robdylan

Super Rugby 2011: Round 16 review and predictions


Written by Rob Otto (robdylan)

Posted in :Original Content, Super Rugby on 2 Jun 2011 at 08:17
Tagged with : , , ,

We’re now getting into the third-last round of regular-season action in the 2011 Super Rugby competition and once again, there are a number of match-ups that could have real impact on the semi-final permutations. Let’s see if we can pick the winners.

HIGHLANDERS vs FORCE, DUNEDIN, FRI 09:35

This one is a real no-brainer to me. The Highlanders are hanging on to knock-out contention by their fingernails at this stage and know that a good win, with a bonus point, over the Force is non-negotiable foor them. I’m backing the boys from the South to do what’s needed and bring back a little shine to a season that has started to turn out badly after a promising start. Highlanders to win by 15.

Highlanders – 15 Ben Smith, 14 Kade Poki, 13 Kendrick Lynn, 12 Shaun Treeby, 11 Siale Piutau, 10 Lima Sopoaga, 9 Jimmy Cowan, 8 Nasi Manu, 7 John Hardie, 6 Adam Thomson, 5 Josh Bekhuis, 4 Jarrad Hoeata, 3 Chris King, 2 Mo Schwwalger, 1 Jamie Mackintosh (c).
Subs: 16 Jason Rutledge, 17 Bronson Murray, 18 Tom Donnelly, 19 Nick Crosswell, 20 Aaron Smith, 21 Robbie Robinson, 22 Alando Soakai.

Force – TBC

REBELS vs STORMERS, MELBOURNE, FRI 11:40

This one really should be easy to pick, with the respective teams occupying vastly different areas of the combined conference log. The Stormers look strong everywhere other than at halfback, where they’ve been forced to start with Kurt Coleman and include Earl Rose and the young Louis Schreuder on the bench. The Sharks found out earlier this year that the Rebels are capable of really turning it on when required, but I doubt they’ll have the composure to trouble the Stormers. Far better teams than this Rebels outfit have found the Cape Town defence near impossible to breach, but the real concern for Stormers supporters will be whether they can keep pressure on the Sharks and Bulls by picking up a four-try bonus here. Stormers to win by 12 or so.

Rebels – 15 Richard Kingi, 14 Lachlan Mitchell, 13 Mark Gerrard, 12 Stirling Mortlock (c), 11 Cooper Vuna, 10 Julian Huxley, 9 Nick Phipps, 8 Gareth Delve, 7 Michael Lipman, 6 Jarrod Saffy, 5 Hugh Pyle, 4 Alister Campbell, 3 Laurie Weeks, 2 Ged Robinson, 1 Nic Henderson.
Subs: 16 Adam Freier, 17 Greg Somerville, 18 Kevin O’Neill, 19 Tim Davidson, 20 Sam Cordingley, 21 Peter Betham, 22 Afusipa Taumoepeau.

Stormers – 15 Conrad Jantjes, 14 Gio Aplon, 13 Jaque Fourie, 12 Jean de Villiers, 11 Bryan Habana, 10 Kurt Coleman, 9 Ricky Januarie, 8 Duane Vermeulen, 7 Francois Louw, 6 Schalk Burger (c), 5 Anton van Zyl, 4 Rynhardt Elstadt, 3 Brok Harris, 2 Tiaan Liebenberg, 1 Wicus Blaauw
Subs: 16 Deon Fourie, 17 Frans Malherbe, 18 Andries Bekker 19 Nick Koster, 20 Louis Schreuder, 21 Earl Rose, 22 Juan de Jongh.

BULLS vs WARATAHS, PRETORIA, FRI 19:10

This game could turn out to be quite interesting, since both sides are literally fighting for their lives now. The Tahs are still in contention, holding grimly on to sixth place but will know that a oss against the Bulls will knock them out of the play-off zone. The Pretorians have vowed, though, not to lose an further games as they march to the play-offs and have so far been true to their word. With the Tahs carrying a nasty injury list and the Bulls picking up some real momentum, you can only really see one winner, though. Bulls by 10.

Bulls – 15 Zane Kirchner, 14 Akona Ndungane/Gerhard van den Heever, 13 Jaco Pretoruis, 12 Wynand Olivier, 11 Bjorn Basson, 10 Morne Steyn, 9 Francois Hougaard, 8 Pierre Spies, 7 Danie Rossouw, 6 Deon Stegmann, 5 Victor Matfield (c), 4 Bakkies Botha, 3 Werner Kruger, 2 Gary Botha, 1 Dean Greyling.
Subs: 16 Chiliboy Ralepelle, 17 Rossouw de Klerk, 18 Flip van der Merwe, 19 Dewald Potgieter, 20 Dustin Jinka, 21 Francois Brummer, 22 Gerhard van den Heever.

Waratahs – 15 Kurtley Beale, 14 Lachie Turner, 13 Tom Carter, 12 Berrick Barnes, 11 Soseni Anesi, 10 Daniel Halangahu, 9 Luke Burgess, 8 Ben Mowen, 7 Chris Alcock, 6 Dean Mumm (c), 5 Kane Douglas, 4 Sitaleki Timani, 3 Al Baxter, 2 Tatafu Polota-Nau, 1 Benn Robinson.
Subs: 16 Paddy Ryan, 17 John Ulugia, 18 Pat O’Connor, 19 Dave Dennis, 20 Hugh Perrett, 21 Brendan McKibbin, 22 Atieli Pakalani.

HURRICANES vs LIONS, WELLINGTON, SAT 07:30

It’s always really tough to pick the games that have no bearing on anything and I guess this one falls into that category. The Lions did superbly to unexpectedly knock over the Highlanders last week, but woeful as the Canes have been this year, you simply cant see the Joburg gang being consistent enough to do it again. That would mean three wins on tour… simply not something I feel these boys can achieve. Canes to take it by 7.

Hurricanes – TBC

Lions – 15 Jaco Taute, 14 Dylan des Fountain, 13 Doppies la Grange (c), 12 Butch James, 11 Deon van Rensburg, 10 Elton Jantjies, 9 Jano Vermaak, 8 Josh Strauss, 7 Derick Minnie, 6 Cobus Grobbelaar,5 Franco van der Merwe, 4 Wikus van Heerden, 3 Patric Cilliers, 2 Bandise Maku, 1 JC Janse van Rensburg.
Subs: 16 Edgar Marutlulle, 17 Jacobie Adriaanse, 18 David de Villiers, 19 Warren Whiteley, 20 Rory Kockott, 21 Alwyn Hollenbach, 22 Michael Killian.

BLUES vs CHIEFS, AUCKLAND, SAT 09:35

The Blues know they simply have to win this derby game in order to keep up the pressure on the Reds, who are virtually guaranteed to beat the awful Brumbies. The Chiefs have blown hot and cold all season, but I don’t see them being hot enough to dent the Blues’ hopes here. Blues by 12.

Blues – TBC

Chiefs – 15 Mils Muliaina (c), 14 Lelia Masaga, 13 Richard Kahui, 12 Tana Umaga, 11 Sitiveni Sivivatu, 10 Stephen Donald, 9 Brendon Leonard, 8 Fritz Lee, 7 Tanerau Latimer, 6 Liam Messam, 5 Romana Graham, 4 Craig Clarke, 3 Nathan White, 2 Hika Elliot, 1 Ben May.
Subs: 16 Aled de Malmanche, 17 Toby Smith, 18 Culum Retallick, 19 Matt Vant Leven, 20 Tawera Kerr-Barlow, 21 Mike Delany, 22 Dwayne Sweeney.

REDS vs BRUMBIES, BRISBANE, SAT 11:40

A boring Aussie derby. Thank goodness we have so many more of them this year. Reds to triumph in a snooze-fest. There won’t be much exciting rugby as the Brumbies drag the Reds down to their own shocking level. Reds by 10.

Reds – TBC

Brumbies – TBC

CHEETAHS vs SHARKS, BLOEMFONTEIN, SAT 17:05

A South African derby to close off the round and the Sharks find themselves going to Bloemfontein needing the points badly in order to stay in the play-off race. The Cheetahs have nothing to play for other than pride, but that emotion alone has kept them going beautifully ever since they returned from tour and they’ve claimed some big scalps along the way. Looking at the teams on paper, though, the Sharks really shouldn’t struggle and assuming they’ve now FIANLLY got the message and play to their potential, they should take it. Sharks by 8.

Cheetahs – 15 Hennie Daniller, 14 Riaan Viljoen, 13 Robert Ebersohn, 12 Corne Uys, 11 Philip Snyman, 10 Sias Ebersohn, 9 Sarel Pretorius, 8 Davon Raubenheimer, 7 Ashley Johnson, 6 Johan Wessels, 5 Martin Muller, 4 Francois Uys, 3 WP Nel, 2 Adriaan Strauss (c), 1 Coenie Oosthuizen.
Subs: 16 Ryno Barnes, 17 Lourens Adriaanse, 18 Izak van der Westhuizen, 19 Pieter Myburgh, 20 Tewis de Bruyn, 21 Naas Olivier, 22 Riaan Smit.

Sharks – TBC


41 Comments

  • A Brumbies & Chiefs win would be nice. 😈

    But what are the odds? 😐

  • Comment 1, posted at 02.06.11 08:35:12 by McLovin Reply
    McLovin
     
  • I have the same predictions on SB this weekend. But the Sharks game is making me very nervous. Lets hope the Biys finish well. GO SHARKS!!!!

  • Comment 2, posted at 02.06.11 08:59:29 by Viking Reply
    Author
    Viking
     
  • All these games seem so easy to predict this weekend, I have the exact same winners on SB and as there isn’t a snowball’s chance that I’m going to get a GSP I suspect we will have at least 3 upsets this weekend.

  • Comment 3, posted at 02.06.11 09:04:28 by KSA Shark © Reply

    KSA Shark ©
     
  • The trick is to predict the upset. Rebels? Lions? Chiefs? Brumbies?

  • Comment 4, posted at 02.06.11 09:04:36 by Jarson (AddicteD) Reply
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  • @KSA Shark © (Comment 3) : And I’ll probably pick the same 😈

  • Comment 5, posted at 02.06.11 09:05:37 by Jarson (AddicteD) Reply
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  • WRONG. but only in the Sharks result .

  • Comment 6, posted at 02.06.11 09:09:47 by Speed7 Reply

    Speed7
     
  • @KSA Shark © (Comment 3) :
    Nothing is a sure thing in this competition anymore. All the games seem so easy to predict but I am sure there will be an upset somewhere.

    @Jarson (AddicteD) (Comment 4) : Don’t you think that the Cheetahs can possible cause another upset for the Sharks based on their current form?

  • Comment 7, posted at 02.06.11 09:11:17 by Viking Reply
    Author
    Viking
     
  • @Viking (Comment 7) : I don’t see that as an upset, as the Cheetahs can win the Sharks on anyday. But I’ll be upset if they do 😈

  • Comment 8, posted at 02.06.11 09:20:40 by Jarson (AddicteD) Reply
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  • So the Sharks team hasnt been announced yet!

    Now there’s a surprise!! 🙄 😈

  • Comment 9, posted at 02.06.11 09:22:53 by wpw Reply
    Author
    wpw
     
  • @Jarson (AddicteD) (Comment 8) : jarson wanted to say congrats with IPL 3 possition on punters pool

  • Comment 10, posted at 02.06.11 09:23:20 by franshark Reply
    Author
    Franshark
     
  • My take :

    Highlanders by about 10
    Stormers 15
    Bulls by 12
    Hurricanes 10
    Blues 10
    Reds 15
    Sharks or Cheetahs . . .. Coin Toss?? Would`ve helped if I had a team to compare.

  • Comment 11, posted at 02.06.11 09:44:08 by Original Pierre Reply
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    Original Pierre
     
  • @franshark (Comment 10) : Thanks 🙂

  • Comment 12, posted at 02.06.11 09:45:30 by Jarson (AddicteD) Reply
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  • @wpw (Comment 9) : Plumtree is busy studying the responses to Rob’s article and mulling them over before making his decision.

  • Comment 13, posted at 02.06.11 09:46:18 by KSA Shark © Reply

    KSA Shark ©
     
  • Reunion pundits all picked the Cheetahs to win.

  • Comment 14, posted at 02.06.11 09:51:07 by McLovin Reply

    McLovin
     
  • @McLovin (Comment 14) : I don`t get how the Sharks could be favourites on Sportsbet this weekend?

    What does Ishma-eel and Clint know that I don`t?

  • Comment 15, posted at 02.06.11 09:53:41 by Original Pierre Reply
    Author
    Original Pierre
     
  • @KSA Shark © (Comment 13) : like last week I sent a memo asking for the return of that “fransman” meaning frans stein, then they went and got the french man back 🙂 communication!!!! Ai

  • Comment 16, posted at 02.06.11 09:55:03 by franshark Reply
    Author
    Franshark
     
  • Wonder if the Force might not be able to pull off the obligatory upset for this round.
    They killed the bulls after all and the Highlanders just lost to the Lions! 🙄

  • Comment 17, posted at 02.06.11 09:57:22 by Original Pierre Reply
    Author
    Original Pierre
     
  • @Original Pierre (Comment 15) : Not sure, but I’ve picked the Sharks on SB.

    Then again I’m not even in the top 100 in the SW pool. 😆

  • Comment 18, posted at 02.06.11 10:01:52 by McLovin Reply

    McLovin
     
  • @McLovin (Comment 14) : Thats because it is what they need. You have to take the emotions out of it. Still it could go either way 😕

  • Comment 19, posted at 02.06.11 10:07:09 by Viking Reply
    Author
    Viking
     
  • @McLovin (Comment 18) : I`ve had one of my worst SB seasons in years.
    Funny . . when the sharks don`t do so well I seem to fold right along with them.
    Must Learn to go with my head not my heart!

  • Comment 20, posted at 02.06.11 10:10:54 by Original Pierre Reply
    Author
    Original Pierre
     
  • @Viking (Comment 19) : The NZ TAB also picked the Cheetahs, and they’re in it for the money. 😈

    On the show that is, on the website it looks like they’ve got Sharks as favourites.

  • Comment 21, posted at 02.06.11 10:11:18 by McLovin Reply

    McLovin
     
  • @Original Pierre (Comment 20) : I always go with my head but one gets touted as a bad supporter on here if you don’t pick the Sharks to win every week! 🙄

  • Comment 22, posted at 02.06.11 10:15:37 by Ben Reply
    Friend of Sharksworld Author
    Ben
     
  • Just saw Bulls will have their best game breaker on the park this weekend so they`re a sure thing! No wonder their odds are just about 0 LOL.

    Thanks Craig Joubert!! 😈

  • Comment 23, posted at 02.06.11 10:20:52 by Original Pierre Reply
    Author
    Original Pierre
     
  • @Ben (Comment 22) : I dunno what Pierre is on about – he is exactly like you! Pick against the Sharks… 😈

  • Comment 24, posted at 02.06.11 10:24:08 by Ice Reply
    Competition Winner Ice
     
  • @McLovin (Comment 14) : I thought I could whinge but my best couldnt come close to those 3 in last nights reunion show regarding the Saders defeat.

  • Comment 25, posted at 02.06.11 10:29:42 by Salmonoid Reply
    Friend of Sharksworld
    Salmonoid the Subtle
     
  • @Ice (Comment 24) : I must just get my timing right.
    Seems they schedule their little flashes of brilliance to coincide with my defections . . .

  • Comment 26, posted at 02.06.11 10:30:33 by Original Pierre Reply
    Author
    Original Pierre
     
  • @Salmonoid (Comment 25) : And they say we moan about refs. Hundreds of bitching comments on stuff.conz as well. :mrgreen:

  • Comment 27, posted at 02.06.11 10:32:16 by McLovin Reply

    McLovin
     
  • I don’t think the Bulls/Waratahs game is so clearcut?
    The Cheetahs/Sharks imo is also a pretty close one to call based on form.

    And who says the Stormers will win against the Rebels??? 😈

  • Comment 28, posted at 02.06.11 10:50:00 by Letgo Reply
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    Letgo
     
  • @wpw (Comment 9) : Yes they have…just now. 😛

  • Comment 29, posted at 02.06.11 10:51:09 by Letgo Reply
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    Letgo
     
  • @Letgo (Comment 29) : No changes that anyone will be happy with. Sorry.

  • Comment 30, posted at 02.06.11 10:51:39 by Letgo Reply
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    Letgo
     
  • @Letgo (Comment 30) : Well the starting forwards that I prefer 😉

  • Comment 31, posted at 02.06.11 10:53:11 by Charlie Reply

    Charlie
     
  • Team for weekend

    1. John Smit (Captain)
    2. Bismarck du Plessis
    3. Eugene van Staden
    4. Steven Sykes
    5. Gerhard Mostert
    6. Keegan Daniel
    7. Willem Alberts
    8. Ryan Kankowski
    9. Charl McLeod
    10. Patrick Lambie
    11. Lwazi Mvovo
    12. Meyer Bosman
    13. Stefan Terblanche
    14. JP Pietersen
    15. Louis Ludik

    Replacements
    16. Tendai Mtawarira
    17. Wiehahn Herbst
    18. Alistair Hargreaves
    19. Jacques Botes
    20. Frederic Michalak
    21. Jacques-Louis Potgieter
    22. Adrian Jacobs

  • Comment 32, posted at 02.06.11 10:53:32 by Mocho Reply

    Mocho
     
  • @Mocho (Comment 32) : I don’t agree with the Botes selection or non-selection. I believe he made a huge contribution in retention of ball at the breakdown for the Sharks against the Waratahs, in the first game he’s played in a while.

    I think retention at the breakdown will again be a stumbling block for the Sharks with the loosies we have selected. Hope I’m wrong, but that’s my prediction and with that prediction our chances of winning the game became even smaller. 😐

  • Comment 33, posted at 02.06.11 11:01:13 by Letgo Reply
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    Letgo
     
  • @Letgo (Comment 28) : Im with you on the Bulls game, Im very tempted to go with the Tahs.

  • Comment 34, posted at 02.06.11 11:07:51 by Salmonoid Reply
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  • Waratahs have lost their last 5 matches at Loftus, can’t see that changing this weekend.

    In fact the last time the Waratahs beat the Bulls anywhere was in 2005.

  • Comment 35, posted at 02.06.11 11:10:45 by McLovin Reply

    McLovin
     
  • @McLovin (Comment 35) : Okay then the Rebels will beat the Stormers, based on the fact that the Stormers has never won against the Rebels anywhere, ever!!! 😀

  • Comment 36, posted at 02.06.11 11:20:11 by Letgo Reply
    Friend of Sharksworld Author
    Letgo
     
  • @Letgo (Comment 36) : Bear in mind that the rebels have never beaten the stormers any where, so what, a nil – nil draw? 😆

  • Comment 37, posted at 02.06.11 11:26:32 by Greg Reply

    Greg
     
  • @Greg (Comment 37) : I’ll go for that! 😆

  • Comment 38, posted at 02.06.11 11:28:05 by Letgo Reply
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    Letgo
     
  • @Greg (Comment 37) : Rebels have home ground advantage :mrgreen:

  • Comment 39, posted at 02.06.11 11:29:26 by Jarson (AddicteD) Reply
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  • @Letgo (Comment 36) : That’s true for both teams. :mrgreen:

  • Comment 40, posted at 02.06.11 11:38:36 by McLovin Reply

    McLovin
     
  • Blues: 15 Lachie Munro, 14 Joe Rokocoko, 13 Jared Payne, 12 Benson Stanley, 11 Rene Ranger, 10 Luke McAlister, 9 Alby Mathewson, 8 Peter Saili, 7 Luke Braid, 6 Jerome Kaino (captain), 5 Ali Williams, 4 Anthony Boric, 3 John Afoa, 2 Tom McCartney, 1 Tevita Mailau.

    Replacements: 16 Keven Mealamu, 17 Charlie Faumuina, 18 Chris Lowrey, 19 Sean Polwart, 20 Chris Smylie, 21 Stephen Brett, 22 Sherwin Stowers.

  • Comment 41, posted at 02.06.11 12:53:16 by Original Pierre Reply
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    Original Pierre
     

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