robdylan

Super Rugby 2016: Round 12 preview and predictions


Written by Rob Otto (robdylan)

Posted in :Original Content, Super Rugby on 12 May 2016 at 14:15
Tagged with : ,

Here we go again, folks…. let’s see.

Game 1: Highlanders v Crusaders

This should be a cracker first up. Two in-form Kiwi teams to batter one another to a standstill…. oh wait, they’re not South African teams! There should be plenty of good rugby on show here and i’m backing the visitors to squeak this. Crusaders by just two points.

Highlanders: 15 Ben Smith (captain), 14 Waisake Naholo, 13 Matt Faddes, 12 Malakai Fekitoa, 11 Patrick Osborne, 10 Lima Sopoaga, 9 Aaron Smith, 8 Luke Whitelock, 7 Dan Pryor, 6 Elliot Dixon, 5 Joe Wheeler, 4 Alex Ainley, 3 Josh Hohneck, 2 Ash Dixon, 1 Daniel Lienert-Brown
Replacements: 16 Greg Pleasants-Tate, 17 Craig Millar, 18 Siosiua Halanukonuka, 19 Tom Franklin, 20 Liam Squire, 21 Fumiaki Tanaka, 22 Marty Banks, 23 Teihorangi Walden.

Crusaders: 15 Israel Dagg, 14 Johnny McNicholl, 13 Kieron Fonotia, 12 David Havili, 11 Jone Macilai, 10 Richie Mo’unga, 9 Andy Ellis, 8 Kieran Read (captain), 7 Matt Todd, 6 Jordan Taufua, 5 Sam Whitelock, 4 Luke Romano, 3 Owen Franks, 2 Codie Taylor, 1 Wyatt Crockett.
Replacements: 16 Ged Robinson, 17 Joe Moody, 18 Mike Alaalatoa, 19 Scott Barrett, 20 Tim Boys, 21 Mitchell Drummond, 22 Ryan Crotty, 23 Marty McKenzie.

Game 2: Rebels v Brumbies

The Aussie conference remains very tight indeed and the Rebels can propel themselves right back up into second should they pull off a win here. The Brumbies are building again nicely after losing four games earlier in the season, so you’d fancy them to keep that up and find a way to win in Melbourne. I doubt it will be all that convincing though – so maybe Brumbies by 5 points?

Rebels: 15 Mike Harris, 14 Sefa Naivalu, 13 Tamati Ellison, 12 Reece Hodge, 11 Cam Crawford, 10 Jack Debreczeni, 9 Nic Stirzaker (captain), 8 Adam Thomson, 7 Sean McMahon, 6 Colby Fainga’a, 5 Lopeti Timani, 4 Luke Jones, 3 Jamie Hagan, 2 James Hanson, 1 Toby Smith.
Replacements: 16 Pat Leafa, 17 Cruze Ah Nau, 18 Tim Metcher, 19 Sam Jeffries, 20 Jordy Reid, 21 Ben Meehan, 22 Tom English, 23 Kotaro Matsushima.

Brumbies: 15 Aidan Toua, 14 Nigel Ah Wong, 13 Tevita Kuridrani, 12 Robbie Coleman, 11 James Dargaville, 10 Christian Lealiifano (co-captain), 9 Tomás Cubelli, 8 Jarrad Butler, 7 David Pocock, 6 Scott Fardy, 5 Sam Carter, 4 Rory Arnold, 3 Ben Alexander, 2 Stephen Moore (co-captain), 1 Scott Sio.
Replacements: 16 Josh Mann-Rea, 17 Allan Alaalatoa, 18 Ruan Smith, 19 Tom Staniforth, 20 Blake Enever, 21 Jordan Smiler, 22 Joe Powell, 23 Lausii Taliauli.

Game 3: Hurricanes v Reds

Two teams that REALLY need some points will battle it out here; the Canes will be properly stung after a big hiding in Durbs (and also some off-field indiscretions that have seen the likes of both Savea brothers, Corey Jane and Victor Vito left out for this clash). The Reds will probably never have a better chance to pull off an upset, but somehow I just don’t see it happening. Canes to bounce back and take this one by 7-10.

Hurricanes: 15. James Marshall, 14. Jason Woodward, 13. Matt Proctor, 12. Vince Aso, 11. Wes Goosen, 10. Beauden Barrett, 9. TJ Perenara, 8. Blade Thomson, 7. Callum Gibbins, 6. Brad Shields, 5. Michael Fatialofa, 4. Vaea Fifita, 3. Jeffery Toomaga-Allen, 2. Dane Coles (Captain), 1. Reg Goodes
Replacements: 16. Motu Matu’u, 17. Loni Uhila, 18. Ben May, 19. Mark Abbott, 20. Tony Lamborn, 21. Te Toirioa Tahuriorangi, 22. Ngani Laumape, 23. Willis Halaholo

Reds: 15. Ayumu Goromaru, 14. Chris Feauai-Sautia, 13. Campbell Magnay, 12. Anthony Faingaa, 11. Eto Ntabuli, 10. Jake Mcintyre, 9. Nicholas Frisby, 8. Curtis Browning, 7. Liam Gill, 6. Hendrik Tui, 5. Rob Simmons, 4. Ben Matwijow, 3. Greg Holmes, 2. Andrew Ready, 1. James Slipper (Captain)
Replacements: 16. Matt Mafi, 17. Sef Faagase, 18. Sam Talakai, 19. Cadeyrn Neville, 20. Michael Gunn, 21. James Tuttle, 22. Duncan Paia’aua, 23. Junior Laloifi

Game 4: Waratahs v Bulls

No look, I’m sorry, but there’s just no way. It doesn’t really matter that the Tahs aren’t really all that formidable this year, the Bulls simply aren’t going to win in Sydney. Tahs by 12.

Waratahs: 15. Andrew Kellaway, 14. Reece Robinson, 13. Israel Folau, 12. Kurtley Beale, 11. Rob Horne, 10. Bernard Foley, 9. Nick Phipps, 8. Wycliff Palu, 7. Michael Hooper (Captain), 6. Dean Mumm, 5. Will Skelton, 4. Dave Dennis, 3. Tom Robertson, 2. Tatafu Polota-Nau, 1. Paddy Ryan
Replacements: 16. Hugh Roach, 17. Jeremy Tilse, 18. Angus Ta’avao, 19. Sam Lousi, 20. Ned Hanigan, 21. Matt Lucas, 22. David Horwitz, 23. Matt Carraro

Bulls: 15. SP Marais, 14. Jamba Ulengo, 13. Jesse Kriel, 12. Jan Serfontein, 11. Bjorn Basson, 10. Tian Schoeman, 9. Rudy Paige, 8. Hanro Liebenberg, 7. Jannes Kirsten, 6. Pieter Labuschagne, 5. RG Snyman, 4. Jason Jenkins, 3. Marcel Van Der Merwe, 2. Adriaan Strauss (Captain), 1. Lizo Gqoboka
Replacements: 16. Jaco Visagie, 17. Trevor Nyakane, 18. Pierre Schoeman, 19. Marvin Orie, 20. Roelof Smit, 21. Piet van Zyl, 22. Francois Brummer, 23. Dries Swanepoel

Game 5: Sunwolves v Stormers

This game takes place in Singapore, so the Sunwolves have again scored an own-goal by scheduling one of their home fixtures at a neutral venue. Way to go, boys – you keep on pinging! Stormers to win at a canter here, maybe by 20.

Sunwolves: TBA

Stormers: 15. Cheslin Kolbe, 14. Johnny Kotze, 13. Juan de Jongh (Captain), 12. Damian de Allende, 11. Kobus van Wyk, 10. Jean-Luc Du Plessis, 9. Louis Schreuder, 8. Nizaam Carr, 7. Siya Kolisi, 6. Rynhardt Elstadt, 5. Pieter-Steph du Toit, 4. JD Schickerling, 3. Frans Malherbe, 2. Siyabonga Ntubeni, 1. JC Janse van Rensburg
Replacements: 16. Mbongeni Mbonambi, 17. Oliver Kebble, 18. Vincent Koch, 19. Sikhumbuszo Notshe, 20. Schalk Burger, 21. Nic Groom, 22. Brandon Thomson, 23. Huw Jones

Game 6: Cheetahs v Kings

Look, the Cheetahs aren’t great, but with the Kings losing so many players from a squad that had no depth to begin with, there’s only one result here. Cheetahs to click and score 60.

Kings: TBA

Cheetahs: 15. Clayton Blommetjies, 14. Sergeal Petersen, 13. Francois Venter (Captain), 12. Michael van der Spuy, 11. Raymond Rhule, 10. Fred Zeilinga, 9. Shaun Venter, 8. Uzair Cassiem, 7. Teboho Mohoje, 6. Paul Schoeman, 5. Francois Jakobus Uys, 4. Lood de Jager, 3. Maks Van Dyk, 2. Torsten van Jaarsveld, 1. Charles Marais
Replacements: 16. Jacques du Toit, 17. Ox Nche, 18. Luan De Bruin, 19. Carl Wegner, 20. Henco Venter, 21. Tian Meyer, 22. Niel Marais, 23. Nicolaas Lee

Game 7: Lions v Blues

One of the tougher ones to call – not because the Blues are all that good, but because the Lions have shown just how bad they can be against the Kiwi sides this year. A lot of soul searching will ahve been done by the men from Joburg after taking 50 from the Canes a fortnight ago and they do have a stronger tight five this week, so I reckon they’ll bounce back with a win. More interesting than the result, though, will be the style of play that the Lions opt for. Lions by 5?

Lions: 15. Jako van der Walt, 14. Ruan Combrinck, 13. Lionel Mapoe, 12. Rohan Janse van Rensburg, 11. Courtnall Skosan, 10. Elton Jantjies, 9. Ross Cronje, 8. Warren Whiteley (Captain), 7. Warwick Tecklenburg, 6. Jaco Kriel, 5. Franco Mostert, 4. Andries Ferreira, 3. Julian Redelinghuys, 2. Malcolm Marx, 1. Dylan Smith
Replacements: 16. Akker van der Merwe, 17. Corne Fourie, 18. Jacques van Rooyen, 19. Ruan Ackermann, 20. Cyle Brink, 21. Faf de Klerk, 22. Howard Mnisi, 23. Sylvian Mahuza

Blues: 15. Lolagi Visinia, 14. Melani Nanai, 13. George Moala, 12. Piers Francis, 11. Tevita Li, 10. Ihaia West, 9. Bryn Hall, 8. Steven Luatua, 7. Tanerau Latimer, 6. Jerome Kaino, 5. Hoani Matenga, 4. Patrick Tuipoluto, 3. Charlie Faumuina, 2. James Parsons (Captain), 1. Sam Prattley
Replacements: 16. Quentin MacDonald, 17. Nic Mayhew, 18. Ofa Tu’ungafasi, 19. Kara Pryor, 20. Joe Edwards, 21. Billy Guyton, 22. Matt McGahan, 23. Male Sa’u

Game 8: Jaguares v Sharks

A hell of a tough ask for the Sharks here, after all the travel they’ve done in the last fortnight. Gary Gold has rotated a little and Pat Lambie will be there to pull the strings; the game will be won or lost up front, though and it remains to be seen whether Jean Deysel’s “old legs” are able to emulate the sort of feats put in by the man he’s replacine (Jean-Luc du Preez) last week. The wheels could come off for the Sharks if they’re not 100% up for this, but I think they’ll do it for us one more time and record a scrappy, but important, win.

Jaguares: TBA

Sharks: 15. Willie Le Roux, 14. Odwa Ndungane, 13. Paul Jordaan, 12. Andre Esterhuizen, 11. JP Pietersen, 10. Patrick Lambie (Captain), 9. Michael Claassens, 8. Daniel du Preez, 7. Jean Deysel, 6. Keegan Daniel, 5. Stephan Lewies, 4. Lubabalo Mtyanda, 3. Coenie Oosthuizen, 2. Franco Marais, 1. Tendai Mtawarira (Captain)
Replacements: 16. Chiliboy Ralepelle, 17. Dale Chadwick, 18. Lourens Adriaanse, 19. Etienne Oosthuizen, 20. Lubabalo Mtembu, 21. Stefan Ungerer, 22. Garth April, 23. Sibusiso Sithole



18 Comments

  • i have the Reds for an upset . rest is the same . lets see

  • Comment 1, posted at 12.05.16 14:21:11 by Zibbie Reply
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  • Couple of close games that can go both ways!!!
    Don’t know if it’s a sign but have the same picks as Rob?!

  • Comment 2, posted at 12.05.16 15:22:32 by JD Reply
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  • My outlook for the sharks is more optimistic. I recon the subs are going to give all they got to try and upstage last week’s team. I am also counting on Deysel to silence his critics this week.

  • Comment 3, posted at 12.05.16 16:34:15 by coolfusion Reply

    coolfusionSuper Rugby player
     
  • Unfortunately money man will probably not be betting another R2500 on Sharks losing again. Think the Sharks have been his bogie side this year.

  • Comment 4, posted at 12.05.16 16:45:39 by gregkaos Reply
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  • Snap, Rob…

  • Comment 5, posted at 12.05.16 20:52:37 by pastorshark Reply
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  • @pastorshark (Comment 5) : getting worried that all three of us have the same picks although some games are very close.

  • Comment 6, posted at 12.05.16 20:55:19 by JD Reply
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  • Same picks but worried about the Highlanders/Crusaders game. Got bitten last week on the Chiefs/Highlanders game and was also torn. O well it’s all for fun right so who cares.

  • Comment 7, posted at 13.05.16 05:14:00 by Farlington Reply

    FarlingtonSuper Rugby player
     
  • @Farlington (Comment 7) : that makes four of us now. Let’s see if we know our rugby or not ;-)

  • Comment 8, posted at 13.05.16 07:46:12 by JD Reply
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  • @JD (Comment 8) : And at 5th

  • Comment 9, posted at 13.05.16 08:01:28 by Hulk Reply

    HulkSuper Rugby player
     
  • @Hulk (Comment 9) : now I’m starting to get worried maybe time to review my picks ;-)

  • Comment 10, posted at 13.05.16 08:06:44 by JD Reply
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  • @JD (Comment 10) : I’m going with the safety in numbers approach.

  • Comment 11, posted at 13.05.16 08:18:23 by Hulk Reply

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  • @Hulk (Comment 11) : hahaha ja OK let’s see if it works ;-)

  • Comment 12, posted at 13.05.16 08:24:18 by JD Reply
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  • Not a good start… damn those Highlanders. :lol:

  • Comment 13, posted at 13.05.16 11:40:24 by Farlington Reply

    FarlingtonSuper Rugby player
     
  • Highlanders sending out a serious statement today.

  • Comment 14, posted at 13.05.16 11:43:09 by SheldonK Reply

    SheldonKAssistant coach
     
  • Backed the Highlanders and they delivered. New Zealand conference certainly keeping it very interesting this year. Triple threat in the Landers, Chiefs & Saders with the Canes being an ever-present dark horse.

  • Comment 15, posted at 13.05.16 11:44:39 by vanmartin Reply
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  • @vanmartin (Comment 15) : for sure even the Blues are performing better than most other sides!

  • Comment 16, posted at 13.05.16 12:22:50 by JD Reply
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  • @Farlington (Comment 13) : ja not very good at all!

  • Comment 17, posted at 13.05.16 12:23:20 by JD Reply
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  • @Farlington (Comment 13) : OK now with the Brumbies win we’re back to 50% ;-)

  • Comment 18, posted at 13.05.16 14:25:58 by JD Reply
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