robdylan

Currie Cup 2012: Round 2 preview and predictions


Written by Rob Otto (robdylan)

Posted in :Currie Cup, Original Content on 16 Aug 2012 at 10:00
Tagged with : , ,

Round two of the 2012 Currie Cup premier division kicks off this weekend, with three mouth-watering clashes of the sort that only a strength-versus-strength competition can dish up. With a Springbok test against Argentina also to factor into the equation this week, be sure to keep an eye on the kick-off times, because there are some changes.

Cheetahs v Blue Bulls

The Friday night game (19h10 kick-off) sees Pine Pienaar’s Bulls, who won comfortably at home against Griquas, travel to Bloemfontein to face a Cheetahs outfit in search of their first win. The Blue Bulls played far better than their pre-tournament billing would suggest last week and despite a lack of big names on paper, look as though they will be a force in this competition. They’ve lost the impressive Arno Botha for this clash, but come up against a Cheetahs side that has made a stunning seven changes and must surely take some time to adjust. You’d fancy the more experienced Cheetahs pack and halfbacks would probably swing this result in favour of the home side this week, but not by much. Cheetahs to win by around 5 points.

Free State Cheetahs: 15 Hennie Daniller, 14 Riaan Smit, 13 Robert Ebersohn (captain), 12 Barry Geel, 11 Raymond Rhule, 10 Sias Ebersohn, 9 Sarel Pretorius, 8 Kabamba Floors, 7 Pieter Labuschagne, 6 Frans Viljoen, 5 Izak van der Westhuizen, 4 Andries Ferreira, 3 Marcel van der Merwe, 2 Hercu Liebenberg, 1 Trevor Nyakane.
Replacements: 16 Elandré Huggett, 17 Schalk van Merwe, 18 Francois Uys, 19 Davon Raubenheimer, 20 Piet van Zyl, 21 Philip Snyman, 22 Nico Scheepers.

Blue Bulls: 15 Jürgen Visser, 14 Akona Ndungane, 13 Ulrich Beyers, 12 Francois Venter, 11 Clayton Blommetjies, 10 Louis Fouché, 9 Ruan Snyman, 8 Dewald Potgieter (captain), 7 CJ Stander, 6 Deon Stegmann, 5 Cornell Hess, 4 Wilhelm Steenkamp, 3 Frik Kirsten, 2 Willie Wepener, 1 Dawie Steyn.
Replacements: 16 Robbie Coetzee, 17 Werner Kruger, 18 Grant Hattingh, 19 Warwick Tecklenburg, 20 Lohan Jacobs, 21 Lionel Cronjé, 22 Jan Serfontein.

Griquas v Western Province

The early Saturday clash kicks off at the unusual hour of 14h30 in Kimberley and features two sides that underperformed in the first round. Province held all the cards ahead of the Sharks’ visit to Newlands last week, yet somehow conspired to lose that game, whilst Griquas shot themselves properly in both feet at Loftus, with an ill-disciplined display of poorly-executed kicking rugby. Both sides have been forced into changes this week; Province have lost a huge amount of experience with Tiaan Liebenberg, Joe Pietersen and Dewaldt Duvanage all out this week, but do at least welcome back Duane Vermeulen, if only for a single half. Griquas have a virtually new backline too, after injury and suspension cut a swathe through the Loftus combination. It would be easy to back Griquas this week had they showed up for last week’s game; the fact that they didn’t makes it hard to call this one. Province, to be fair, showed little last week to suggest that they’ll yet be a threat in this competition and unless they’ve managed to drastically turn around their woes in the space of just a week, I fear the home side will prevail, perhaps by default. Griquas to win a squeaker – perhaps by 2 points?

Griquas: 15 Francois Brummer, 14 Wilmaure Louw, 13 Jean Stemmet, 12 Stefan Watermeyer, 11 Rocco Jansen, 10 Marnitz Boshoff, 9 Jacques Coetzee, 8 Leon Karemaker, 7 Justin Downey, 6 Wesley Wilkins, 5 Martin Muller, 4 Ligtoring Landman, 3 Lourens Adriaanse, 2 Ryno Barnes (captain), 1 Steph Roberts.
Replacements: 16 Matt Dobson, 17 Janro van Niekerk, 18 Frikkie Spies, 19 Jaco Nepgen, 20 Marnus Hugo, 21 Walter Venter, 22 Richard Lawson.

Western Province: 15 Gio Aplon, 14 Gerhard van den Heever, 13 JP du Plessis, 12 Marcel Brache, 11 Ederies Arendse, 10 Demetri Catrakilis, 9 Louis Schreuder, 8 Duane Vermeulen, 7 Jebb Sinclair, 6 Tyrone Holmes, 5 De Kock Steenkamp, 4 Don Armand, 3 Frans Malherbe, 2 Deon Fourie (captain), 1 Steven Kitshoff.
Replacements: 16 Siyabonga Ntubeni, 17 Brok Harris, 18 Wilhelm van der Sluys, 19 Yaya Hartzenberg, 20 Nic Groom, 21 Kurt Coleman, 22 Damian de Allende.

Sharks v Lions

The Lions are certainly the form team after the first round, but the 10-million Dollar question this week is exactly what effect the decision to remove them from Super Rugby will have on the players’ morale and attitude ahead of the weekend. The Sharks weren’t great against WP, but showed great mental strength to win there; they’ve also picked a stronger team this week and should probably be able to contain the Lions at home. Unless, that is, the Lions deliver one of their famous “so pissed off they play well” performances, like they did in Johannesburg earlier in the year. My call, though, is that it will be a dejected and defeated team that rolls into Durban and that the Sharks will win by 10 or more.

Sharks: 15 Louis Ludik, 14 Odwa Ndungane, 13 Paul Jordaan, 12 Meyer Bosman, 11 S’bura Sithole, 10 Riaan Viljoen, 9 Charl McLeod, 8 Jacques Botes, 7 Jean Deysel (captain), 6 Francois Kleinhans, 5 Anton Bresler, 4 Steven Sykes, 3 Wiehahn Herbst, 2 Craig Burden, 1 Dale Chadwick.
Replacements: 16 Monde Hadebe, 17 Julian Redelinghuys, 18 Jandré Marais, 19. Lubabalo “Tera” Mtembu, 20 Cobus Reinach, 21 Marius Joubert, 22 Gouws Prinsloo.

Golden Lions: 15 Andries Coetzee, 14 JR Esterhuizen, 13 Lionel Mapoe, 12 Waylon Murray, 11 Anthony Volmink, 10 Butch James, 9 Michael Bondesio, 8 Warren Whiteley, 7 Joshua Strauss, 6 Cobus Grobbelaar, 5 Franco van der Merwe, 4 Hendrik Roodt, 3 Jacobie Adriaanse, 2 Callie Visagie, 1 JC Janse van Rensburg (captain).
Replacements: 16 Francois du Toit, 17 CJ van der Linde, 18 Willie Britz, 19 Jaco Kriel, 20 Ross Cronje, 21 Guy Cronje, 22 Ruan Combrinck.



14 Comments

  • Got Cheetahs, WP and Sharks to win by 2 :mrgreen:

  • Comment 1, posted at 16.08.12 10:09:17 by JarsonX Reply
    Competition WinnerCompetition Winner
    Son Of MayhemTeam captain
     
  • Got Cheetahs, Griquas & sharks to win

  • Comment 2, posted at 16.08.12 10:16:28 by Dunx Reply

    DunxCurrie Cup player
     
  • Wow Rob.. Going completely against my Betting article..

    I hope your SuperBru picks reflect these thoughts.. ;-)

  • Comment 3, posted at 16.08.12 10:20:02 by Richard Ferguson Reply
    Competition Winner Administrator
    Richard FergusonCoach
     
  • @Richard Ferguson (Comment 3) : they do indeed, but I suck at SuperBru :)

    So you’re saying the bookies favour the Bulls and WP?

  • Comment 4, posted at 16.08.12 10:40:32 by robdylan Reply
    Competition Winner Administrator
    robdylanHead Coach
     
  • I dunno, to me, Province have picked a club-strength team to go play Griquas away. If Griquas manage to lose to those guys, I will have to seriously re-evaluate my position on them being able to compete this year!

  • Comment 5, posted at 16.08.12 10:41:22 by robdylan Reply
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  • @robdylan (Comment 4) :

    Yes, very much so!

    I am warning of a close match between Province and Griquas, with the brave going for a Griquas upset.. But for me, I like the Bulls Sharks double, and throw in the Boks and New Zealand, and you have yourself a very good bet!

  • Comment 6, posted at 16.08.12 10:42:41 by Richard Ferguson Reply
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  • @robdylan (Comment 5) :

    The amount of shuffling and players lost to Griquas just puts the match up there for WP to win..

    Even though we still haven’t seen his magic, don’t underestimate du Plessis and Brache running through the Griquas centres..

  • Comment 7, posted at 16.08.12 10:43:51 by Richard Ferguson Reply
    Competition Winner Administrator
    Richard FergusonCoach
     
  • Some tough calls to make for a win on these 3 games.

    Cheetahs v Bulls:
    Cheetahs were blown away and the Bulls were given a win. An interesting stat is that the Cheetahs have only lost by more than 3 points in 1 of their last 7 Currie Cup meetings and that was the 2009 Final where the Bulls won by 12.

    From a bookie point of view the +5.5 @ 19/20 for Cheetahs looks like an absolute cracker of a bet.

    For a win, Cheetahs 7 changes Bulls 1 change, will go with home advantage Cheetahs by less than 5.

    Griquas v WP:
    Griquas, as you put it Rob, shot themselves on both of their feet, while WP were still stuck in the hairdressing room when the final whistle blew.

    Both teams loosing some vital players and Griquas basically starting with a new backline. Recent stats show that it’s always a close affair in Kimberly, but WP always come out tops.

    From a bookie perspective I will look at the tries market in their last 3 matches in Kimberley WP have scored 7, 6 and 4 tries. Markets not out as yet. The cap is just to volatile with these two teams.

    For a win, I will go with an outright win on the boys from CTP, about 5 points.

    Sharks v Golden Lions:
    The game of the weekend, to be fair looking more forward to this game as to the SA v ARG game.

    Sharks were lucky in CPT, grabbing their chances more and also poor defence from WP seeing the Sharks take the win.

    Lions, well having most of the core players in the team, I would really rate them to take this one. I suspect only one change to the Lions team and that is Warren to replace Minnie who has a grade 2 ligament injury.

    Sharks, haven’t seen anything, but I suspect no changes to the squad. I think Riaan had a very good game as pivot and should start again there imo.

    From a bookie perspective the Lions +7.5 is up for grabs @ 7/10, but not for long, where we will see the markets, all ready dropping, go to +5.5 @ 19/20 which is just as good.

    Stats, well the Lions have won 3 of the last 7 matches against the Sharks on all grounds, where the Sharks only on home field.

    I think the Lions will be too strong for the home team and will easily clear a converted try score.

    Lions by +7, no joke.

  • Comment 8, posted at 16.08.12 10:47:06 by LionsinPTA Reply

    Under 19 player
     
  • Rob, please feel free to remove if this is violates any Sharksworld rules.

    A friend of mine has developed a rugby app for all smartphone platforms that gives scores, tweets, fixture, results, logs, news, etc…

    It has every tournament in which an SA side is involved from Rugby Championships down to Varsity Cup (only omissions I picked up were sevens and club rugby).

    Search for “All Rugby SA” on your phone’s app store.

  • Comment 9, posted at 16.08.12 11:26:23 by vanmartin Reply
    Valued Sharksworld Supporter Author
    vanmartinSuper Rugby player
     
  • @vanmartin (Comment 9) : thanks got it before they remove it if are to.

  • Comment 10, posted at 16.08.12 12:35:34 by MJ Reply

    MJUnder 21 player
     
  • @vanmartin (Comment 9) : usefull app

  • Comment 11, posted at 16.08.12 12:38:10 by MJ Reply

    MJUnder 21 player
     
  • @MJ (Comment 11) : Yeah, very impressed, especially since it’s still in version 1. Other thing I forgot to mention is it’s free!

  • Comment 12, posted at 16.08.12 12:48:05 by vanmartin Reply
    Valued Sharksworld Supporter Author
    vanmartinSuper Rugby player
     
  • @vanmartin (Comment 9) :

    Blackberry as well? Cant seem to find it.

  • Comment 13, posted at 16.08.12 20:53:37 by JustPlainSHARK Reply

    JustPlainSHARKCurrie Cup player
     
  • @JustPlainSHARK (Comment 13) : Thought so, I’ll follow up with him

  • Comment 14, posted at 16.08.12 21:42:08 by vanmartin Reply
    Valued Sharksworld Supporter Author
    vanmartinSuper Rugby player
     

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