robdylan

Super Rugby 2013: Round 11 preview and predictions


Written by Rob Otto (robdylan)

Posted in :Original Content, Super Rugby on 25 Apr 2013 at 08:27
Tagged with : ,

It’s Thursday and that means it’s time for the weekly prediction thread…

Game 1: Hurricanes v Stormers (Friday 09h35 SA time)

The two windy sides comes up against one another in Palmerston North, with plenty to play for. The South Africans will be desperate, given their slow start to the season, but it will take a monumental effort to upset the Canes at home and frankly, I’m not convinced that this year’s Stormers have what it takes to do that. Hurricanes to win by 5.

Hurricanes : 15. André Taylor, 14. Alapati Leiua, 13. Conrad Smith (Captain), 12. Tim Bateman, 11. Matt Proctor, 10. Beauden Barrett, 9. TJ Perenara, 8. Victor Vito, 7. Karl Lowe, 6. Brad Shields, 5. Jason Eaton, 4. Jeremy Thrush, 3. Jeffery Toomaga-Allen, 2. Motu Matu’u, 1. Ben Franks
Replacements: 16. Ash Dixon, 17. Ben May, 18. Mark Reddish, 19. Faifili Levave, 20. Ardie Savea, 21. Chris Smylie, 22. Tusi Pisi

Stormers : 15. Joe Pietersen, 14. Gio Aplon, 13. Juan de Jongh, 12. Jean de Villiers (Captain), 11. Bryan Habana, 10. Gary Van Aswegen, 9. Dewaldt Duvenage, 8. Duane Vermeulen, 7. Michael Rhodes, 6. Siya Kolisi, 5. Andries Bekker, 4. De Kock Steenkamp, 3. Pat Cilliers, 2. Deon Fourie, 1. Steven Kitshoff
Replacements: 16. Siyabonga Ntubeni, 17. Brok Harris, 18. Rynhardt Elstadt, 19. Nizaam Carr, 20. Nick Groom, 21. Louis Schreuder, 22. Damian de Allende

Game 2: Reds v Blues (Friday 11h40 SA time)

Ah yes, in what could almost be described as a remake of “The Colour Purple”, the two teams that dominated Super Rugby way back in the mid 90s face off in Brisbane. The Blues have emerged as unlikely New Zealand conference leaders after some of their compatriots lost ground during their bye week, while the Reds are on the up and pushing the Brumbies hard in the Australian division. This should be very close, but the Reds will probably be too strong at home. Reds to take it by 4 points.

Reds: TBA

Blues: 15. Charles Piutau, 14. Frank Halai, 13. Rene Ranger, 12. Jackson Willison, 11. Albert Nikoro, 10. Chris Noakes, 9. Piri Weepu, 8. Peter Saili, 7. Luke Braid, 6. Steven Luatua, 5. Ali Williams (Captain), 4. Culum Retallick, 3. Angus Ta’avao, 2. James Parsons, 1. Tom McCartney
Replacements: 16. Keven Mealamu, 17. Ofa Tu’ungafasi, 18. Ronald Raaymakers, 19. Brendon O’Connor, 20. Jamison Gibson-Park, 21. Baden Kerr, 22. Francis Saili

Game 3: Chiefs v Sharks (Saturday 09h35 SA time)

Neither side playing here has had things their own way of late and both are staring down the barrel of a third consecutive defeat. The Chiefs have injury problems of their own, but these pale into insignificance when we consider the challenges John Plumtree has faced even to name a fit starting 15. Given that they’re slightly more settled – and at home – I’m afraid we simply don’t see the home side losing this 2012 Final replay. Chiefs by 7.

Chiefs: Gareth Anscombe, Lelia Masaga,Tim Nanai-Williams, Richard Kahui, Asaeli Tikoirotuma, Aaron Cruden, Augustine Pulu, Nick Crosswell, Tanerau Latimer, Liam Messam, Brodie Retallick, Craig Clarke (capt), Michael Kainga, Mahonri Schwalger, Toby Smith,
Replacements: Rhys Marshall, Ben Tameifuna, Michael Fitzgerald, Sam Cane, Brendon Leonard, Bundee Aki, Charlie Ngatai

Sharks: 15. Riaan Viljoen, 14. Odwa Ndungane, 13. Francois Steyn, 12. Meyer Bosman, 11. Piet Lindeque, 10. Patrick Lambie, 9. Charl McLeod, 8. Lubabalo Mtembu, 7. Jean Deysel (Captain), 6. Derick Minnie, 5. Pieter-Steph du Toit, 4. Anton Bresler, 3. Jannie du Plessis, 2. Craig Burden, 1. Wiehahn Herbst
Replacements: 16. Kyle Cooper, 17. Danie Mienie, 18. Franco van der Merwe, 19. Keegan Daniel, 20. Marcell Coetzee, 21. Cobus Reinach, 22. Sibusiso Sithole

Game 4: Brumbies v Force (Saturday 11h40 SA time)

Aussie derbies do have a sneaky tendency to turn out with the wrong side on top, but I’m fairly confident that won’t happen here. Brumbies to win by 8.

Brumbies: TBA

Forces: TBA

Game 5: Bulls v Waratahs (Saturday 17h05 SA time)

Both of these sides are on something of a roll and this clash at Loftus may well turn out to be the weekend’s best. Matches between the two sides, whose fortunes this season have been as similar as their light blue playing strips, tend to be close and unpredictable, but you have to back the Bulls to squeak this one, given the “Fortress Loftus” factor working in their favour. Bulls to prevail by 3 points.

Bulls: 15. Jurgen Visser, 14. Akona Ndungane, 13. JJ Engelbrecht, 12. Jan Serfontein, 11. Bjorn Basson, 10. Morné Steyn, 9. Jano Vermaak, 8. Pierre Spies (Captain), 7. Arno Botha, 6. Dewald Potgieter, 5. Juandre Kruger, 4. Flip van der Merwe, 3. Werner Kruger, 2. Chiliboy Ralepelle, 1. Dean Greyling
Replacements: 16. Willie Wepener, 17. Frik Kirsten, 18. Wilhelm Steenkamp, 19. Jacques Potgieter, 20. Francois Hougaard, 21. Louis Fouche, 22. Lionel Mapoe

Waratahs: TBA

Game 6: Cheetahs v Kings (Saturday 19h10 SA time)

The only South African derby of the week is being billed as a one-sided affair, given how well the Cheetahs are doing, relative to the Kings, who took a bit of a smack last week. This could be a pretty open and exciting game and South Africans who support teams other than the Cheetahs will no doubt be spurring the Kings on here, but ultimately, I doubt they’ll have enough to force an upset. It won’t be a bloodbath, but the Cheetahs should win comfortably, by around 10 points.

Cheetahs: 16 Hennie Daniller, 14 Willie le Roux, 13 Johann Sadie, 12 Robert Ebersohn, 11 Raymond Rhule, 10 Burton Francis, 9 Piet van Zyl, 8 Phillip van der Walt, 7 Pieter Labuschagne, 6 Heinrich Brüssow, 5 Francois Uys, 4 Lodewyk de Jager, 3 Lourens Adriaanse, 2 Adriaan Strauss (captain), 1 Coenie Oosthuizen.
Replacements: 16 Ryno Barnes, 17 Trevor Nyakane, 18 Rynhard Landman, 19 Frans Viljoen, 20 Sarel Pretorius, 21 Francois Brummer, 22 Ryno Benjamin.

Kings: 15. George Whitehead, 14. Siyanda Grey, 13. Ronnie Cooke, 12. Andries Strauss (Captain), 11. Michael Killian, 10. Demetri Catrakilis, 9. Shaun Venter, 8. Jacques Engelbrecht, 7. Wimpie van der Walt, 6. Cornell du Preez, 5. Rynier Bernardo, 4. Steven Sykes, 3. Kevin Buys, 2. Bandise Maku, 1. Schalk Ferreira
Replacements: 16. Virgile Lacombe, 17. Grant Kemp, 18. David Bulbring, 19. Luke Watson, 20. Nicolas Vergallo, 21. Waylon Murray, 22. Siviwe Soyizwapi

Game 7: Crusaders v Rebels (Sunday 06h05 SA time)

The Crusaders have been poor this season, but lose at home to the Rebels? I don’t think they’re that poor…. Saders by 12.

Crusaders: TBA

Rebels: TBA



25 Comments

  • I would be happy if we can stay within 7 points, but then we will need a monumental defensive effort. We need to prevent the Chiefs from scoring more than 2 tries – more than that and it will be impossible to stay in touch with mostly penalties.

  • Comment 1, posted at 25.04.13 08:37:45 by Bokhoring Reply
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  • Notice how all the wins are in favour of the Home teams. I predict that atleast 2 results are going to go the other way, but I dont know which. Stormers and Blues, Force and Waratahs? Who knows?

    I picked the Home teams aswell :twisted:

  • Comment 2, posted at 25.04.13 08:56:38 by SteelShark Reply
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  • If you guys want, check out my predictions for this weekend: http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=zFNWDp85d4o

    Cheers!

  • Comment 3, posted at 25.04.13 09:14:00 by David12246 Reply

    ApolloCurrie Cup player
     
  • If the sharks want to get they season back on track they need to pick up the accuracy and get a win over the Chiefs. Unfortunately I do not think the Sharks will be coming out on top this weekend. But I will be happy if they prove me wrong.

  • Comment 4, posted at 25.04.13 09:26:50 by Viking Reply
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  • Rob, how hard was it to bold that Chiefs by 7?

    I have the same feeling though, I’d be happy if it’s only 7, but I’m still hoping for a surprise from the boys.

  • Comment 5, posted at 25.04.13 09:42:32 by Letgo Reply
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  • Hey Rob first time that agree with all your predictions, but I must say the first 3 games could upset my Superbru picks (wish wish hope hope GO SHARKS!!!!).

  • Comment 6, posted at 25.04.13 09:51:03 by JD Reply
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  • Cake walk for the Stormers I reckon. Bonus point win. ;-) :twisted:

  • Comment 7, posted at 25.04.13 11:31:53 by McLovin Reply

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  • Went Stormers, Chiefs, Reds, Brumbies, bulls, cheetahs, Saders. Here comes that ellusive GSP if the Stomers can find some rithim. They tour tranditionally very well, so lets hope.

  • Comment 8, posted at 25.04.13 11:36:44 by Viking Reply
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    VikingCurrie Cup player
     
  • @McLovin (Comment 7) : Don’t know about the binus point but they do tour quite well so lets just hope for a win at least.

  • Comment 9, posted at 25.04.13 11:37:28 by Viking Reply
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    VikingCurrie Cup player
     
  • I said Sharks by 15. I’ll say Sharks by 15 when we play the All Blacks. Call me deluded, but it could happen…

    GO SHARKS!!!

  • Comment 10, posted at 25.04.13 11:39:21 by PTAShark Reply
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  • @McLovin (Comment 7) : I assume the plan is to play Duvenhage at 10 should Van Aswegen be injured?

  • Comment 11, posted at 25.04.13 11:48:04 by Bokhoring Reply
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  • @Bokhoring (Comment 11) : Why? We have Brok on the bench. :twisted:

  • Comment 12, posted at 25.04.13 12:12:07 by McLovin Reply

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  • Is it just me or is Lambie the only player in the sharks squad to have started every game so fa this season?

  • Comment 13, posted at 25.04.13 12:52:34 by Viking Reply
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    VikingCurrie Cup player
     
  • Sharks to win by 50!!! (my impression of a typical Bulls supporter with their over confidence) :lol:

    @Viking (Comment 13) : Correct me if I’m wrong, but I think Lambie and Marcell have started every game!

  • Comment 14, posted at 25.04.13 13:19:27 by SeanyJMc Reply

    SeanyJMcVodacom Cup player
     
  • lol. Stormers, playing as poorly as they have, are still only a bonus point win away from topping the SA Conference…

    Ek se maar net.

  • Comment 15, posted at 25.04.13 13:33:50 by VinChainSaw Reply
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    VinChainSawTeam captain
     
  • @Viking (Comment 13) : wasn’t Marcell benched somewhere along the line?

  • Comment 16, posted at 25.04.13 14:15:49 by robdylan Reply
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  • @SeanyJMc (Comment 14) : @robdylan (Comment 16) : Well Marcel is benched this week so that leaves Lambie as the only player to have started every game. Not a good statistic if you ask me. Leaves a lot of question around form, injuries and consistency.

  • Comment 17, posted at 25.04.13 14:31:27 by Viking Reply
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    VikingCurrie Cup player
     
  • @VinChainSaw (Comment 15) : One bonus point win and three losses that is…

  • Comment 18, posted at 25.04.13 14:39:14 by Viking Reply
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    VikingCurrie Cup player
     
  • @robdylan (Comment 16) : No but he went of early against the Rebels.

    @Viking (Comment 17) : Marcell and Franco vd Merwe is benched and both played all 8 games up to now. Lambie is now the only one who would have played every game this season if Plum doesn’t make changes to the run on team at the last minute again.

  • Comment 19, posted at 25.04.13 15:42:32 by Letgo Reply
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  • @Viking (Comment 17) : name one thing that has gone right and to plan this season :(

  • Comment 20, posted at 25.04.13 15:43:51 by robdylan Reply
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  • @robdylan (Comment 20) : Well I backed the Cheetahs for a win on sportsbet last week does that count? :mrgreen:

    On a serious note, where do I find the Crusader team? I`ve got fantasy league to sort out . . . :x

  • Comment 21, posted at 25.04.13 16:20:04 by Original Pierre Reply
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    Original PierreSuper Rugby player
     
  • @McLovin (Comment 12) : How could I have overlooked the greatest prop-half to grace our shores? :oops:

  • Comment 22, posted at 25.04.13 16:25:36 by Bokhoring Reply
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  • @Original Pierre (Comment 21) : SANZAR didn’t really take the Fantasy League use case into account when scheduling Sunday games.

    Saders don’t have to announce a team until tomorrow morning.

  • Comment 23, posted at 25.04.13 16:43:36 by robdylan Reply
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  • Am I the only one who really just doesn’t want to see the Reds get an NZ clean sweap?

  • Comment 24, posted at 25.04.13 16:47:59 by David12246 Reply

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  • @PTAShark (Comment 10) : Ja boet my head say Chiefs but my hart picked Sharks on Superbru, can’t get myself to pick another team. Go Sharks!!!!!!!!

  • Comment 25, posted at 25.04.13 20:39:55 by JD Reply
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