Super Rugby 2011: Round 4 preview and predictions

Written by Rob Otto (robdylan)

Posted in :Original Content, Super Rugby on 10 Mar 2011 at 09:13
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Last week was a real blood-bath, predictions wise, with hardly any of the results going the way we thought they would. After returning pretty accurate results in rounds one and two, our “tipping form” slumped to four from seven, with the Reds, Blues and Highlanders all winning when we thought they might not. Let’s have a look at round 4 – and remember we’ll update this thread with more team lists as they are released.


This one is simple to call. We saw the Cru start to hit their straps against the highflying Tahs last week – and when they clicked, they nailed the former log leaders. The Brumbies are a rag-tag bunch who have only won once in three outings and seem torn by internal strife. The Crusaders will walk this one, by 15 or more.

Crusaders – 15 Israel Dagg, 14 Sean Maitland, 13 Robbie Fruean, 12 Sonny Bill Williams, 11 Adam Whitelock, 10 Daniel Carter, 9 Andy Ellis, 8 Kieran Read (captain), 7 Matt Todd, 6 George Whitelock, 5 Sam Whitelock, 4 Chris Jack, 3 Ben Franks, 2 Corey Flynn, 1 Wyatt Crockett.
Subs: 16 Quentin MacDonald, 17 Owen Franks, 18 Brad Thorn, 19 Jonathan Poff, 20 Willi Heinz, 21 Matt Berquist, 22 Tom Marshall.

Brumbies – 15 Pat McCabe, 14 Henry Speight, 13 Adam Ashley-Cooper, 12 Robbie Coleman, 11 Francis Fainifo, 10 Matt Giteau (Captain),9 Josh Valentine, 8 Ita Vaea, 7 Colby Faingaa, 6 Mitch Chapman, 5 Mark Chisholm, 4 Ben Hand, 3 Dan Palmer, 2 Steve Moore, 1 Ben Alexander.
Subs: 16 Huia Edmonds, 17 Salesi Ma’afu, 18 Peter Kimlin, 19 Julian Salvi, 20 Patrick Phibbs, 21 Matt Toomua, 22 Christian Lealiifano.


I have one of those nagging feelings that Stirling Mortlock will become the first player to score a try against the Sharks in Super Rugby this year. The Rebels are a pretty unimpressive bunch collectively, as one would expect from a team in their first year together, but they do have some dangerous individuals, with the former Brumbie skipper a proven match winner. The Sharks will have way too much for them in all areas, though and should take this one by at least 10.

Rebels – 15 Mark Gerrard, 14 Lachlan Mitchell, 13 Stirling Mortlock (captain), 12 Julian Huxley, 11 Cooper Vuna, 10 Danny Cipriani, 9 Nick Phipps, 8 Gareth Delve, 7 Michael Lipman, 6 Jarrod Saffy, 5 Kevin O’Neill, 4 Alister Campbell, 3 Greg Somerville, 2 Ged Robinson, 1 Nic Henderson.
Replacements: 16 Heath Tessman, 17 Laurie Weeks, 18 Hugh Pyle, 19 Tim Davidson, 20 Richard Kingi, 21 Afusipa Taumoepeau, 22 Luke Rooney.

Sharks – 15 Louis Ludik, 14 Odwa Ndungane, 13 Stefan Terblanche, 12 Meyer Bosman, 11 Lwazi Mvovo, 10 Patrick Lambie, 9 Charl McLeod, 8 Ryan Kankowski, 7 Willem Alberts, 6 Keegan Daniel, 5 Alistair Hargreaves, 4 Steven Sykes, 3 John Smit (capt), 2 Bismarck du Plessis, 1 Tendai Mtawarira.
Bench: 16 Craig Burden, 17 Jannie du Plessis, 18 Anton Bresler, 19 Jacques Botes, 20 Conrad Hoffmann, 21 Jacques-Louis Potgieter, 22 Adrian Jacobs.


Well, one thing’s for sure… there will be one fewer unbeaten team left in Super Rugby after the conclusion of this match! Alister Coetzee has made a few changes to his side, dropping some players whose current play isn’t living up to their big reputations. The Highlanders, though, are coming off a very good victory against the Bulls at Loftus and are full of confidence. The Stormers, I feel, have been unimpressive to date and with the best will in the world, I simply haven’t seen anything from them to suggest they are going to be the Landers tomorrow. The Highlanders will win a tight game, by 3 points.

Stormers – 15 Gio Aplon, 14 Danie Poolman, 13 Juan de Jongh, 12 Jean de Villiers (Captain), 11 Bryan Habana, 10 Peter Grant, 9 Dewaldt Duvenage, 8 Duane Vermeulen, 7 Francois Louw, 6 Pieter Louw, 5 Andries Bekker, 4 Rynhardt Elstadt, 3 Brok Harris, 2 Deon Fourie, 1 CJ van der Linde.
Subs: 16 Siyabonga Ntubeni, 17 Frans Malherbe, 18 De Kock Steenkamp, 19 Nick Koster, 20 Ricky Januarie, 21 Gary van Aswegen, 22 Jaque Fourie.

Highlanders – 15 Ben Smith, 14 James Paterson, 13 Kendrick Lynn, 12 Shaun Treeby, 11 Siale Piutau, 10 Robbie Robinson, 9 Jimmy Cowan, 8 Nasi Manu, 7 Alando Soakai, 6 Adam Thomson, 5 Josh Bekhuis, 4 Jarrad Hoeata, 3 Chris King, 2 Jason Rutledge, 1 Jamie Mackintosh (Captain).
Subs: 16 Mahroni Schwalger, 17 David Te Moana, 18 Tom Donnelly, 19 John Hardie, 20 Aaron Smith, 21 Tony Brown, 22 Telusa Veainu.


The Canes are again tough to call, because they have had a very disrupted start to their season. They lost to the Highlanders – somewhat surprisingly – but haven’t played since, with their round 2 game called off and a bye in round 3. They will be rusty and will need to start all over again, but their opponents, the Chiefs, have looked really poor in all of their outings to date and they simply don’t have the class in their ranks that the Wellington men do. Canes to win by 5.

Hurricanes – 15 Cory Jane, 14 Julian Savea, 13 Conrad Smith, 12 Jayden Hayward, 11 Andre Taylor, 10 Aaron Cruden, 9 Chris Eaton, 8 Victor Vito, 7 Serge Lilo, 6 Jack Lam, 5 Jason Eaton, 4 James Broadhurst, 3 Neemia Tialata, 2 Andrew Hore (captain), 1 John Schwalger.
Replacements: 16 Dane Coles, 17 Anthony Perenise, 18 Mark Reddish, 19 Faifili Levave, 20 Tyson Keats, 21 Daniel Kirkpatrick, 22 Charlie Ngatai.

Chiefs – 15 Tim Nanai-Williams, 14 Lelia Masaga, 13 Dwayne Sweeney, 12 Tana Umaga, 11 Sitiveni Sivivatu, 10 Stephen Donald, 9 Brendon Leonard, 8 Liam Messam (captain), 7 Tanerau Latimer, 6 Scott Waldrom, 5 Isaac Ross, 4 Craig Clarke, 3 Nathan White, 2 Aled de Malmanche, 1 Ben May.
Replacements: 16 Hika Elliot, 17 Sona Taumalolo, 18 Romana Graham, 19 Fritz Lee, 20 Taniela Moa, 21 Mike Delany, 22 Jackson Willison.


One-way traffic again, I fear. The Force have been forced into a number of reshuffles, having lost Pocock and Inman to injury, as well as Sidey to suspension. They looked clueless for large parts of the game against the Sharks and fresh off their confidence-inspiring win against the Lions, the Blues will simply have too much for them. Blues by 10.

Force – 15. Cameron Shepherd, 14. Alfie Mafi, 13. Nick Cummins, 12. Gene Fairbanks, 11. David Smith, 10. James O’Connor, 9. Brett Sheehan, 8. Ben McCalman, 7. Matt Hodgson, 6. Richard Brown, 5. Nathan Sharpe (Captain), 4. Sam Wykes, 3. Tim Fairbrother, 2. Ben Whittaker, 1. Pek Cowan

Substitutes: 16. Nathan Charles, 17. Matt Dunning, 18. Tevita Metuisela, 19. Jono Jenkins, 20. James Stannard, 21. Matt Brandon, 22. Pat Dellit

Blues – 15. Isaia Toeava, 14. Josevata Rokocoko, 13. Jared Payne, 12. Benson Stanley, 11. Rene Ranger, 10. Luke McAlister, 9. Toby Morland, 8. Chris Lowrey, 7. Daniel Braid, 6. Jerome Kaino, 5. Ali Williams, 4. Anthony Boric, 3. Charlie Faumuina, 2. Keven Mealamu (captain), 1. Tony Woodcock.
Reserves: Tom McCartney, John Afoa, Kurtis Haiu, Luke Braid, Alby Mathewson, Stephen Brett, Sherwin Stowers.


Ah – the much talked-about return of Heinrich Brussow. Let’s hope he’s really over his injury and manages to get through his comeback game better than Juan Smith did two weeks ago! This one could, of course, go either way, with the cellar dwellers of the South African conference once again slugging it out for the wooden spoon this season. The Lions have all the money, but somehow aren’t quite managing to turn their losing streak around, whereas the Cheetahs (poor in so many ways) have been unlucky against both the Bulls and the Stormers as well. I feel the home side will win here, so Cheetahs by 5.

Cheetahs – 15 Riaan Viljoen, 14 Philip Snyman, 13 Robert Ebersohn, 12 Andries Strauss (c), 11 Rayno Benjamin, 10 Sias Ebersohn, 9 Sarel Pretorius, 8 Ashley Johnson, 7 Philip van der Walt, 6 Heinrich Brussow, 5 Wilhelm Steenkamp, 4 Martin Muller, 3 WP Nel, 2 Ryno Barnes, 1 Coenie Oosthuizen.
Subs: 16 Skipper Badenhorst, 17 Kobus Calldo, 18 Kabamba Floors, 19 Francois Uys, 20 Tewis de Bruyn, 21 Naas Olivier, 22 Fabien Juries.

Lions – 15 James Kamana, 14 Lionel Mapoe, 13 Waylon Murray, 12 Doppies la Grange, 11 Michael Killian, 10 Elton Jantjies, 9 Rory Kockott, 8 Warren Whitely, 7 Joshua Strauss, 6 Derick Minnie, 5 Franco van der Merwe (captain), 4 Wikus van Heerden, 3 Patric Cilliers, 2 Bandise Maku, 1 JC Janse van Rensburg.
Replacements: 16 Martin Bezuidenhout, 17 Kevin Buys, 18 Michael Rhodes, 19 Cobus Grobbelaar, 20 Michael Bondesio, 21 Burton Francis, 22 Jaco Taute.


  • There are problems in the Cheetahs camp, Lions to take that one.

  • Comment 1, posted at 10.03.11 09:22:21 by war1 Reply
  • I have all the same bar the Stormers game..

    Stormers at home too strong for the Highlanders, they had their game last week.

  • Comment 2, posted at 10.03.11 09:25:15 by Richard Ferguson Reply
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    Richard Ferguson
  • I got 5 from 7 last week with only the Lions and Bulls letting me down. I think I’ll stick to the Lions and also go for a Stormers win. The Canes v Chiefs is gonna be a tough one imo.

  • Comment 3, posted at 10.03.11 09:33:17 by Jarson (AddicteD) Reply
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  • A couple of difficult calls to make here . . .

    Dunno about the FS or the Stormers to be honest.

  • Comment 4, posted at 10.03.11 09:36:55 by Original Champion Reply
    Original Pierre
  • I’ll eat my hat if the Stormers lose. And my socks. Sommer the whole outfit. :mrgreen:

  • Comment 5, posted at 10.03.11 09:40:50 by McLovin Reply

  • Saders

  • Comment 6, posted at 10.03.11 09:42:59 by McLovin Reply

  • I say again..

    This weekend should be rather interesting with two close games splitting the field..

  • Comment 7, posted at 10.03.11 09:45:47 by Richard Ferguson Reply
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    Richard Ferguson
  • @McLovin (Comment 5) : That’s what the Bulls supporters said… 😉

  • Comment 8, posted at 10.03.11 09:51:17 by CapeShark Reply
    The Great Couch Shark
  • @Richard Ferguson (Comment 2) : Ironic that with DHL on board, the Stormers are not delivering…

  • Comment 9, posted at 10.03.11 09:52:49 by CapeShark Reply
    The Great Couch Shark
  • @CapeShark (Comment 9) :

    Rather fitting isn’t it?

  • Comment 10, posted at 10.03.11 09:54:34 by Richard Ferguson Reply
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    Richard Ferguson
  • Think the Lions and Stormers could win close games. Sharks by more than 15 points too.

  • Comment 11, posted at 10.03.11 09:55:07 by Speed7 Reply

  • @war1 (Comment 1) : I agree with you on that one and think the Stormers might be the ones to win this weekend. They might only tour for 2 weeks but the kiwis sometimes suffer from the one foot on a plane syndrome as well.

    But the kicker is the fact that the Stormers have finally kicked the third prop on the field, fat%^&# Januarie to the bench where he can cover both the front row and scrumhalf as a sub.

  • Comment 12, posted at 10.03.11 10:04:42 by Butchie34 Reply
  • Anybody checked out the pool v pool leaderboard on SB? Seems the smaller pools are doing better than big ones. 😈

  • Comment 13, posted at 10.03.11 10:14:53 by Jarson (AddicteD) Reply
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  • Highlanders haven’t won at Newlands since 2006.

    So they beat the Bulls. So what? The Bulls were extremely poor and almost got away with a draw.

    Last year the Highlanders also scored 35 against the Bulls and couldn’t score a single point at Newlands.

    There’s no chance that the Stormers will be as bad as last week, it was like a million degrees celsius inside the stadium, nor will they be as bad as the Bulls were against the Highlanders.

    Only one way this match can go. :mrgreen:

  • Comment 14, posted at 10.03.11 10:15:33 by McLovin Reply

  • @McLovin (Comment 14) :

    I have to agree with you on that!

  • Comment 15, posted at 10.03.11 10:16:31 by Richard Ferguson Reply
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    Richard Ferguson
  • @Richard Ferguson (Comment 15) : My first major concern is next week against the Bulle at Loftus.

    After their loss to the Highlanders and bye this week, they’ll want to make amends against the Stormers. Almost makes me want to sleep with the light on. :mrgreen:

  • Comment 16, posted at 10.03.11 10:25:04 by McLovin Reply

  • @McLovin (Comment 16) :

    That is going to be a rough game to call..

    In times of doubt, always back the home team.. lol

  • Comment 17, posted at 10.03.11 10:30:21 by Richard Ferguson Reply
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    Richard Ferguson
  • Game 22: Crusaders v Brumbies: Crusaders by 5Game 23: Rebels v Sharks: Sharks by 18Game 24: Stormers v Highlanders: Stormers by 8Game 25: Hurricanes v Chiefs: Hurricanes by 15Game 26: Force v Blues: Force by 5Game 27: Cheetahs v Lions: Lions by 10

  • Comment 18, posted at 10.03.11 10:30:25 by Poisy Reply
  • Saders
    ???? *scratching head* *flipping coin* Cheetahs

  • Comment 19, posted at 10.03.11 11:42:00 by blackshark - the lurker Reply

    blackshark - I'm back!
  • I don`t think the Highlanders and the lions will both come through this weekend. History suggests there will be an upset, but to expect both the stormers and FS to fail at home is a bit much.

    In retrospect I should`ve gone with a combination, either stormers and lions or Highlanders and FS. Look, it can backfire completely but I think you`ll have a 50/50 chance if you approach it this way. By just sticking to the favourites or backing both outsiders you have almost no chance.

    Predictions made . . . now bring it on! :mrgreen:

  • Comment 20, posted at 10.03.11 22:25:31 by Original Champion Reply
    Original Pierre
  • Do yourselves a favour and read this piece by Brian Mujati. Pretty good for a prop.

  • Comment 21, posted at 10.03.11 22:38:51 by RealDirtyShark Reply

  • @RealDirtyShark (Comment 21) : 😎

  • Comment 22, posted at 11.03.11 06:33:28 by Jarson (AddicteD) Reply
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