robdylan

Super Rugby 2012: Round 18 preview and predictions


Written by Rob Otto (robdylan)

Posted in :Original Content, Super Rugby on 12 Jul 2012 at 09:38
Tagged with : , ,

Can you believe that the final round of Super Rugby is here already? There’s still plenty to play for, so let’s see how things turn out.

Hurricanes v Chiefs 13 July at 09:35

The Chiefs are already secure at the top of the New Zealand conference log and can now finish no lower than second overall. Having lost to the Crusaders last week, though, they’ll be determined to take as many as they can from this game to ensure a first place finish on the over all log; a slip up could see them lose out to the Stormers. The Canes are all but dead, but will also know that five good points here could see them slip through if both the Sharks and Bulls somehow lose. Plenty of motivation and it should be an open, high-scoring game. I expect the Chiefs to prevail by around 4 points, in the end.

Hurricanes: 15. Andre Taylor, 14. Cory Jane / Alapati Leiua, 13. Conrad Smith (c), 12. Tim Bateman, 11. Julian Savea, 10. Beauden Barrett, 9. Chris Eaton / Frae Wilson, 8. Victor Vito,7. Jack Lam, 6. Faifili Levave, 5. Jason Eaton,4 . Jeremy Thrush, 3. Ben May, 2. Dane Coles, 1. Reg Goodes
Replacements: 16. Motu Matu’u, 17. Jeffery Toomaga-Allen, 18. James Broadhurst, 19. Brad Shields, 20. Frae Wilson / Jamie Nutbrown, 21. Tusi Pisi, 22. Jayden Hayward

Chiefs: 15. Andrew Horrell, 14. Lelia Masaga, 13. Jackson Willison, 12. Sonny Bill Williams, 11. Robbie Robinson, 10. Aaron Cruden, 9. Tawera Kerr-Barlow, 8. Kane Thompson, 7. Tanerau Latimer, 6. Liam Messam, 5. Brodie Retallick, 4. Craig Clarke (capt), 3. Ben Tameifuna, 2. Hika Elliot, 1. Toby Smith
Replacements: 16. Mahonri Schwalger, 17. Sona Taumalolo , 18. Michael Fitzgerald, 19. Sam Cane, 20. Brendon Leonard, 21. Asaeli Tikoirotuma, 22. Tim Nanai-Williams

Brumbies v Blues 14 July at 07:30

Jake’s Brumbies are at home in their final match against the lowly Blues. With the Reds’ challenge for top spot in the Aussie conference having petered out last week, The Brumbies only need a single point from this game to end third, but with a 5-point win could move ahead of the Stormers temporarily. They’ll not be putting much faith in the Rebels beating the Cape side, though, so I reckon it will be safety first from the ever-pragmatic White and his side will play for a win, without picking up any injuries ahead of next week’s knock-out game. Brumbies by 6.

Brumbies: 15. Jesse Mogg, 14. Henry Speight, 13. Andrew Smith, 12. Pat McCabe, 11. Joe Tomane, 10. Zack Holmes, 9. Nic White,8. Ben Mowen (capt), 7. Michael Hooper, 6. Peter Kimlin, 5. Sam Carter, 4. Scott Fardy, 3. Dan Palmer, 2. Stephen Moore, 1. Ben Alexander
Replacements: 16. Anthony Hegarty, 17. Ruaidhri Murphy, 18. Leon Power, 19. Fotu Auelua, 20. Ian Prior, 21. Tevita Kuridrani, 22. Robbie Coleman

Blues: TBA

Crusaders v Force 14 July at 09:35

There’s only one possible result here – the Crusaders by plenty. The Cantabrians now have the inside lane to a home knock-out game, but since they can no longer catch the Chiefs, they can’t end any higher than fourth on the log, regardless of how well they do. They need at least a win to be sure of that spot, but I simply don’t see them going easy on the Force. Crusaders by 25.

Crusaders : 15. Israel Dagg, 14. Sean Maitland, 13. Adam Whitelock, 12. Ryan Crotty, 11. Zac Guildford, 10. Dan Carter, 9. Andy Ellis, 8. Richie McCaw (Captain), 7. Matt Todd, 6. George Whitelock, 5. Tom Donnelly, 4. Luke Romano, 3. Owen Franks, 2. Corey Flynn, 1. Ben Franks
Replacements: 16. Quentin MacDonald, 17. Wyatt Crockett, 18. Sam Whitelock, 19. Luke Whitelock, 20. Willi Heinz, 21. Tom Taylor, 22. Robert Fruean

Force: 15. Alfie Mafi,14. Nick Cummins, 13. Patrick Dellit, 12. Rory Sidey, 11. Napolioni Nalaga, 10. Ben Seymour,9. Brett Sheehan, 8. Lachlan McCaffrey, 7. Angus Cottrell, 6. Richard Brown, 5. Nathan Sharpe (capt), 4. Toby Lynn, 3. Salesi Manu, 2. Nathan Charles, 1. Tetera Faulkner
Replacements: 16. Ben Whittaker, 17. Ruan Smith, 18. Pek Cowan, 19. Ollie Atkins, 20. Josh Holmes, 21. Kyle Godwin, 22. Will Tupou

Reds v Waratahs 14 July at 11:40

This Aussie derby is the one that South African fans will want to watch with interest; bet you never thought we’d say that! All eyes will be on the current champions, who have left things very late in 2012 and will need to pick up five points in their last match to keep pressure on the Sharks and Bulls. Should the Reds lose here, or fail to pick up a fifth point, then both the Durban and Pretoria sides will have the luxury of only needing to win their games in order to progress. I reckon the Reds will take it, but I can’t see them getting the four tries in what is typically a low-scoring affair. Reds by 8.

Reds: 15. Luke Morahan, 14. Dom Shipperley, 13. Anthony Faingaa, 12. Mike Harris, 11. Digby Ioane , 10. Quade Cooper, 9. Will Genia (capt), 8. Scott Higginbotham, 7. Liam Gill, 6. Jake Schatz, 5. Adam Wallace-Harrison, 4. Rob Simmons ,3. James Slipper ,2. Saia Faingaa ,1. Greg Holmes
Replacements: 16. James Hanson, 17. Ben Daley, 18. Radike Samo, 19. Beau Robinson, 20. Jarrad Butler, 21. Ben Lucas, 22. Ben Tapuai,

Waratahs : 15. Adam Ashley-Cooper, 14. Lachlan Turner, 13. Rob Horne, 12. Berrick Barnes, 11. Drew Mitchell, 10. Bernard Foley, 9. Grayson Hart, 8. Dave Dennis, 7. Chris Alcock, 6. Dean Mumm, 5. Kane Douglas, 4. Sitaleki Timani, 3. Paddy Ryan, 2. Tatafu Polota-Nau, 1. Benn Robinson (Captain)
Replacements: 16. John Ulugia, 17. Jeremy Tilse, 18. Lopeti Timani, 19. Jono Jenkins, 20. Brendan McKibbin, 21. Tom Carter, 22. Tom Kingston

DHL Stormers v Rebels 14 July at 15:00

There’s not going to be much of a surprise here. The Stormers will win, but probably won’t get a bonus point. Stormers by 6 (as always).

Stormers : 15. Joe Pietersen, 14. Gio Aplon, 13. Juan de Jongh, 12. Jean de Villiers (Captain), 11. Bryan Habana, 10. Peter Grant, 9. Dewaldt Duvenage, 8. Deon Fourie, 7. Rynhardt Elstadt, 6. Siya Kolisi, 5. Andries Bekker, 4. De Kock Steenkamp, 3. Frans Malherbe, 2. Tiaan Liebenberg, 1. Steven Kitshoff
Replacements: 16. Brok Harris, 17. Deon Carstens, 18. Quinn Roux, 19. Jebb Sinclair, 20. Louis Schreuder, 21. Burton Francis, 22. Gerhard van den Heever

Rebels: TBA

Sharks v Toyota Cheetahs 14 July at 17:05

Nothing less than a 5-point win will suffice (we think) as the Sharks go in search of a play-off spot that they appeared to have bungled after losing to the Lions. The Cheetahs will put up stern resistance, but with the Sharks now firmly in last-chance saloon (again) we expect them to do what’s necessary. Sharks by about 12.

Sharks: TBA

Cheetahs : 15. Willie Le Roux, 14. Nico Scheepers, 13. Robert Ebersohn, 12. Barry Geel, 11. Philip Snyman, 10. Riaan Smit, 9. Piet van Zyl, 8. Boom Prinsloo, 7. Pieter Labuschagne, 6. Heinrich Brussow, 5. Izak van der Westhuizen, 4. Andries Ferreira, 3. WP Nel, 2. Adriaan Strauss (Captain), 1. Trevor Nyakane
Replacements: 16. Hercu Liebenberg, 17. Marcel Van Der Merwe, 18. Waltie Vermeulen, 19. Ashley Johnson, 20. Jacques (Animal) Coetzee, 21. Sias Ebersohn, 22. Andries Strauss

Vodacom Bulls v MTN Lions 14 July at 19:10

The final league game of Super Rugby takes place at Loftus and the Bulls will need to show that they’re a better team than the one that was humbled at Kings Park last week. We expect the unfortunate Lions to be the recipients of that rather painful lesson, with the Bulls to win by 14.

Bulls: 15. Zane Kirchner, 14. Akona Ndungane, 13. JJ Engelbrecht, 12. Wynand Olivier, 11. Bjorn Basson, 10. Morné Steyn, 9. Francois Hougaard, 8. Pierre Spies (Captain), 7. Jacques Potgieter, 6. Dewald Potgieter, 5. Juandre Kruger, 4. Wilhelm Steenkamp, 3. Werner Kruger, 2. Chiliboy Ralepelle, 1. Dean Greyling
Replacements: 16. Willie Wepener, 17. Frik Kirsten, 18. Deon Stegmann, 19. CJ Stander, 20. Jano Vermaak, 21. Louis Fouche, 22. Francois Venter

Lions: TBA



8 Comments

  • I fear the Lions are up against it this weekend. Noticed that Craig Joubert will lead the bulls out against them . . . :twisted:

  • Comment 1, posted at 12.07.12 10:56:17 by Original Pierre Reply
    Author
    Original PierreSuper Rugby player
     
  • I cant see the results being any different. But I expect that there is going to be an upset somewhere this weekend. It may be immeterial for the playoff but lets just hope its not the Sharks.

  • Comment 2, posted at 12.07.12 11:38:31 by Viking Reply
    Author
    VikingCurrie Cup player
     
  • @Viking (Comment 2) : Here’s to hoping it’s the Reds vs Waratahs game!

  • Comment 3, posted at 12.07.12 12:49:10 by vanmartin Reply
    Valued Sharksworld Supporter Author
    vanmartinTeam captain
     
  • So the best possible scenario for the Sharks.

    End in 6th position
    Beat Brumbies

    Bulls lose to the Saders and Saders have to fly to Cape Town to play Stormers.

    Sharks beat Chiefs
    Saders beat Stormers and have to fly all the way back to Christchurch for the final against the Sharks while jetlagged.

    Sharks only travel on the 1st week and end fresher than the Saders for the final.

    Biggest snag would be beating the Chiefs after they had a nice weekend off.

  • Comment 4, posted at 12.07.12 13:01:56 by Pokkel Reply
    Author
    Team captain
     
  • @Pokkel (Comment 4) : “Biggest snag would be beating the Chiefs after they had a nice weekend off”
    That may just be our ace in the hole, if we can take enough momentum into that game the off week may just bite them in the butt

  • Comment 5, posted at 12.07.12 13:49:37 by Die Kriek Reply

    Currie Cup player
     
  • I’m guessing that Plum is waiting on Bismarck to pass a late fitness test.

  • Comment 6, posted at 12.07.12 13:55:41 by FireTheLooser Reply

    FireTheLooserTeam captain
     
  • The game I am most interested in is the first one. If Chiefs lose to Hurricanes (which is not a crazy thought seeing as they are playing at home) they will finish on 63 points. So Brumbies and Stormers can sneak ahead of them meaning both playoffs will be in New Zealand.

    Let’s just beat the Cheetahs by as much as possible.

  • Comment 7, posted at 12.07.12 16:20:25 by Orelando_G Reply

    Orelando_GUnder 21 player
     
  • @Pokkel (Comment 4) : that’s how I see it all unfolding too…

  • Comment 8, posted at 12.07.12 16:46:40 by Franshark Reply
    Author
    FransharkTeam captain
     

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