robdylan

Super Rugby 2012: Round 4 preview and predictions


Written by Rob Otto (robdylan)

Posted in :Original Content, Super Rugby on 15 Mar 2012 at 08:00
Tagged with : ,

Our correct pick percentage is starting to creep up, with 4 games out of 7 yielding the results we expected in round 3. That’s still not very good, but it moves us to above 50% for the first time! Overall, though, we’ve only got 9 right out of 21 so there’s still a lot of improving to do! On to round 4…

Chiefs v Brumbies 16 March at 08:35

The Chiefs have been one of the surprise packages of the tournament so far, having bounced back strongly after losing their opener to the Highlanders. Jake White’s Baby Brumbies needed a right old helping hand from the ref last week to squeak home against the lowly Cheetahs, so the smart money surely must be on them taking a smack away against one of New Zealand’s strongest teams? Chiefs by 12, I say.

Chiefs: 15. Robbie Robinson, 14. Richard Kahui, 13. Jackson Willison, 12. Sonny Bill Williams, 11. Tim Nanai-Williams, 10. Aaron Cruden, 9. Tawera Kerr-Barlow, 8. Liam Messam, 7. Sam Cane, 6. Tanerau Latimer, 5. Brodie Retallick, 4. Craig Clarke (Captain), 3. Ben Tameifuna, 2. Mahonri Schwalger, 1. Sona Taumalolo
Replacements: 16. Marcel Cummings-Toone, 17. Josh Hohneck, 18. Kane Thompson, 19. Scott Waldrom, 20. Augustine Pulu, 21. Martino Nemani / Andrew Horrell

Brumbies: 15. Jesse Mogg, 14. Pat McCabe, 13. Andrew Smith, 12. Joseph Tomane, 11. Henry Speight, 10. Christian Lealiifano, 9. Ian Prior, 8. Ben Mowen (Captain), 7. Michael Hooper, 6. Scott Fardy, 5. Peter Kimlin, 4. Leon Power, 3. Dan Palmer, 2. Stephen Moore, 1. Ben Alexander
Replacements: 16. Anthony Hegarty, 17. Ruaidhri Murphy, 18. Sam Carter, 19. Ita Vaea, 20. Nic White, 21. Zack Holmes, 22. Cam Crawford

DHL Stormers v Blues 16 March at 19:10

This should be a mouth-wateringly good contest, with both sides able to play exciting, attacking rugby (even if the Stormers seldom choose to these days). The Blues put in a huge effort to win at Loftus last week, but started to look like they might be running out of puff towards the end of the game, letting the Bulls in for two late tries. The suspension of Rene Ranger will also unsettle them. The Stormers, in contrast, have Peter Grant back and are presumably well rested after their bye. Provided it doesn’t take the home side too long to find their rhythm, they should probably have too much for the Blues. We’ll go with Stormers by 5.

Stormers: 15. Johan Pietersen, 14. Gio Aplon, 13. Juan de Jongh, 12. Jean de Villiers (Captain), 11. Bryan Habana, 10. Peter Grant, 9. Dewaldt Duvenage, 8. Nick Koster, 7. Duane Vermeulen, 6. Siya Kolisi, 5. Andries Bekker, 4. Eben Etzebeth, 3. Brok Harris, 2. Tiaan Liebenberg, 1. Steven Kitshoff
Replacements: 16. Siyabonga Ntubeni, 17. Frans Malherbe, 18. De Kock Steenkamp, 19. Nizaam Carr, 20. Louis Schreuder, 21. Gary Van Aswegen, 22. Gerhard van den Heever

Blues: 15. Lachie Munro, 14. David Raikuna, 13. Benson Stanley, 12. Ma’a Nonu, 11. Sherwin Stowers, 10. Gareth Anscombe, 9. Piri Weepu, 8. Chris Lowrey, 7. Daniel Braid, 6. Luke Braid, 5. Ali Williams, 4. Filo Paulo, 3. Charlie Faumuina, 2. Keven Mealamu (Captain), 1. Pauliasi Manu
Replacements: 16. Tom McCartney, 17. Tevita Mailau, 18. Brad Mika, 19. Peter Saili, 20. Alby Mathewson, 21. Hadleigh Parkes, 22. Ben Lam

Hurricanes v Highlanders 17 March at 08:35

This is a tough one to call indeed! While it’s pretty tough to find any of the New Zealand teams that doesn’t look the business at this stage, both the Highlanders and the Hurricanes are on top form and there’s going to be a real scrap to take the points on offer this weekend. The Canes return from their tour boasting two scalps, while the Landers are unbeaten and currently top the New Zealand conference. It’s going to be close, but I think the Highlanders are going to sneak this one, by around 3 points.

Hurricanes: 15 Andre Taylor, 14 Cory Jane, 13 Conrad Smith (captain), 12 Tim Bateman, 11 Julian Savea, 10 Beauden Barrett, 9 TJ Perenara, 8 Victor Vito, 7 Jack Lam, 6 Faifili Levave, 5 Jason Eaton, 4 Jeremy Thrush, 3 Jeffery Toomaga-Allen, 2 Dane Coles, 1 Ben May.
Replacements: 16 Motu Matu’u, 17 Michael Bent, 18 James Broadhurst, 19 Brad Shields, 20 Chris Eaton, 21 Daniel Kirkpatrick, 22 Charlie Ngatai.

Highlanders: TBA

Waratahs v Force 17 March at 10:40

Aussie derbies are never easy to call, because they tend to be dull, low-scoring affairs. The Tahs have again this season failed to live up to their pre-tournament hype, winning only once in three outings to date. The Force, though, continue to be shockingly bad and have only a single point to show for their efforts over the last three rounds, leaving them firmly at the bottom of the combined log. Don’t expect this to be pretty, but the Tahs will win by around 9.

Waratahs: 15. Bernard Foley, 14. Tom Kingston, 13. Rob Horne, 12. Berrick Barnes, 11. Adam Ashley-Cooper, 10. Daniel Halangahu (Captain), 9. Sarel Pretorius, 8. Tevita Metuisela, 7. Jono Jenkins, 6. Dave Dennis, 5. Kane Douglas, 4. Dean Mumm, 3. Sekope Kepu, 2. Tatafu Polota-Nau, 1. Benn Robinson
Replacements: 16. John Ulugia, 17. Paddy Ryan, 18. Sitaleki Timani, 19. Lopeti Timani, 20. Chris Alcock, 21. Brendan McKibbin, 22. Tom Carter

Force:15. David Harvey ,14. Samu Wara, 13. Will Tupou, 12. Rory Sidey,11. Alfie Mafi,10. James Stannard,9. Brett Sheehan,8. Matt Hodgson,7. David Pocock (Captain),6. Angus Cottrell,5. Nathan Sharpe, 4. Sam Wykes,3. Salesi Ma’afu , 2. Nathan Charles, 1. Pek Cowan
Replacements: 16. Ben Whittaker, 17. Kieran Longbottom, 18. Phoenix Battye, 19. Richard Brown, 20. Justin Turner, 21. Ben Seymour, 22. Winston Stanley.

Sharks v Reds 17 March at 17:05

The Reds have made a fair few changes for this match – and were made to look rather ordinary by the Rebels for large patches of their round 3 derby. That said, the defending champs are thus far unbeaten and would relish the opportunity to go four from four at this early stage, not to mention picking up their first win in Durban since 2002. These sides didn’t play each other last year, making it hard to make any sort of a call based on form. For the Sharks, the danger lies in the dreaded “one foot on the plane” syndrome, which tends to nail them before each tour, regardless of how much they say it isn’t going to. We don’t know yet whether key men like Bismarck du Plessis and Keegan Daniel are going to be fit, but if they are, I suspect the Sharks will have the fire-power to sneak a home win. Sharks by 3, but only if their discipline holds!

Reds: 15 Rod Davies, 14 Dom Shipperley, 13 Ben Tapuai, 12 Mike Harris, 11 Digby Ioane, 10 Ben Lucas, 9 Will Genia, 8 Radike Samo, 7 Beau Robinson, 6 Scott Higginbotham, 5 Van Humphries, 4 James Horwill (capt), 3 James Slipper, 2 James Hanson, 1 Greg Holmes.
Replacements: 16 Saia Faingaa, 17 Ben Daley, 18 Rob Simmons, 19 Jake Schatz, 20 Liam Gill, 21 Nick Frisby, 22 Luke Morahan.

Sharks: TBA

Rebels v Toyota Cheetahs 18 March at 07:10

Ah, the poor bloody Cheetahs came so close in Canberra last week, only to be denied at the death. Surely they must bounce back against the Rebels? The new boys from Melbourne are, however, never quite as bad as you expect them to be and can always be counted on to give a good account of themselves; that said, I wonder if their exertions against the Reds last week won’t maybe count against them here? The Cheetahs simply have to win this one to not fall further out of contetion and I believe they’ll do so. Cheetahs by around 7 points.

Rebels: TBA

Cheetahs: 15. Hennie Daniller, 14. Cameron Jacobs, 13. Robert Ebersohn, 12. Andries Strauss, 11. Willie Le Roux, 10. Johan Goosen, 9. Tewis de Bruyn, 8. Davon Raubenheimer, 7. Philip Van der Walt, 6. Heinrich Brussow, 5. Izak van der Westhuizen, 4. George Earle, 3. WP Nel, 2. Adriaan Strauss (Captain), 1. Coenie Oosthuizen
Replacements: 16. Hercu Liebenberg, 17. Trevor Nyakane, 18. Justin Downey, 19. Ashley Johnson, 20. Piet van Zyl, 21. Sias Ebersohn, 22. Rayno Benjamin


14 Comments

  • Just an FYI . Isaia Toeava will be out until round 9 …

  • Comment 1, posted at 15.03.12 08:07:59 by Zibbie Reply
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    Zibbie
     
  • Same picks here. 😕

  • Comment 2, posted at 15.03.12 08:10:40 by JarsonX Reply
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  • @Zibbie (Comment 1) : NO! He’s in my squad 🙁

  • Comment 3, posted at 15.03.12 08:18:01 by robdylan Reply
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  • @robdylan (Comment 3) : Im feeling a bit doff for trading out Wulf who apparently will be back next week ..

    should have kept him in hindsight hahah

  • Comment 4, posted at 15.03.12 08:27:35 by Zibbie Reply
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    Zibbie
     
  • I had the same picks except I have a feeling the Rebels will take it over the Cheetahs, although I would love to be wrong.

  • Comment 5, posted at 15.03.12 08:31:43 by StevieS Reply
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    StevieS
     
  • @Zibbie (Comment 4) : I’m already so far out of contention it’s frightening. Need the Sharks to start scoring BIG wins 🙂

  • Comment 6, posted at 15.03.12 08:34:35 by robdylan Reply
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  • @robdylan (Comment 6) :

    Same ! i just need Halangahu to score like 500 points this round then ill be sorted 😀

  • Comment 7, posted at 15.03.12 08:36:01 by Zibbie Reply
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  • No real bankers this round – I might have to spend another bye on LMS in order to win my shades 😎

  • Comment 8, posted at 15.03.12 10:36:50 by vanmartin Reply
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    vanmartin
     
  • Should we be a little more worried about the Reds?

    Reds have so many lineout options in that pack, our lineouts have been a weakness this season.
    Add Harris who`s been lethal with that boot, our tendency to transgress and we could be heading for disappointment here.

    Wish we could get a team announcement.

  • Comment 9, posted at 15.03.12 12:12:42 by Original Pierre Reply
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  • @Original Pierre (Comment 9) : Positive thoughts only :mrgreen:

  • Comment 10, posted at 15.03.12 12:29:06 by JarsonX Reply
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  • Congratulations Sharksworld. Best round yet! 6 out of 7 aint bad, and the margins weren’t too far out either

  • Comment 11, posted at 18.03.12 21:46:00 by Die Kriek Reply

     
  • @Die Kriek (Comment 11) : ha ha 🙂 Just the Foce upset that we got wrong and let’s face it – NOBODY called that one right

  • Comment 12, posted at 18.03.12 22:00:14 by robdylan Reply
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  • @robdylan (Comment 12) : I dont want to talk about that one! My LMS is over thanks to that game!

  • Comment 13, posted at 19.03.12 06:34:44 by Die Kriek Reply

     
  • @robdylan (Comment 12) : Someone got the Force win spot on.

    CSB and I had a good laugh at the guy who picked the Force on LMS. Seems it was actually a stroke of genius that paid off.

  • Comment 14, posted at 19.03.12 06:46:00 by KSA Shark © Reply

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