robdylan

Super Rugby 2011: Round 17 preview and predictions


Written by Rob Otto (robdylan)

Posted in :Original Content, Super Rugby on 9 Jun 2011 at 11:45
Tagged with : , , ,

Seriously… 17 round of this stuff and we still haven’t actually got to the knock outs? Too much of a good thing, if you ask me. Anyway, everyone’s looking pretty battered and broken at the moment, making picking the results a perilous exercise. Nevermind, though, we shall continue undaunted.

CHIEFS vs HURRICANES, HAMILTON, FRI 09:35

This one, to me, is actually quite easy to pick. The Canes have been rocked by fresh allegations of unrest within the team, with two of their best All Blacks, Nonu and Hore, told they won’t be getting new contracts next year. The Chiefs, meanwhile, have turned in a few solid performances, not least of which their unexpected victory over the Blues last week. Chiefs to win this one by about 10.

Chiefs – 15 Mils Muliaina, 14 Lelia Masaga, 13 Richard Kahui, 12 Dwayne Sweeney, 11 Sitiveni Sivivatu, 10 Stephen Donald, 9 Brendon Leonard, 8 Fritz Lee, 7 Tanerau Latimer, 6 Liam Messam , 5 Isaac Ross, 4 Craig Clarke, 3 Nathan White, 2 Hika Elliot, 1 Ben May.
Subs: 16 Aled de Malmanche, 17 Toby Smith, 18 Matt Vant Leven, 19 TBC, 20 Tawera Kerr-Barlow, 21 Tim Nanai-Williams, 22 Jackson Willison.

Hurricanes – 15 Cory Jane, 14 Julian Savea, 13 Alapati Leiua, 12 Ma’a Nonu, 11 Hosea Gear, 10 Aaron Cruden, 9 Piri Weepu, 8 Victor Vito, 7 Jack Lam, 6 Faifili Levave, 5 James Broadhurst, 4 Jeremy Thrush, 3 Neemia Tialata, 2 Andrew Hore (c), 1 John Schwalger.
Subs: 16 Dane Coles, 17 Jacob Ellison, 18 Jason Eaton, 19 Mark Reddish/Karl Lowe, 20 Tyson Keats, 21 Jayden Hayward, 22 Richard Buckman.

BRUMBIES vs REBELS, CANBERRA, FRI 11:40

Schoolboy derby. Who cares? Let’s be brave and back the Rebels to win by 1 point. Don’t bother watching, it’s going to suck!

Brumbies – 15 Pat McCabe, 14 Henry Speight, 13 Tyrone Smith, 12 Christian Lealiifano, 11 Adam Ashley-Cooper, 10 Matt Giteau, 9 Patrick Phibbs, 8 Ita Vaea, 7 Julian Salvi, 6 Mitchell Chapman, 5 Mark Chisholm, 4 Ben Hand, 3 Ben Alexander, 2 Stephen Moore, 1 Jono Owen.
Subs: 16 Anthony Hegarty, 17 Jerry Yanuyanutawa, 18 Peter Kimlin, 19 Henry Vanderglas, 20 Nick White, 21 Robbie Coleman, 22 Andrew Smith.

Rebels – 15 Mark Gerrard, 14 Richard Kingi, 13 Stirling Mortlock (c), 12 Julian Huxley, 11 Cooper Vuna, 10 Danny Cipriani, 9 Nick Phipps, 8 Gareth Delve, 7 Michael Lipman, 6 Jarrod Saffy, 5 Kevin O’Neill, 4 Alister Campbell, 3 Greg Somerville, 2 Ged Robinson, 1 Rodney Blake.
Subs: 16 Adam Freier, 17 Laurie Weeks, 18 Adam Byrnes, 19 Tim Davidson, 20 Lachlan Mitchell, 21 Peter Betham, 22 Afusipa Taumoepeau.

CRUSADERS vs BLUES, TIMARU, SAT 09:35

Aaaah – this is the “other” big derby of the round and the one that will surely decide top spot in the New Zealand conference. While the Blues were the early-season pace-setters, the Crusaders are picking up a nice head of steam and are my pick to top the New Zealand log – as well as probably go on to win the tourney. It all starts with a win over their North Island rivals… Crusaders by 5, I say.

Crusaders –15 Tom Marshall, 14 Brent Ward, 13 Robbie Fruean, 12 Sonny Bill Williams, 11 Zac Guildford, 10 Dan Carter, 9 Andy Ellis, 8 Kieran Read (c), 7 Matt Todd, 6 George Whitelock, 5 Sam Whitelock, 4 Brad Thorn, 3 Owen Franks, 2 Corey Flynn, 1 Ben Franks.
Subs: 16 Quentin MacDonald, 17 Wyatt Crockett, 18 Luke Romano, 19 Jonathan Poff, 20 Wlli Heinz, 21 Matt Berquist, 22 Ryan Crotty.

Blues – 15 Jared Payne, 14 Joe Rokocoko, 13 Benson Stanley, 12 Luke McAlister, 11 Rene Ranger, 10 Stephen Brett, 9 Alby Mathewson, 8 Peter Saili, 7 Luke Braid, 6 Jerome Kaino, 5 Ali Williams, 4 Anthony Boric, 3 Charlie Faumuina, 2 Keven Mealamu (c), 1 John Afoa.
Subs: 16 Tom McCartney, 17 Tevita Mailau, 18 Chris Lowery, 19 Sean Polwart, 20 Chris Smylie, 21 Lachie Munro, 22 Sherwin Stowers.

WARATAHS vs HIGHLANDERS, SYDNEY, SAT 11:40

Ooooh – the only cross-conference game of the round and one that is of huge interest to South Africans as well. The Tahs are literally staring at last-chance saloon and need to pick up a full haul of points here to try and get back into semi-final reckoning. Should the men from Sydney prevail, they will then look at leapfrogging whoever loses at Loftus next week. Should the Landers win, then it will knock the Tahs out for good and also lessen the pressure on whoever loses the Blues-Crusaders match. I have a bad feeling that the Tahs will win, though, by about 5 points.

Waratahs – TBC

Highlanders – 15 Ben Smith, 14 Kade Poki, 13 Kendrick Lynn, 12 Shaun Treeby, 11 Siale Piutau, 10 Tony Brown, 9 Aaron Smith, 8 Nasi Manu, 7 Alando Soakai, 6 Adam Thomson, 5 Josh Bekhuis, 4 Jarrad Hoeata, 3 Bronson Murray, 2 Jason Rutledge, 1 Jamie Mackintosh (c).
Subs: 16 Mo Schwalger, 17 Chris King, 18 Nick Crosswell, 19 John Hardie, 22 Jimmy Cowan, 21 Robbie Robinson, 22 Telusa Veainu.

FORCE vs REDS, PERTH, SAT 14:05

The Reds really should win this one, shouldn’t they? But wait – they lost to the Brumbies…. I’m going to assume that was a one-off and they’ll bounce back. Reds by 10.

Force – TBC

Reds – TBC

LIONS vs SHARKS, JOHANNESBURG, SAT 16:05

The SHarks need to up their game by about 1000%, but the fact that they have their backs to the wall and the Lions are returning from tour should see the Durbanites home by 7 points.

Lions – TBC

Sharks – TBC

STORMERS vs BULLS, CAPE TOWN, SAT 18:10

Ja right – like I’m really going to pick a winner here! Two strong teams, both in good form and both with a huge amount to play for? Going with the heart here and backing home-ground advantage to give the Stormers a 3-point win. But it really could just as easliy go the other way.

Stormers – 15 Conrad Jantjes, 14 Gio Aplon, 13 Jaque Fourie, 12 Jean de Villiers, 11 Bryan Habana, 10 Kurt Coleman, 9 Ricky Januarie, 8 Duane Vermeulen, 7 Francois Louw, 6 Schalk Burger (c), 5 Andries Bekker, 4 Rynhardt Elstadt, 3 Brok Harris, 2 Deon Fourie, 1 Wicus Blaauw
Subs: 16 Tiaan Liebenberg, 17 Frans Malherbe, 18 Stephen Kitshoff, 19 Anton van Zyl, 21 Nick Koster, 20 Dewaldt Duvenage, 22 Juan de Jongh.

Bulls – 15 Zane Kirchner, 14 Gerhard van den Heever, 13 Jaco Pretorius, 12 Wynand Olivier, 11 Bjorn Basson, 10 Morné Steyn, 9 Francois Hougaard, 8 Pierre Spies, 7 Dewald Potgieter, 6 Deon Stegmann, 5 Victor Matfield (c), 4 Danie Rossouw, 3 Werner Kruger, 2 Gary Botha, 1 Dean Greyling.
Subs: 16 Chiliboy Ralepelle, 17 Rossouw de Klerk, 18 Flip van der Merwe, 19 Derick Kuün, 20 Dustin Jinka, 21 Francois Brummer, 22 Stephan Dippenaar.


20 Comments

  • Agree on most. But I think the Brumbies will take this one. Quite uncomfortable about the Highlanders as well…

  • Comment 1, posted at 09.06.11 11:58:23 by Crock Reply
    Crock
     
  • Hmmmmmmmmm I’m going to have a good SB weekend. I have 2 differences from those above. 😉

    Hurricanes to win and Brumbies to win.

  • Comment 2, posted at 09.06.11 12:03:38 by KSA Shark © Reply
    KSA Shark ©
     
  • I actually have a feeling the Bulls are going to beat the Stormers down in the Cape.

    Looking forward to the playoffs, I have to say that if we had the pick of who to play away I would definitely choose the Blues. We’ve beaten them once already and their form is spiralling down the drain. It would definitely be a definite possibility that we could take it.

  • Comment 3, posted at 09.06.11 12:04:07 by Butchie34 Reply
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  • @Butchie34 (Comment 3) : ja – I’d also choose the Blues to play away

  • Comment 4, posted at 09.06.11 12:06:59 by robdylan Reply
    Competition Winner Administrator
    robdylan
     
  • The Brumbies can’t lose with Cipriani back at 10!

  • Comment 5, posted at 09.06.11 12:09:13 by Pokkel Reply
    Friend of SharksworldCompetition Winner Author
     
  • Is this the toughest weekend to pick or what, I definitely have 2 games picked differently and hobbling on another…

  • Comment 6, posted at 09.06.11 12:16:46 by franshark Reply
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    Franshark
     
  • @Butchie34 (Comment 3) : even the reds at this stage

  • Comment 7, posted at 09.06.11 12:19:45 by franshark Reply
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    Franshark
     
  • @franshark (Comment 7) : Reds have only lost 1, Blues are already at 3, possibly 4 after this weekend and if they lose next weekend, their confidence will be nowhere in the playoffs.

  • Comment 8, posted at 09.06.11 12:23:28 by Butchie34 Reply
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  • I have to say – cannot believe this has gone so quickly!!

  • Comment 9, posted at 09.06.11 12:28:35 by Ice Reply
    Competition Winner Ice
     
  • @Ice (Comment 9) : What has gone so quickly.

  • Comment 10, posted at 09.06.11 12:52:22 by KSA Shark © Reply

    KSA Shark ©
     
  • Doesnt matter who you pick, your chances for getting a GSP is ZERO 😈

  • Comment 11, posted at 09.06.11 13:03:40 by Jarson (AddicteD) Reply
    Competition WinnerCompetition WinnerCompetition Winner
    JarsonX
     
  • Nonu to prove his critics wrong with a blinder – 2 tries, 1 assists and multiple line breaks.

    Guess who has him at 12 in FL…

  • Comment 12, posted at 09.06.11 13:16:40 by Mole Reply

    Mole
     
  • Who`s the ref for the Bulls match?

  • Comment 13, posted at 10.06.11 05:25:56 by Original Pierre Reply
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    Original Pierre
     
  • @Original Pierre (Comment 13) : I’m not sure but I KNOW it won’t be “Not So Legoete” 🙂

    Working weekends sucks 🙁

  • Comment 14, posted at 10.06.11 05:58:35 by KSA Shark © Reply

    KSA Shark ©
     
  • @Original Pierre (Comment 13) :

    Lions v Sharks
    Marius Jonker
    Jaftha & Greef

    Stormers v Bulls
    Kaplan
    Mark Lawrence & Phillip Bosch.

    Two good teams of 3 in my opinion.

  • Comment 15, posted at 10.06.11 06:08:07 by KSA Shark © Reply

    KSA Shark ©
     
  • I’m expecting some correction from Jonker this weekend, maybe over correction, from letting almost anything go last weekend to letting nothing go this weekend.

    Expecting a game that will not be flowing, a very stop start affair that will frustrate both teams 🙁

  • Comment 16, posted at 10.06.11 06:11:29 by KSA Shark © Reply

    KSA Shark ©
     
  • @KSA Shark © (Comment 15) : Jaftha is involved in the Lions match?
    Wasn`t he the ref last year when the Lions got a result against us in the Coke Tin?

  • Comment 17, posted at 10.06.11 06:25:45 by Original Pierre Reply
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    Original Pierre
     
  • @Original Pierre (Comment 17) : I’m not sure but I do know that he is probably the best up and coming ref in SA at the moment.

    He is a DAMN good ref, no nonsense consistent ref.

  • Comment 18, posted at 10.06.11 06:58:23 by KSA Shark © Reply

    KSA Shark ©
     
  • @KSA Shark © (Comment 18) : As I recall it was just about the best display of running rugby in the CC last year.
    But I also remember we lost!

  • Comment 19, posted at 10.06.11 07:38:24 by Original Pierre Reply
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    Original Pierre
     
  • Sharks to win thats all i get in before breakfast :mrgreen:

  • Comment 20, posted at 10.06.11 08:03:52 by chaz Reply

    Chaz
     

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