The closer we get to the end the easier it gets to see what the final log might look like. I broke it down by listing the teams as they are on the current log and then listing the teams that they still have to play from week 14 to 18. Below each team name I have added Home/Away (H/A), Win/Lose (W/L) as well as the log points that I think they will take away from this encounter. At the end I have included the final log points (W18) and then the current log points (W13).
I color coded my list so that the Top 6 teams are Dark Blue, the 3 teams still in the race light Blue and the Bottom 6 are Red. So you could clearly see that the Chiefs theoretically have a pretty tough road ahead with only one Bottom ranked team left in their fixtures, whereas the Stormers if they could navigate two more weeks they theoretically have a much easier finish to the competition. The third placed Brumbies according to this has the easiest final run of games.
Also it’s easy to pin point the tight games, compared to one sided games, where if teams fall in the same color category the game should be a tight one and the more the colour varies the more lopsided the game should be. Another thing to note is that any game in the Blue colour code will have an influence on the log, the more Blue teams involved the bigger the influence on the log. And finally if you’re hoping for your team to climb the log, hope for Light Blue and Red teams to beat the Dark Blue teams. Simple.
I also have a PDF version of the 6 Remaning Weeks & Bonus Points listed below.
|Week 14||Week 15||Week 16||Week 17||Week 18||W 18||W 13|
My prediction success this season so far is just below 70%, which means you can be almost 70% sure of this log, keeping in mind that a lot of the predictions that one usually makes an incorrect call on are the tight games which there are still 22 of amongst the top 9 teams. Still plenty can happen this season.
Here’s an Excel File for those of you who would like to change some of my predictions and see how it would effect the log week by week.Tweet