robdylan

Super Rugby 2011: Round 18 preview and predictions


Written by Rob Otto (robdylan)

Posted in :Original Content, Super Rugby on 16 Jun 2011 at 15:37
Tagged with : , , ,

We’ve managed to get through 17 rounds of regular-season action and it once again all comes down to the wire in the final round. Let’s see if we can pick em!

BLUES vs HIGHLANDERS , AUCKLAND, FRI 09:35

The Blues will be too strong for the Landers, who have faded a bit in recent weeks. Expect Pat Lam’s side to put in a strong performance ahead of the play-offs and put pressure on the Crusaders for conference top spot. Blues by 12.

Blues –15 Jared Payne, 14 Joe Rokocoko, 13 Benson Stanley, 12 Luke McAlister, 11 Lachie Munro, 10 Stephen Brett, 9 Chris Smylie, 8 Peter Saili, 7 Luke Braid, 6 Jerome Kaino, 5 Ali Williams, 4 Anthony Boric, 3 John Afoa, 2 Keven Mealamu (c), 1 Charlie Faumuina.
Subs: 16 Tom McCartney, 17 Tevita Mailau, 18 Chris Lowrey, 19 Sean Polwart, 20 Alby Mathewson, 21 Winston Stanley, 22 Sherwin Stowers.

Highlanders – TBC

REBELS vs FORCE, MELBOURNE, FRI 11:40

Well, this game doesn’t really matter, does it? The Rebels are pretty shocking though and we expect the Force to win comfortably, probably by 10.

Rebels – TBC

Force – 15 Patrick Dellit, 14 Alfie Mafi, 13 Mitch Inman, 12 Rory Sidey, 11 David Smith, 10 James Stannard, 9 Brett Sheehan, 8 Richard Brown, 7 David Pocock (c), 6 Matt Hodgson, 5 Sam Wykes, 4 Ben McCalman, 3 Matt Dunning, 2 Nathan Charles, 1 Kieran Longbottom.
Subs: 16 Ben Whittaker, 17 Tetera Faulkner, 18 Tom Hockings, 19 Jono Jenkins, 20 Mark Swanepoel, 21 Willie Ripia, 22 Cameron Shepherd

CHIEFS vs REDS, HAMILTON, 07:30

Big game, but with conference top spot already sewn up, the Reds can slip up here and still be assured of qualification. That said, they’ll want to stay in the top two to avoid having to play next week and the Crusaders can still catch them if they slip up here. It’s going to be a huge battle, but I think the Reds will prevail, by 5 points. They’re too good a side not to.

Chiefs – 15 Mils Muliaina (c), 14 Lelia Masaga, 13 Save Tokula, 12 Dwayne Sweeney, 11 Stiveni Sivivatu, 10 Stephen Donald, 9 Brendon Leonard, 8 Fritz Lee, 7 Tanerau Latimer, 6 Liam Messam, 5 Romana Graham, 4 Craig Clarke, 3 Nathan White, 2 Aled de Malmanche, 1 Ben May.
Subs: 16 Hika Elliot, 17 Ben Afeaki, Culum Retallick, 18 Matt Vant Leven, 19 Tawera Kerr-Barlow, 20 Tim Nanai-Williams, 21 Jackson Willison.

Reds – TBC

CRUSADERS vs HURRICANES, WELLINGTON, SAT 09:35

A home game played away from home? The surprises just keep coming for the Crusaders and yet they somehow take them all in their stride. The Canes will put up strong resistance for the first half an hour, but I suspect the Cru will just start to pick up the pace a little now that the real business end of the competition is here. Crusaders by 7.

Crusaders – 15 Tom Marshall, 14 Brent Ward, 13 Robbie Fruean, 12 Ryan Crotty, 11 Zac Guildford, 10 Daniel Carter, 9 Andy Ellis; 8 Kieran Read (c), 7 Matt Todd, 6 George Whitelock, 5 Sam Whitelock, 4 Brad Thorn, 3 Owen Franks, 2 Corey Flynn, 1 Ben Franks.
Subs: 16 Quentin MacDonald, 17 Wyatt Crockett, 18 Luke Romano, 19 Jonathan Poff, 20 Willi Heinz, 21 Matt Berquist, 22 Tu Umaga-Marshall.

Hurricanes – 15 Cory Jane, 14 Julian Savea, 13 Alapati Leiua, 12 Ma’a Nonu, 11 Hosea Gear, 10 Aaron Cruden, 9 Piri Weepu; 8 Victor Vito, 7 Jack Lam, 6 Faifili Levave, 5 James Broadhurst, 4 Jeremy Thrush, 3 Neemia Tialata, 2 Andrew Hore (c), 1 John Schwalger.
Subs: 16 Laurence Coreltt, 17 Anthony Perenise, 18 Jason Eaton, 19 Mark Reddish, 20 Chris Eaton, 21 Jayden Hayward, 22 Richard Buckman.

WARATAHS vs BRUMBIES, SYDNEY, SAT 11:40

The one where the Saffers are all hoping for a miracle that isn’t going to come. If the Brumbies can somehow ensure that the Waratahs get no points out of this game, then the Sharks and Bulls are both through to the knock-outs already, but that simply isn’t on the cards, I fear. Waratahs by 15 and they’ll get the bonus point too.

Waratahs – 15 Kurtley Beale; 14 Lachie Turner, 13 Ryan Cross, 12 Tom Carter, 11 Afa Pakalani; 10 Daniel Halangahu, 9 Luke Burgess; 8 Dave Dennis, 7 Phil Waugh (c), 6 Dean Mumm, 5 Sitaleki Timani, 4 Pat O’Connor, 3 Al Baxter, 2 Tatafu Polota-Nau, 1 Benn Robinson.
Subs: 16 John Ulugia, 17 Jeremy Tilse, 18 Dan Vickerman, 19 Chris Alcock, 20 Hugh Perrett, 21 Josh Holmes, 22 Sosene Anese.

Brumbies – 15 Christian Lealiifano, 14 Henry Speight, 13 Tyrone Smith, 12 Pat McCabe, 11 Adam Ashley-Cooper, 10 Matt Giteau, 9 Patrick Phibbs, 8 Ita Vaea, 7 Julian Salvi, 6 Mitchell Chapman, 5 Ben Hand, 4 Peter Kimlin, 3 Ben Alexander, 2 Stephen Moore, 1 Jerry Yanuyanutawa.
Subs: 16 Anthony Hegarty, 17 Jono Owen, 18 Henry Vanderglas, 19 Tom Boidin, 20 Josh Valentine, 21 Andrew Smith, 22 Robbie Coleman.

BULLS vs SHARKS, PRETORIA, SAT 17:05

Ugh. Head versus heart stuff here, guys, but I’m afraid the head wins. Facing certain elimination if they don’t get the points, the Bulls are not going to lose at home. Bulls by 6.

Bulls – 15 Zane Kirchner, 14 Gerhard van den Heever, 13 Jaco Pretorius, 12 Wynand Olivier, 11 Bjorn Basson, 10 Morne Steyn, 9 Francois Hougaard, 8 Pierre Spies, 7 Dewald Potgieter, 6 Deon Stegmann, 5 Victor Matfield (c), 4 Bakkies Botha, 3 Werner Kruger, 2 Chiliboy Ralepelle, 1 Dean Greyling.
Subs: 16 Gary Botha, 17 Rossouw de Klerk, 18 Flip van der Merwe, 19 Danie Rossouw, 20 Fourie du Preez, 21 Francois Brummer, 22 Akona Ndungane.

Sharks –15 Patrick Lambie, 14 JP Pietersen, 13 Stefan Terblanche (c), 12 Meyer Bosman, 11 Lwazi Mvovo, 10 Frederic Michalak, 9 Charl McLeod, 8 Ryan Kankowski, 7 Jean Deysel, 6 Keegan Daniel, 5 Alistair Hargreaves, 4 Gerhard Mostert, 3 Janine du Plessis, 2 Bismarck du Plessis, 1 Tendai Mtawarira.
Subs: 16 John Smit, 17 Wiehahn Herbst, 18 Ross Skeate, 19 Willem Alberts, 20 Marcell Coetzee, 21 Adrian Jacobs, 22 Louis Ludik.

CHEETAHS vs STORMERS, BLOEMFONTEIN, SAT 19:10

The Stormers are virtually home and dry anyway, but will need a win here to ensure a top two finish. Don’t expect a great perfomance from them, but they should still have too much for the Cheetahs to handle. Stormers by 10.

Cheetahs – 15 Hennie Daniller, 14 Riaan Viljoen, 13 Robert Ebersohn, 12 Barry Geel, 11 Rayno Benjamin, 10 Sias Ebersohn, 9 Sarel Pretorius, 8 Davon Raubenheimer, 7 Ashley Johnson, 6 Johan Wessels, 5 Martin Muller, 4 Francois Uys, 3 WP Nel, 2 Adriaan Strauss (capt), 1 Coenie Oosthuizen.
Subs: 16 Ryno Barnes, 17 Lourens Adriaanse, 18 Izak van der Westhuizen, 19 Pieter Myburgh, 20 Tewis de Bruyn, 21 Corné Uys, 22 Riaan Smit.

Stormers – 15 Gio Aplon, 14 Jean de Villiers, 13 Jaque Fourie, 12 Juan de Jongh, 11 Bryan Habana, 10 Peter Grant, 9 Dewaldt Duvenage, 8 Duane Vermeulen, 7 Francois Louw, 6 Schalk Burger (c), 5 Andries Bekker, 4 Rynhardt Elstadt, 3 Brok Harris, 2 Tiaan Liebenberg, 1 Wicus Blaauw
Subs: 16 Deon Fourie, 17 Frans Malherbe, 18 Anton van Zyl, 19 Nick Koster, 2o Louis Schroeder, 21 Johann Sadie 22 Conrad Jantjes.


24 Comments

  • Agree on all the above. 🙁 Which game will be the upset?

  • Comment 1, posted at 16.06.11 15:47:17 by Jarson (AddicteD) Reply
    Competition WinnerCompetition WinnerCompetition Winner
    JarsonX
     
  • @Jarson (AddicteD) (Comment 1) : hoping for two upsets… sydney and pretoria 🙂

  • Comment 2, posted at 16.06.11 15:50:42 by robdylan Reply
    Competition Winner Administrator
    robdylan
     
  • @robdylan (Comment 2) : otherwise the sharks will be watching the rest of the SR with us on tv

  • Comment 3, posted at 16.06.11 16:28:01 by franshark Reply
    Author
    Franshark
     
  • @franshark (Comment 3) : gonna be a pretty quiet few weeks here while we wait for the Currie Cup to start

  • Comment 4, posted at 16.06.11 16:46:55 by robdylan Reply
    Competition Winner Administrator
    robdylan
     
  • @robdylan (Comment 4) : NO DON’T SAY THAT!!!!

  • Comment 5, posted at 16.06.11 16:49:52 by franshark Reply
    Author
    Franshark
     
  • disappointing that a season that started with so much promise has come down to this. Still, the door is open and the Sharks hold their own destiny in their hands. They don’t have to worry about anyone else, just beat the Bulls, and we are in the playoffs. Go Sharks!!!!!!!!!!! ❗ ❗ ❗

  • Comment 6, posted at 16.06.11 17:01:09 by Dancing Bear Reply
    Friend of Sharksworld
    Dancing Bear
     
  • @Dancing Bear (Comment 6) : yes more than we can say of previous years, always hoping and wishing for some other result to go our way, JUST DO IT SHARKS!!!

  • Comment 7, posted at 16.06.11 17:08:19 by franshark Reply
    Author
    Franshark
     
  • @franshark (Comment 7) : At the beginning of the season, I was really optimistic about the Sharks chances. I felt the Sharks had superior depth, and with the long tournament, players could be rested and rotated. We had 5 excellent front rowers that can rotate, 3 excellent locks, 5 excellent loosies, etc, etc. Unfortunately we never took the opportunities that our depth offered, and as a result certain players have been horribly overplayed, and their performances show this.

  • Comment 8, posted at 16.06.11 17:12:26 by Dancing Bear Reply
    Friend of Sharksworld
    Dancing Bear
     
  • @franshark (Comment 7) : We would have qualified for the semis in 09 if we’d beaten the Bulls in that last game. That was year before last. Plus we are only in with a shout because it is a 6 team playoff. I’m sorry but this season was a failure and a win against the Bulls won’t change that.

  • Comment 9, posted at 16.06.11 17:28:56 by war1 Reply
    Author
    war1
     
  • @war1 (Comment 9) : We needed 5 points in that match against the Bulls, which is why the Sharks abandoned all defensive structures and attacked at will. We scored the bonus point try, but also allowed the Bulls to score the same number of tries and they actually kicked some penalties. I don’t think the Sharks attempted a single penalty in that match.

  • Comment 10, posted at 16.06.11 17:33:15 by Dancing Bear Reply
    Friend of Sharksworld
    Dancing Bear
     
  • @robdylan (Comment 2) : A lot of us do 🙂

  • Comment 11, posted at 16.06.11 17:41:44 by Jarson (AddicteD) Reply
    Competition WinnerCompetition WinnerCompetition Winner
    JarsonX
     
  • @Dancing Bear (Comment 10) : Doesn’t change the fact that we could have qualified for the semis from that match.

  • Comment 12, posted at 16.06.11 17:43:40 by war1 Reply
    Author
    war1
     
  • @war1 (Comment 12) : Not arguing that, I just felt we went into that match with completely the wrong game plan. We should have secured the win then gone for the BP.

  • Comment 13, posted at 16.06.11 17:47:21 by Dancing Bear Reply
    Friend of Sharksworld
    Dancing Bear
     
  • Duvenage out injured. 😐

  • Comment 14, posted at 16.06.11 19:46:08 by McLovin Reply

    McLovin
     
  • @Jarson (AddicteD) (Comment 1) : I’m in okayish shape. Only one outcome different.

    I have the Sharks winning.

  • Comment 15, posted at 17.06.11 05:49:26 by KSA Shark © Reply

    KSA Shark ©
     
  • @Dancing Bear (Comment 8) : So true. 🙁

  • Comment 16, posted at 17.06.11 05:51:19 by KSA Shark © Reply

    KSA Shark ©
     
  • @McLovin (Comment 14) : It won’t make any difference McJan will do what is needed to help you guys to a comfortable win.

  • Comment 17, posted at 17.06.11 05:53:58 by KSA Shark © Reply

    KSA Shark ©
     
  • @war1 (Comment 9) : we had to win and score a bonus point we secured the bp but lost with 1 point. I believe if we only had to win we would have. But yes why are’nd we just not there? So close but yet so far

  • Comment 18, posted at 17.06.11 06:00:56 by franshark Reply
    Author
    Franshark
     
  • @KSA Shark © (Comment 15) : good to hear that 🙂 me too, sharks to win

  • Comment 19, posted at 17.06.11 06:02:20 by franshark Reply
    Author
    Franshark
     
  • @Dancing Bear (Comment 8) : I was very optimistic untill I saw them at Newlands in that Neo Africa series.

    My mood took a severe downward turn back then.

    But hey we`ve got reasons to be optimistic.
    Our poor showing in the Super Series means we`ll lose less players to the bokke so we might be competative against the FS and Lions in the CC !!

    Roll on CC! :mrgreen:

  • Comment 20, posted at 17.06.11 06:10:23 by Original Pierre Reply
    Author
    Original Pierre
     
  • Chiefs vs Reds is the most difficult call to make this weekend.

  • Comment 21, posted at 17.06.11 06:44:05 by Original Pierre Reply
    Author
    Original Pierre
     
  • @Original Pierre (Comment 21) : Went with Reds, but I have this feeling that it was a mistake 😕

  • Comment 22, posted at 17.06.11 07:13:25 by Jarson (AddicteD) Reply
    Competition WinnerCompetition WinnerCompetition Winner
    JarsonX
     
  • @KSA Shark © (Comment 17) : Broken hand. 🙂

  • Comment 23, posted at 17.06.11 07:54:44 by McLovin Reply

    McLovin
     
  • @McLovin (Comment 23) : :mrgreen:

  • Comment 24, posted at 17.06.11 08:08:22 by KSA Shark © Reply

    KSA Shark ©
     

Add Comment

You must be logged in to post a comment.