robdylan

Super Rugby 2016: Round 8 preview and predictions


Written by Rob Otto (robdylan)

Posted in :Original Content, Super Rugby on 14 Apr 2016 at 13:42
Tagged with : , ,

Right – let’s see how this round could pan out.

Game 1: Crusaders v Jaguares

The Jaguares are back at pretty much full strength for this one, but after two losses in a row in New Zealand, turning it around is not going to be easy at all. The Saders, in contrast, have had a very good tour and are going to be high on confidence. This could and should be an exciting game and perhaps quite a high-scoring one, but I can’t see any result other than a decent win for the Crusades, by as much as 10 points.

Crusaders: 15. Israel Dagg, 14. Johnny McNicholl, 13. Kieron Fonotia, 12. Ryan Crotty, 11. Nemani Nadolo, 10. Richard Mo’unga, 9. Andy Ellis, 8. Kieran Read (Captain), 7. Matt Todd, 6. Jordan Taufua, 5. Scott Barrett, 4. Luke Romano, 3. Owen Franks, 2. Codie Taylor, 1. Joe Moody
Replacements: 16. Ged Robinson, 17. Wyatt Crockett, 18. Michael Alaalatoa, 19. Jimmy Tupou, 20. Tim Boys, 21. Mitchell Drummond, 22. Sean Wainui, 23. Ben Volavola

Jaguares: 15. Joaquin Tuculet, 14. Matias Orlando, 13. Jeronimo de la Fuente, 12. Santiago Gonzalez Iglesias, 11. Emiliano Bofelli, 10. Juan Martin Hernández, 9. Gonzalo Bertranou, 8. Facundo Isa, 7. Rodrigo Baez, 6. Juan-Manuel Leguizamón, 5. Matias Alemanno, 4. Guido Petti Pagadizaval, 3. Francisco Tetaz Chaparro, 2. Agustin Creevy (Captain), 1. Santiago Garcia Botta
Replacements: 16. Facundo Bosch, 17. Felipe Arregui, 18. Enrique Pieretto, 19. Juan Cruz Guillemain, 20. Pablo Matera, 21. Felipe Ezcurra, 22. Joaquin Paz, 23. Lucas Gonzalez Amorosino

Game 2: Rebels v Hurricanes

It’s rather interesting to note that these teams boast exactly the same record so far (four wins and two losses each), but that for the Rebels, that’s enough to secure second place on the Aussie Conference log, whereas the Canes are fourth on the Kiwi log. In years gone by, you’d have picked this one as a gimme for the New Zealanders, but times have certainly changed and the boys from Melbourne certainly aren’t pushovers any more. I’m very much on the fence here, but will have to stick my neck out and back the Rebels to win, by 3 points.

Rebels: 15. Reece Hodge, 14. Dom Shipperley, 13. Tamati Ellison, 12. Mitch Inman, 11. Cam Crawford, 10. Jack Debreczeni, 9. Nick Stirzaker (Captain), 8. Adam Thomson, 7. Sean McMahon, 6. Jordy Reid, 5. Lopeti Timani, 4. Luke Jones, 3. Laurie Weeks, 2. James Hanson, 1. Toby Smith
Replacements: 16. Pat Leafa, 17. Cruze Ah-Nau, 18. Jamie Hagan, 19. Sam Jeffries, 20. Scott Fuglistaller, 21. Ben Meehan, 22. Daniel Hawkins, 23. Sefanaia Naivalu

Hurricanes: 15. Jason Woodward, 14. Cory Jane, 13. Matt Proctor, 12. Vince Aso, 11. Julian Savea, 10. Beauden Barrett, 9. TJ Perenara, 8. Victor Vito, 7. Ardie Savea, 6. Brad Shields, 5. Michael Fatialofa, 4. Vaea Fifita, 3. Jeffery Toomaga-Allen, 2. Dane Coles (Captain), 1. Reg Goodes
Replacements: 16. Leni Apisai, 17. Chris Eves, 18. Ben May, 19. Mark Abbott, 20. Tony Lamboun, 21. Jamison Gibson-Park, 22. Otere Black, 23. Ngani Laumape

Game 3: Cheetahs v Sunwolves

Not a tough one, this. Cheetahs to prevail by around 10 points.

Cheetahs: 15. Clayton Blommetjies, 14. Sergeal Petersen, 13. Nicolaas Lee, 12. Francois Venter (Captain), 11. Raymond Rhule, 10. Niel Marais, 9. Shaun Venter, 8. Paul Schoeman, 7. Uzair Cassiem, 6. Hilton Lobberts, 5. Francois Uys, 4. Lood de Jager, 3. Maks Van Dyk, 2. Torsten van Jaarsveld, 1. Charles Marais
Replacements: 16. Jacques du Toit, 17. Danie Mienie, 18. Johan Coetzee, 19. Carl Wegner, 20. Henco Venter, 21. Teboho Mohoje, 22. Tian Meyer, 23. Fred Zeilinga

Sunwolves: 15 Riaan Viljoen, 14 Viliami Lolohea, 13 Harumichi Tatekawa 12 Derek Carpenter, 11 Mifiposeti Paea, 10 Tusi Pisi, 9 Yuki Yatomi, 8 Ed Quirk, 7 Andrew Durutalo, 6 Tomás Leonardi, 5 Liaki Moli, 4 Hitoshi Ono, 3 Takuma Asahara, 2 Shota Horie (captain), 1 Masataka Mikami.
Replacements: 16 Takeshi Kizu, 17 Ziun Gu, 18 Shinnosuke Kakinaga, 19 Faatiga Lemalu, 20 Yoshiya Hosoda, 21 Kaito Shigeno, 22 Yu Tamura, 23 Yasutaka Sasakura.

Game 4: Blues v Sharks

The Sharks start their tour in Auckland, a place where they have not lost a match since 2005. They’ve not lost to the Blues anywhere since then, in fact, with two wins at Eden Park and two others in nearby Albany, along with six victories in Durban. It’s the kind of record, perversely, that cannot stand forever and is pretty much destined to be broken at some stage, but I’m hoping that it won’t be this week. The Sharks are hurting, but will come out determined to win this game and have the fire-power to do it. The Blues will be fired up themselves, as they’re playing for fallen team-mate Kurtis Haiu, but I’m not sure that they can win this one just on emotion. Let’s hope that luck is on our side and that the Sharks win by 5 points.

Blues: 15. Lolagi Visinia, 14. Rieko Ioane, 13. Rene Ranger, 12. Pierts Francis, 11. Tevita Li, 10. Ihaia West, 9. Bryn Hall, 8. Steven Luatua, 7. Tanerau Latimer, 6. Jerome Kaino, 5. Josh Bekhuis, 4. Hoani Matenga, 3. Charlie Faumuina, 2. James Parsons (Captain), 1. Sam Prattley
Replacements: 16. Quentin MacDonald, 17. Namatahi Waa, 18. Ofa Tu’ungafasi, 19. Kara Pryor, 20. Akira Ioane, 21. Billy Guyton, 22. Matt McGahan, 23. George Moala

Sharks: 15. Willie Le Roux, 14. JP Pietersen, 13. Paul Jordaan, 12. Andre Esterhuizen, 11. Lwazi Mvovo, 10. Joe Pietersen, 9. Cobus Reinach, 8. Phillip Van der Walt, 7. Jean-Luc du Preez, 6. Daniel du Preez, 5. Stephan Lewies, 4. Etienne Oosthuizen, 3. Lourens Adriaanse, 2. Franco Marais, 1. Tendai Mtawarira (Captain)
Replacements: 16. Kyle Cooper, 17. Thomas du Toit, 18. Coenie Oosthuizen, 19. Hyron Andrews, 20. Keegan Daniel, 21. Michael Claassens, 22. Garth April, 23. Odwa Ndungane

Game 5: Waratahs v Brumbies

Both of these teams have been pretty disappointing, after starting well, so it’s tough to predict what will happen here. The Brumbies are the frontrunners in the conference and have the proverbial bit between their teeth (see what I did there?) so I reckon they will probably keep that momentum up and record a win. Possibly by 10 points?

Waratahs: 15. Andrew Kellaway, 14. Reece Robinson, 13. Israel Folau, 12. Kurtley Beale, 11. Matt Carraro, 10. Bernard Foley, 9. Nick Phipps, 8. Jed Holloway, 7. Michael Hooper (Captain), 6. Jack Dempsey, 5. Will Skelton, 4. Dean Mumm, 3. Tom Robertson, 2. Hugh Roach, 1. Benn Robinson
Replacements: 16. James Hilterbrand, 17. Paddy Ryan, 18. Angus Ta’avao, 20. Wycliff Palu / Sam Lousi, 21. Dave Dennis, 22. Matt Lucas, 23. David Horwitz

Brumbies: 15. Aidan Toua, 14. Joseph Tomane, 13. Tevita Kuridrani, 12. Matt Toomua, 11. Robbie Coleman, 10. Christian Lealiifano, 9. Tomas Cubelli, 8. Jordan Smiler, 7. Jarrad Butler, 6. Scott Fardy, 5. Sam Carter, 4. Rory Arnold, 3. Ben Alexander, 2. Stephen Moore (Captain), 1. Scott Sio
Replacements: 16. Josh Mann-Rea, 17. Allan Alaalatoa, 18. Leslie Leulua’iali’i-Makin, 19. Tom Staniforth, 20. Michael Wells, 21. Joe Powell, 22. James Dargaville, 23. Nigel Ah Wong

Game 6: Bulls v Reds

All I’m hoping for here is that the Reds don’t again manage to lose by 89 points at Loftus. The Bulls aren’t all that good at the moment, but the Reds are very, very bad. Bulls by more than 20 – probably a LOT more than 20.

Bulls: 15. SP Marais, 14. Travis Ismaiel, 13. Jesse Kriel, 12. Jan Serfontein, 11. Bjorn Basson, 10. Francois Brummer, 9. Rudy Paige, 8. Arno Botha, 7. Jannes Kirsten, 6. Pieter Labuschagne, 5. RG Snyman, 4. Jason Jenkins, 3. Marcel Van Der Merwe, 2. Adriaan Strauss (Captain), 1. Trevor Nyakane
Replacements: 16. Jaco Visagie, 17. Lizo Gqoboka, 18. Werner Kruger, 19. Marvin Orie, 20. Deon Stegmann, 21. Piet van Zyl, 22. Tian Schoeman, 23. Dan Kriel

Reds: TBA

Game 7: Lions v Stormers

Ooh, this is a tasty one. The Lions arguably need a win more – because this is a home game and because they have a smaller buffer at the top of their pool than the Stormers do. Whatever happens, it should be a pretty good tussle between the two form South Africans sides. Lions, to me, for a win here, but not by much.

Lions: 15 Jaco Van Der Walt, 14 Ruan Combrinck, 13 Lionel Mapoe, 12 Rohan Janse van Rensburg, 11 Courtnall Skosan, 10 Elton Jantjies, 9 Ross Cronje, 8 Warren Whiteley (captain), 7 Warwick Tecklenburg, 6 Jaco Kriel, 5 Franco Mostert, 4 Andries Ferreira, 3 Julian Redelinghuys, 2 Malcolm Marx, 1 Dylan Smith.
Replacements: 16 Armand van der Merwe, 17 Corne Fourie, 18 Ruan Dreyer, 19 Ruan Ackermann, 20 Cyle Brink, 21 Francois de Klerk, 22 Howard Mnisi, 23 Andries Coetzee.

Stormers: 15 Cheslin Kolbe, 14 Kobus van Wyk, 13 Johnny Kotze, 12 Juan de Jongh (c), 11 Leolin Zas, 10 Jean-Luc du Plessis, 9 Nic Groom, 8 Schalk Burger, 7 Sikhumbuzo Notshe, 6 Nizaam Carr, 5 Pieter-Steph du Toit, 4 JD Schickerling, 3 Vincent Koch, 2 Bongi Mbonambi, 1 JC Janse van Rensburg.
Replacements: 16 Mike Willemse, 17 Oli Kebble, 18 Frans Malherbe (c), 19 Rynhardt Elstadt, 20 Siya Kolisi, 21 Louis Schreuder, 22 Damian de Allende, 23 Huw Jones.



27 Comments

  • Rebels v Canes is my main head scratcher.

  • Comment 1, posted at 14.04.16 14:15:47 by vanmartin Reply
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  • @vanmartin (Comment 1) : Tough one to call that. Stormers/Lions could be tricky too. Brumbies/Tahs…should be Brumbies but Tahs are itching for a good performance. Dont think too many are straight forward to call this round

  • Comment 2, posted at 14.04.16 14:42:42 by SheldonK Reply

    SheldonKAssistant coach
     
  • @SheldonK (Comment 2) : I eventually went with:
    Crusaders
    Canes
    Cheetahs
    Sharks
    Brumbies
    Bulls
    Lions

    Lot of those could swing either way as you pointed out. Going to be an interesting weekend on the Bru

  • Comment 3, posted at 14.04.16 15:09:25 by vanmartin Reply
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  • The Blues play a similar game to the Lions. I expect a similar hiding if we play the same as last Saturday.

  • Comment 4, posted at 14.04.16 15:14:01 by Spirit of Rugby Reply
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  • What I have learned from my previous weeks as that no game is a given, or a walk in the park, and any one if them can go through as Un “upset” if the team I picked did not win

  • Comment 5, posted at 14.04.16 15:45:00 by Henkb Reply
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  • @vanmartin (Comment 3) : Solid picks..i differ in a couple. But as you say for some games it depends who has the better lunch and arrives ready.

  • Comment 6, posted at 14.04.16 15:47:25 by SheldonK Reply

    SheldonKAssistant coach
     
  • Rob, you obviously didn’t watch the Reds Highlanders game last week :) If the Reds can replicate that the Bulls are in for a hiding. Liam Gill, Kerevi and Hunt, especially, were very good and if the Bulls kick possiession away they are in for the long day.

    I went Reds by 6

  • Comment 7, posted at 14.04.16 16:13:34 by Baylion Reply

    BaylionSuper Rugby player
     
  • @SheldonK (Comment 6) : Thought I was going against the grain on some picks but turns out just about everyone in my work pool has the same picks (the Yellow Cap each round wins a bit of cash). Now I need to hope I pick up a decent amount of margin points.

  • Comment 8, posted at 14.04.16 16:14:22 by vanmartin Reply
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  • @vanmartin (Comment 8) : If everyone gone the same those points differences are huge

  • Comment 9, posted at 14.04.16 16:22:22 by SheldonK Reply

    SheldonKAssistant coach
     
  • Crusaders
    Hurricanes ( I have decided to pick NZ teams when they face SA or Aus opposition, should be right at least 9/10)
    Cheetahs
    Blues (as per Hurricanes)
    Brumbies (have a bad feeling about this, Waratahs have to wake up at some stage and Brumbies missing Pocock)
    Bulls
    Lions

    Not sure if he still reads here, but couldn’t help thinking of Goldmember when I saw this on Tony Johnson’s piece on SuperSport.

    5) How to say the name of the new team from South America. I was told Haag-Wah-Res, but I’m now told it’s Haa-Waa-Res, although I note some of my esteemed colleagues have opted for the safety of Jaguars. I’ve got them again this weekend, and it’s keeping me awake at night.

  • Comment 10, posted at 14.04.16 17:03:51 by nortie Reply

    Vodacom Cup player
     
  • @Baylion (Comment 7) : dead cat bounce

  • Comment 11, posted at 14.04.16 17:37:37 by robdylan Reply
    Competition Winner Administrator
    robdylanHead Coach
     
  • Do I posses the emotional stamina for another Sharks game…

    …Sharks to win/lose a tough/easy game by a big/small margin…

    Seems we’ve recaptured the inconsistent culture of the French, also playing a similar style of rugby as they are.

    There you have it folks, Sharks culture is a carbon copy of French rugby.

  • Comment 12, posted at 14.04.16 18:18:50 by FireTheLooser Reply

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  • @FireTheLooser (Comment 12) :
    You do know that the French suck? :lol:
    Every couple of years they score a decent try and then it’s “French flair”
    Every so often they pox a win against decent opposition and then it’s “unpredictability”
    Nothing unpredictable about the French, they are a terrible side who manages to play above themselves every so often.
    I don’t think the Sharks have quite sunk to their depths yet.

  • Comment 13, posted at 14.04.16 18:31:24 by nortie Reply

    Vodacom Cup player
     
  • @nortie (Comment 13) : It’s mostly the inconsistency that has me equating the Sharks to the French.

    The Sharks also never win when they are favourites, exactly like the French.

    Probably why so many French players felt right at home in Durban.

  • Comment 14, posted at 14.04.16 20:10:19 by FireTheLooser Reply

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  • @FireTheLooser (Comment 14) : hahaha ja you may have something there!

  • Comment 15, posted at 14.04.16 21:51:09 by JD Reply
    Friend of SharksworldCompetition Winner Administrator
    JDAssistant coach
     
  • can anyone confirm if your cc game will ge broadcast on ss tomorrow ?

  • Comment 16, posted at 15.04.16 00:01:45 by revolverocelot Reply

    Team captain
     
  • @FireTheLooser (Comment 14) :
    Yep, I get you, but my dislike for the French rugby side is so immense I won’t want to compare my team with the likes of them :grin:
    All they are good for is stuffing up ones predictions

  • Comment 17, posted at 15.04.16 04:43:33 by nortie Reply

    Vodacom Cup player
     
  • I woke up this morning and felt my girlfriend needed an in depth rundown of the 2012 run to the final. Which has ultimately made me think the Sharks are going to spark on tour and pull the season back together. Now that most of us have written them off for the season, they should really produce that top shelf rugby we were expecting following the French tour. If I recall we put in a great performance aginst the blues on tour that year after getting caned by the Canes (and Conrad Smith was the one wielding it ;-) ). Can / Will history repeat itself??

  • Comment 18, posted at 15.04.16 07:43:18 by Hulk Reply

    HulkSuper Rugby player
     
  • @nortie (Comment 17) : and every now and again the All Blacks!

  • Comment 19, posted at 15.04.16 08:08:23 by JD Reply
    Friend of SharksworldCompetition Winner Administrator
    JDAssistant coach
     
  • @nortie (Comment 17) : I used to enjoy French rugby, but they are so poor these days. Last decent game of rugby by them was 2011 – so you are correct in saying, they aren’t unpredictable, just consistently poor, with one decent game every 5 years.

  • Comment 20, posted at 15.04.16 08:09:44 by FireTheLooser Reply

    Assistant coach
     
  • @Hulk (Comment 18) : Our boys will need to rid themselves of their self imposed pressure (which leads to so much panic).

    In 2012, we also had the French maestro conducting the show at Fh.

    This year, we seem to be stuck with someone similar to our failed 2010 campaign (anyone remember Skullet ;) )

    Joe seems puzzled every time Reinach clears the ruck, very little communication happening there….not even sure Reinach knows his next step – seems to only pass when he doesn’t know what to do, putting everyone under pressure.

    Oh well, here’s hoping.

  • Comment 21, posted at 15.04.16 08:16:08 by FireTheLooser Reply

    Assistant coach
     
  • @FireTheLooser (Comment 21) : Yeah = that combo does not seem to gel very well.

  • Comment 22, posted at 15.04.16 08:18:51 by Bokhoring Reply
    Administrator
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  • @FireTheLooser (Comment 21) : Pity he is not playing this year (only for puns sake) – as Goode as Gold comes to mind.

  • Comment 23, posted at 15.04.16 08:20:16 by Bokhoring Reply
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  • @Bokhoring (Comment 23) : Nice’one :)

  • Comment 24, posted at 15.04.16 09:13:01 by FireTheLooser Reply

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  • @Bokhoring (Comment 23) : I dunno hey, Goode produced some magic for Newcastle this year…and it means you dont need to have a full front row on the bench ;)

  • Comment 25, posted at 15.04.16 09:32:39 by SheldonK Reply

    SheldonKAssistant coach
     
  • @Bokhoring (Comment 23) : nice one!

  • Comment 26, posted at 15.04.16 14:40:03 by JD Reply
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  • @SheldonK (Comment 25) : only if you play Currie cup rugby ;-D

  • Comment 27, posted at 15.04.16 22:20:27 by JD Reply
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