulls by 5.

Waratahs: 15. Daniel Halangahu, 14. Tom Kingston, 13. Rob Horne, 12. Adam Ashley-Cooper, 11. Afa Pakalani, 10. Berrick Barnes, 9. Sarel Pretorius, 8. Wycliff Palu, 7. Chris Alcock, 6. Rocky Elsom (Captain), 5. Kane Douglas, 4. Dean Mumm, 3. Sekope Kepu, 2. John Ulugia, 1. Benn Robinson
Replacements: 16. Joshua Mann-Rea, 17. Jeremy Tilse, 18. Sitaleki Timani, 19. Lopeti Timani, 20. Dave Dennis, 21. Brendan McKibbin, 22. Tom Carter

Bulls: 15. Zane Kirchner, 14. Akona Ndungane, 13. Johann Sadie, 12. Francois Venter, 11. Bjorn Basson, 10. Morné Steyn, 9. Francois Hougaard, 8. Pierre Spies (Captain), 7. CJ Stander, 6. Deon Stegmann, 5. Juandre Kruger, 4. Flip van der Merwe, 3. Werner Kruger, 2. Chiliboy Ralepelle, 1. Dawie Steyn
Replacements: 16. Willie Wepener, 17. Rayno Gerber, 18. Wilhelm Steenkamp, 19. Arno Botha, 20. Jano Vermaak, 21. Louis Fouche, 22. JJ Engelbrecht

Highlanders v Hurricanes 12 May at 09:35

A few things make this one easier to call than might otherwise have been the case. Firstly, the Landers have just returned from tour and will face a Canes side presumably a wee bit fresher; secondly, Jamie Josephs’ side are now reeling with the sort of injury toll that makes it hard to even name a match 22. Neither side has been confirmed at the time of writing, but I reckon the Canes will be too strong here. Hurricanes by 4.

Highlanders: TBA

Hurricanes: 1. Reggie Goodes,2. Dane Coles,3. Ben May,4. Jeremy Thrush,5. Jason Eaton,6. Faifili Levave,7. Karl Lowe,8. Victor Vito,9. TJ Perenara,10. Beauden Barrett,11. Julian Savea,12. Charlie Ngatai / Tim Bateman,13. Conrad Smith (c) ,14. Cory Jane,15. Andre Taylor
Replacements : 16. Motu Matu’u,17. Jeffery Toomaga-Allen,18. Brad Shields,19. Jack Lam,20. Chris Eaton,21. Tusi Pisi / Daniel Kirkpatrick,22. Tim Bateman / Alapati Leiua

Rebels v Crusaders 12 May at 11:40

The mighty Cru, led by King Richie the Never-Onside, head to Melbourne to inflict more pain on the out-of-their-depth Rebels. Even though Todd Blackadder has opted to rest a few first-choice starters, the 750-time champions will romp to victory against a side that played their final against the Bulls last week. In round 11. Sheesh! Crusaders by 12

Rebels: 1. Nic Henderson, 2. Ged Robinson, 3. Rodney Blake, 4. Cadeyrn Neville, 5. Hugh Pyle (vc), 6. Tim Davidson, 7. Michael Lipman, 8. Gareth Delve (c), 9. Nick Phipps, 10. Kurtley Beale, 11. Cooper Vuna, 12. Lachlan Mitchell, 13. Mitch Inman, 14. Mark Gerrard, 15. Julian Huxley.
Replacements: 16. Adam Freier, 17. Jono Owen, 18. Al Campbell, 19. Ryan Hodson, 20. Nic Stirzaker, 21. James Hilgendorf, 22. Stirling Mortlock.

Crusaders: 15. Tom Marshall, 14. Sean Maitland, 13. Robert Fruean, 12. Dan Carter, 11. Zac Guildford, 10. Tom Taylor, 9. Willi Heinz, 8. Luke Whitelock, 7. Richie McCaw (Captain), 6. George Whitelock, 5. Sam Whitelock, 4. Luke Romano, 3. Owen Franks, 2. Corey Flynn, 1. Wyatt Crockett
Replacements: 16. Ben Funnell, 17. Ben Franks, 18. Tom Donnelly, 19. Kieran Read, 20. Andy Ellis, 21. Ryan Crotty, 22. Israel Dagg

Sharks v Force 12 May at 17:05

Oh please tell me we cannot actually seriously contemplate losing this game? Ok, good – I didn’t think so either. We haven’t seen either side yet, but expect the Sharks to wrestle their way to a dour, 6-point win. It will only be worth watching because it means another Aussie loss. Yeeha! (Not)

Sharks: 15 Louis Ludik, 14 JP Pietersen, 13 Paul Jordaan, 12 Tim Whitehead, 11 Lwazi Mvovo, 10 Patrick Lambie,9 Charl McLeod, 8 Keegan Daniel (captain ), 7 Marcell Coetzee, 6 Jacques Botes, 5 Anton Bresler, 4 Steven Sykes, 3 Jannie du Plessis, 2 Bismarck du Plessis, 1 Tendai Mtawarira
Substitutes: 16 Craig Burden, 17 Wiehahn Herbst, 18 Pieter-Steph du Toit, 19 Jean Deysel, 20 Ryan Kankowski, 21 Frederic Michalak, 22 Meyer Bosman

Force: 1 Pek Cowan,2 Nathan Charles,3 Salesi Ma’afu,4 Toby Lynn,5 Nathan Sharpe,6 Richard Brown,7 David Pocock (Captain),8 Matt Hodgson,9 Brett Sheehan,10 David Harvey,11 Napolioni Nalaga,12 Winston Stanley,13 Nick Cummins,14 Sam Wara,15 Alfie Mafi
Replacements :16 Elvis Taione,17 Salesi Manu,18 Phoenix Battye,19 Lachlan McCaffrey,20 Josh Holmes,21 Ben Seymour,22 Rory Sidey

DHL Stormers v Toyota Cheetahs 12 May at 19:10

This, I suspect, will be a good game. The Cheetahs will throw caution to the wind and attempt to unsettle the structured Stormers, which can, of course, result in one of two things. Either they will break against the Stormers’ resolute defence and lose on penalties (like everyone else who has played the Stormers this year), or they might just succeed in opening the game up a bit and may even sneak a win. Don’t go to the bank on this, but I have a feeling there’s an upset looming here. Cheetahs by 5 and that’s based on nothing but gut-feeling.

Stormers: 15. Joe Pietersen, 14. Gio Aplon, 13. Juan de Jongh, 12. Jean de Villiers (Captain), 11. Bryan Habana, 10. Peter Grant, 9. Dewaldt Duvenage, 8. Nizaam Carr, 7. Rynhardt Elstadt, 6. Siya Kolisi, 5. Andries Bekker, 4. Eben Etzebeth, 3. Brok Harris, 2. Deon Fourie, 1. Steven Kitshoff
Replacements: 16. Tiaan Liebenberg, 17. Frans Malherbe, 18. De Kock Steenkamp, 19. Jebb Sinclair, 20. Louis Schreuder, 21. Burton Francis, 22. Gerhard van den Heever

Cheetahs: 15. Hennie Daniller, 14. Cameron Jacobs, 13. Robert Ebersohn, 12. Andries Strauss, 11. Willie Le Roux, 10. Sias Ebersohn, 9. Piet van Zyl, 8. Philip Van der Walt, 7. Justin Downey, 6. Heinrich Brussow, 5. Izak van der Westhuizen, 4. George Earle, 3. WP Nel, 2. Adriaan Strauss (Captain), 1. Coenie Oosthuizen
Replacements: 16. Hercu Liebenberg, 17. Trevor Nyakane, 18. Andries Ferreira, 19. Ashley Johnson, 20. Tewis de Bruyn, 21. Riaan Smit, 22. Philip Snyman

Reds v Chiefs 13 May at 08:10

Sunday’s game sees the champions up against the challengers and while the 2012 Reds make their 2011 counterparts look like a real flash in the pan, only time will tell whether the 2012 Chiefs are in fact the real deal, having looked the part in years gone by without ever managing to stay the course. The Reds, though, are not the side that will arrest the Chiefs’ march to the play-offs, because they simply aren’t good enough to do so this year. Chiefs by around 9.

Reds: TBA

Chiefs: TBS



19 Comments

  • I’m 13 from 13 in the last two weekends, hoping to stretch to 20 from 20 this week.

    Only one different to you Rob, but you and I spotted the same thing in the NZ derby ;-)

  • Comment 1, posted at 10.05.12 09:07:45 by Richard Ferguson Reply
    Competition Winner Administrator
    Richard FergusonCoach
     
  • @Richard Ferguson (Comment 1) : I hope you didn’t jinx yourself.

  • Comment 2, posted at 10.05.12 09:19:21 by lostfish Reply
    Valued Sharksworld SupporterCompetition Winner
    lostfishSuper Rugby player
     
  • @lostfish (Comment 2) :

    Nah, don’t believe in those things..

    Should be another decent weekend though, nothing like my 1 from 6 weekend a few months ago..

  • Comment 3, posted at 10.05.12 09:22:01 by Richard Ferguson Reply
    Competition Winner Administrator
    Richard FergusonCoach
     
  • Blues
    Bulls
    H’landers
    C’saders
    Sharks
    Stormers
    Reds

  • Comment 4, posted at 10.05.12 09:57:29 by JarsonX Reply
    Competition WinnerCompetition WinnerCompetition Winner
    JarsonXAssistant coach
     
  • I’ll ho a bid different, but that’s maybe why I’m way waaaaay back….

  • Comment 5, posted at 10.05.12 09:58:08 by Franshark Reply
    Author
    FransharkTeam captain
     
  • Another Sunday game :roll:

  • Comment 6, posted at 10.05.12 10:08:30 by JarsonX Reply
    Competition WinnerCompetition WinnerCompetition Winner
    JarsonXAssistant coach
     
  • @JarsonX (Comment 6) : And next weekend, the Force and Rebels take the field on Sunday.

  • Comment 7, posted at 10.05.12 10:10:19 by JarsonX Reply
    Competition WinnerCompetition WinnerCompetition Winner
    JarsonXAssistant coach
     
  • At least LMS stress will be over after the 1st game tomorrow :cool:

  • Comment 8, posted at 10.05.12 10:11:40 by JarsonX Reply
    Competition WinnerCompetition WinnerCompetition Winner
    JarsonXAssistant coach
     
  • @JarsonX (Comment 6) :

    I think the idea is to not end up having 5 games on one day, it is a bit much to sit and watch 10hours rugby on end..

  • Comment 9, posted at 10.05.12 10:12:43 by Richard Ferguson Reply
    Competition Winner Administrator
    Richard FergusonCoach
     
  • @Richard Ferguson (Comment 9) : Well nobody is being forced to watch all the games and if they plan a bit better they can avoid that. But then again, they cant plan at all.

  • Comment 10, posted at 10.05.12 10:16:24 by JarsonX Reply
    Competition WinnerCompetition WinnerCompetition Winner
    JarsonXAssistant coach
     
  • I’m out on a limb with the Cheetahs, right?

  • Comment 11, posted at 10.05.12 10:18:48 by robdylan Reply
    Competition Winner Administrator
    robdylanHead Coach
     
  • @robdylan (Comment 11) :

    I think so boet..

    The Cheetahs are good against SA opposition, but I cannot see the Stormers losing their first home game against the Cheetahs of all teams..

    They will be fresh as well.. And a bunch of players back from injury..

    Its too much in favour of the Stormers..

  • Comment 12, posted at 10.05.12 10:21:05 by Richard Ferguson Reply
    Competition Winner Administrator
    Richard FergusonCoach
     
  • @robdylan (Comment 11) : @Richard Ferguson (Comment 12) : It might come down to Sias’ boot :twisted:

  • Comment 13, posted at 10.05.12 10:43:05 by JarsonX Reply
    Competition WinnerCompetition WinnerCompetition Winner
    JarsonXAssistant coach
     
  • @robdylan (Comment 11) : wishful thinking? ;)

  • Comment 14, posted at 10.05.12 10:46:59 by Franshark Reply
    Author
    FransharkTeam captain
     
  • @robdylan (Comment 11) :

    I can’t see the Cheetah’s beating the Stormers tbh.

    Also don’t write of the Reds against the Chiefs. The Reds put up a good show against the Saders away from home and it won’t be a walk in the park for the Chiefs I think.

    Blues Lions could go either way and I’m not all that sure about my LMS pick for the Blues at all anymore.

    Highlanders Hurricanes can also go either way.

    Interesting on Re:union last night. They showed the Highlanders remaining games of the year and they have a hell of a tough road to the final. That might open the door for the Sharks to sneak into the play-offs if they play well.

  • Comment 15, posted at 10.05.12 10:55:22 by Pokkel Reply
    Valued Sharksworld Supporter Author
    Team captain
     
  • Sharks will Win by at least 8 points.

  • Comment 16, posted at 10.05.12 12:30:39 by JJR Reply
    Author
    JJRCurrie Cup player
     
  • I can Finally pick the Sharks on LMS!

    Oh wait :sad:

  • Comment 17, posted at 10.05.12 14:18:56 by Original Pierre Reply
    Author
    Original PierreSuper Rugby player
     
  • @JarsonX (Comment 8) : a number of picks for the Blues – I was just thinking that it is a game that the Lions have a chance to win :twisted:

  • Comment 18, posted at 10.05.12 16:56:36 by rekinek Reply
    Competition WinnerCompetition Winner Author
    rekinekTeam captain
     
  • @Pokkel (Comment 15) : if I were to be a realistic supporter (ie. not the one that always think her team will win with BP :mrgreen: I’d say that the Sharks are quite ok placed. The only loss that should not have happened was against the Chiefs. The rest were away losses – easier to stomach.

  • Comment 19, posted at 10.05.12 17:00:25 by rekinek Reply
    Competition WinnerCompetition Winner Author
    rekinekTeam captain
     

Add Comment

You must be logged in to post a comment.