robdylan

Super Rugby 2013: Round 16 preview and predictions


Written by Rob Otto (robdylan)

Posted in :Original Content, Super Rugby on 30 May 2013 at 12:10
Tagged with : ,

Would you believe I almost forgot to do one of these this week? Needless to say, I’ve now completely lost interest in this stupid competition, but we’ll soldier on regardless…

Game 1: Crusaders v Waratahs (Friday – 09h35 SA time)

The Tahs appear to have now fallen too far back in the race to realistically make the play-offs, while the Crusaders cannot afford to slip up again, or risk losing out on their wildcard spot. Given that this game is in Christchurch, where the Cru don’t often lose, it’s hard to see them not coming away with the points. Crusaders by around 7.

Crusaders: 15. Israel Dagg, 14. Tom Marshall, 13. Ryan Crotty, 12. Tom Taylor, 11. Zac Guildford, 10, Dan Carter, 9. Willie Heinz, 8. Kieran Read (Capt), 7. Matt Todd, 6. George Whitelock, 5. Dominic Bird, 4. Luke Romano, 3. Nepo Lualala, 2. Corey Flynn, 1. Wyatt Crockett.
Substitutes : 16. Ben Funnell , 17. Joe Moody , 18. Jimmy Tupou ,19. Luke Whitelock ,20. Andy Ellis, 21. Robbie Fruean ,22. Adam Whitelock

Waratahs: 15 Israel Folau, 14 Cam Crawford, 13 Adam Ashley-Cooper, 12 Rob Horne, 11 Peter Betham, 10 Bernard Foley, 9 Brendan McKibbin, 8 Dave Dennis, 7 Michael Hooper, 6 Pat McCutcheon, 5 Kane Douglas, 4 Sitaleki Timani, 3 Sekope Kepu, 2 John Ulugia, 1 Benn Robinson.
Substitutes: 16 Luke Holmes, 17 Paddy Ryan, 18 Will Skelton, 19 Jed Holloway, 20 Matt Lucas, 21 Berrick Barnes, 22 Drew Mitchell.

Game 2: Brumbies v Hurricanes (Friday – 11h40 SA time)

The Canes are a team that are really just hanging on by their fingernails at the moment, no more than a single loss away from being out of contention after an up-and-down season. With the Brumbies enjoying a bit of breathing space at the top of the Aussie log, a win here would do nicely to really set up their push for a home semi. I reckon Jake and his boys will do just that, so I’m calling Brumbies by 9 points.

Brumbies: 15 Jesse Mogg, 14 Henry Speight, 13 Tevita Kuridrani, 12 Christian Lealiifano, 11 Joe Tomane, 10 Matt Toomua, 9 Nic White, 8 Ben Mowen (c), 7 Colby Faingaa, 6 Peter Kimlin, 5 Sam Carter, 4 Scott Fardy, 3 Ben Alexander, 2 Stephen Moore, 1 Scott Sio.
Substitutes: 16 Siliva Siliva, 17 Ruan Smith, 18 Fotu Auelua, 19Jordan Smiler, 20 Ian Prior, 21 Robbie Coleman, 22 Clyde Rathbone.

Hurricanes: 15 Andre Taylor, 14 Alapati Leiua, 13 Conrad Smith, 12 Reynold Lee-Lo, 11 Julian Savea, 10 Beauden Barrett, 9 TJ Perenara, 8 Victor Vito (captain), 7 Jack Lam, 6 Brad Shields 5 James Broadhurst, 4 Jeremy Thrush, 3 Ben May, 2 Dan Coles, 1 Ben Franks.
Substitutes: 16 Ash Dixon, 17 Reggie Goodes, 18 Mark Reddish, 19 Faifili Levave, 20 Chris Smylie, 21 Tusi Pisi, 22 James Marshall

Game 3: Highlanders v Blues (Saturday – 09h45 SA time)

A game where one team has everything to play for and the other nothing. The Blues will do enough to win here, probably by about 5 points.

Highlanders: 15 Ben Smith, 14 Trent Renata, 13 Tamati Ellison, 12 Shaun Treeby, 11 Hosea Gear, 10 Colin Slade, 9 Fumiaki Tanaka, 8 Mose Tuiali’i, 7 John Hardie, 6 Jarrad Hoeata, 5 Josh Bekhuis, 4 Brad Thorn, 3 Ma’afu Fia, 2 Andrew Hore (captain), 1 Jamie Mackintosh.
Replacements: 16 Liam Coltman, 17 Bronson Murray, 18 Elliot Dixon, 19 TJ Ioane, 20 Aaron Smith, 21 Hayden Parker, 22 Ma’a Nonu.

Blues: 15 Charles Piutau, 14 Frank Halai, 13 Rene Ranger, 12 Francis Saili, 11 Waisake Naholo, 10 Baden Kerr, 9 Piri Weepu, 8 Peter Saili, 7 Luke Braid, 6 Steven Luatua, 5 Ali Williams (captain), 4 Anthony Boric, 3 Angus Ta’avao, 2 James Parsons, 1 Tim Perry.
Replacements: 16 Keven Mealamu, 17 Sam Prattley, 18 Culum Retallick, 19 Brendon O’Connor, 20 Jamison Gibson-Park, 21 Marty McKenzie, 22 Jackson Willison.

Game 4: Reds v Rebels (Saturday – 11h40 SA time)

The Reds might just be travel-weary here, after a terrible South African tour that saw them lose both games. The Rebels got up superbly to record a second historic win in a row, over the Tahs last weekend, so the signs here must surely point to an upset. That said, I don’t think the Rebels can be that good – or the Reds that bad – three weeks in succession, so will go with a narrow home win. Reds by 3.

Reds: 15 Ben Lucas, 14 Rod Davies, 13 Ben Tapuai, 12 Anthony Faingaa, 11 Luke Morahan, 10 Quade Cooper, 9 Will Genia, 8 Jake Schatz, 7 Beau Robinson, 6 Ed Quirk, 5 James Horwill (c), 4 Rob Simmons, 3 James Slipper, 2 James Hanson, 1 Greg Holmes.
Substitutes: 16 Saia Faingaa, 17 Ben Daley, 18 Ed O’Donoghue, 19 Radike Samo, 20 Liam Gill, 21 Nick Frisby, 22 Mike Harris.

Rebels: 15 Jason Woodward, 14 Tom English, 13 Mitch Inman, 12 Rory Sidey, 11 Lachlan Mitchell, 10 James O’Connor, 9 Nick Phipps, 8 Scott Higginbotham (c), 7 Scott Fuglistaller, 6 Jarrod Saffy, 5 Luke Jones, 4 Hugh Pyle, 3 Laurie Weeks, 2 Ged Robinson, 1 Nic Henderson.
Substitutes: 16 Shota Horie, 17 Paul Alo-Emile, 18 Cadeyrn Neville, 19 Gareth Delve, 20 Nic Stirzaker, 21 Bryce Hegarty, 22 Kimami Sitauti.

Game 5: Stormers v Kings (Saturday – 17h05 SA time)

I learned my lesson in backing the Kings last week. While they’ve been pretty good at exposing Antipodean opponents who underestimate them, I think the reality is that the other SA sides have the measure of them and while it’s admirable that the Kings seem able to draw local opponents into an arm-wrestle, they don’t quite have the firepower to win those contests – at least not yet. Stormers to prevail by around 10 points.

Stormers: 15 Joe Pietersen, 14 Gio Aplon, 13 Jean de Villiers (capt), 12 Damian de Allende, 11 Bryan Habana, 10 Elton Jantjies, 9 Louis Schreuder, 8 Nizaam Carr, 7 Deon Fourie, 6 Siya Kolisi, 5 De Kock Steenkamp, 4 Eben Etzebeth, 3 Brok Harris, 2 Tiaan Liebenberg, 1 Steven Kitshoff.
Substitutes: 16 Martin Bezuidenhout, 17 Chris Heiberg, 18 Gerbrandt Grobler, 19 Don Armand, 20 Dewaldt Duvenage, 21 Gary van Aswegen, 22 Gerhard van den Heever.

Kings: TBA

Game 6: Cheetahs v Bulls (Saturday – 19h10 SA time)

This is clearly the pick of the weekend’s games. The Bulls will know that they need to be a lot better than they were last week in order to maintain their unbeaten record against these opponents in the modern Super Rugby era. A lot will depend on their approach, though… in Durban, the conditions made it hard for either side to play rugby and the Bulls didn’t even try. However, should they afford the Cheetahs the same attacking opportunities as they did the blunted Sharks, they will pay dearly. That said, with the likes of Serfontein and Engelbrecht in tow, the Bulls have few reasons not to give the ball some air themselves, particularly on a dry pitch. This one will go down to the wire, but I ‘m afraid I don’t see the Cheetahs quite having enough on the day. Bulls to win by a single point.

Cheetahs: 15 Hennie Daniller, 14 Raymond Rhule, 13 Johann Sadie, 12 Robert Ebersohn, 11 Willie le Roux, 10 Elgar Watts, 9 Piet van Zyl, 8 Philip van der Walt, 7 Lappies Labuschagne, 6 Heinrich Brussow, 5 Francois Uys, 4 Lood de Jager, 3 Lourens Adriaanse, 2 Adriaan Strauss (c), 1 Coenie Oosthuizen.
Substitutes: 16 Ryno Barnes, 17 Trevor Nyakane, 18 Ligtoring Landman, 19 Boom Prinsloo, 20 Sarel Pretorius, 21 Riaan Smit, 22 Rayno Benjamin.

Bulls: 15 Jurgen Visser, 14 Lionel Mapoe, 13 JJ Engelbrecht, 12 Jan Serfontein, 11 Bjorn Basson, 10 Morne Steyn, 9 Francois Hougaard, 8 Pierre Spies (c), 7 Arno Botha, 6 Deon Stegmann, 5 Juandre Kruger, 4 Flip van der Merwe, 3 Werner Kruger, 2 Chiliboy Ralepelle, 1 Dean Greyling.
Substitutes: 16 Callie Visagie , 17 Frik Kirsten, 18 Grant Hattingh, 19 Dewald Potgieter, 20 Jano Vermaak, 21 Louis Fouche, 22 Zane Kirchner.



14 Comments

  • Vrystaaaaaaat!!! :mrgreen:

  • Comment 1, posted at 30.05.13 12:37:13 by McLovin Reply
    McLovinAssistant coach
     
  • Cheetahs!!! :mrgreen:

  • Comment 2, posted at 30.05.13 13:07:23 by Pokkel Reply
    Friend of SharksworldCompetition Winner Author
    Assistant coach
     
  • Vrystaaaaaaat!!!

  • Comment 3, posted at 30.05.13 13:12:42 by West Indies Cricket Board Reply
    Friend of Sharksworld
    West Indies Cricket BoardTeam captain
     
  • Come on Cheetahs! :grin:

  • Comment 4, posted at 30.05.13 14:24:05 by SeanyJMc Reply

    SeanyJMcVodacom Cup player
     
  • Shaaaaarks!!!!!!!!!!!!

  • Comment 5, posted at 30.05.13 15:03:44 by JD Reply
    Friend of SharksworldCompetition Winner Administrator
    JDAssistant coach
     
  • Not sure why you guys are all supporting the cheetahs. In your situation I would be looking for a bulls win, chances of you catching the bulls, win or lose on saturday, is minimal. A cheetahs no bonus point loss would give you a much better chance of sneaking into a wildcard playoff spot?
    Coupled of course with waratahs, hurricanes losing without a bonus point, and the highlanders, kings and rebels helping out a bit!

  • Comment 6, posted at 30.05.13 15:07:54 by Greg Reply

    GregSuper Rugby player
     
  • @Greg (Comment 6) :

    That ship has sailed…..go Cheetahs!!

  • Comment 7, posted at 30.05.13 15:10:15 by Pokkel Reply
    Friend of SharksworldCompetition Winner Author
    Assistant coach
     
  • @Greg (Comment 6) : not this year my friend, sharks are over and out

  • Comment 8, posted at 30.05.13 15:10:27 by jovner Reply

    jovnerVodacom Cup player
     
  • @Pokkel (Comment 7) :
    @jovner (Comment 8) :
    Win all your games, with a bonus point, some other results go you way, and who knows?

  • Comment 9, posted at 30.05.13 15:16:48 by Greg Reply

    GregSuper Rugby player
     
  • You forgot one..
    Sharks can’t Lose. And we will get 4 points.

    So that is a Win !

  • Comment 10, posted at 30.05.13 15:19:14 by SharksRTB Reply

    SharksRTBCurrie Cup player
     
  • @Greg (Comment 6) : @Greg (Comment 9) :

    Yeah feckit, im a Stormers fan and we have an even better chance of getting that wildcard spot with a game in hand.

    Yet, even I’m shouting for the cheetahs!

  • Comment 11, posted at 30.05.13 15:38:13 by VinChainSaw Reply
    Author
    VinChainSawTeam captain
     
  • In current form the Sharks will be lucky to beat the Kings never mind score 3 bonus point wins. Take note I said the Kings as we already lost to the Highlanders.

  • Comment 12, posted at 30.05.13 15:51:28 by JD Reply
    Friend of SharksworldCompetition Winner Administrator
    JDAssistant coach
     
  • Once again, if anyone wants, they can see my predictions for this round of Super Rugby, as well as the first 2 Lions matches: http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=c8C_62RmwCs

  • Comment 13, posted at 30.05.13 17:22:38 by David12246 Reply

    ApolloCurrie Cup player
     
  • @SharksRTB (Comment 10) : The one time Plum’s gameplan will work….we hope. :roll:

  • Comment 14, posted at 01.06.13 08:26:05 by klempie Reply

    klempieTeam captain
     

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