robdylan

Super Rugby 2013: Round 14 preview and predictions


Written by Rob Otto (robdylan)

Posted in :Original Content, Super Rugby on 16 May 2013 at 10:25
Tagged with : ,

Just a few more weeks to go and already there appears to be a divide emerging between those teams playing for a trophy this year – and those playing only for pride.

Game 1: Hurricanes v Chiefs (Friday 09h35 SA time)

Of the three conferences, the New Zealand one is probably still the most open, with only the Highlanders completely out of contention. The Canes are approaching “must win every match ” territory though and could do themselves a power of good should they knock over the Chiefs here. I’m going against teh grain with this one, but I’m going to back the home side for an early upset in the rond and say Canes to squeak it by 3 points.

Hurricanes: 15 Andre Taylor, 14 Alapati Leiua, 13 Reynold Lee-Lo, 12 Tim Bateman, 11 Julian Savea, 10 Beauden Barrett, 9 TJ Perenara, 8 Victor Vito (captain), 7 Jack Lam, 6 Faifili Levave, 5 Jason Eaton, 4 Jeremy Thrush, 3 Ben May, 2 Ash Dixon, 1 Ben Franks.
Replacements: 16 Reggie Goodes, 17 Jeffery Toomaga-Allen, 18 James Broadhurst, 19 Brad Shields, 20 Chris Smylie, 21 Tusi Pisi, 22 James Marshall.

Chiefs: 15 Robbie Robinson, 14 Lelia Masaga, 13 Charlie Ngatai, 12 Bundee Aki, 11 Asaeli Tikoirotuma, 10 Aaron Cruden, 9 Tawera Kerr-Barlow, 8 Matt Vant Leven, 7 Tanerau Latimer, 6 Liam Messam, 5 Brodie Retallick, 4 Craig Clarke (captain), 3 Ben Afeaki, 2 Hika Elliot, 1 Pauliasi Manu.
Replacements: 16 Mahonri Schwalger, 17 Ben Tameifuna, 18 Michael Fitzgerald, 19 Nick Crosswell, 20 Augustine Pulu, 21 Dan Waenga, 22 Save Tokula.

Game 2: Rebels v Stormers (Friday 11h40 SA time)

Neither of these sides looks particularly likely to feature come play-off time, but will be going all out to ensure their fans have something to shout about. The Rebels are a better side than a certain result in Durban would suggest and they have run better teams than the Stormers very close this year. That said, I don’t think the men from the Cape have fallen quite far enough that they’d really be in danger of losing here, so we’ll go with the Stormers to prevail by 5 points.

Rebels: 15 Jason Woodward, 14 Tom English, 13 Mitch Inman, 12 Rory Sidey, 11 Lachlan Mitchell, 10 Bryce Hegarty, 9 Nic Stirzaker, 8 Scott Higginbotham (captain), 7 Scott Fuglistaller, 6 Jarrod Saffy, 5 Cadeyrn Neville, 4 Hugh Pyle, 3 Laurie Weeks, 2 Ged Robinson, 1 Nic Henderson.
Replacements: 16 Shota Horie, 17 Paul Alo-Emile, 18 Luke Jones, 19 Gareth Delve, 20 Jordy Reid, 21 Nick Phipps, 22 Kimami Sitauti.

Stormers: 15 Joe Pietersen, 14 Gio Aplon, 13 Juan de Jongh, 12 Jean de Villiers (captain), 11 Bryan Habana, 10 Elton Jantjies, 9 Louis Schreuder, 8 Nizaam Carr, 7 Siya Kolisi, 6 Deon Fourie, 5 Andries Bekker, 4 Eben Etzebeth, 3 Pat Cilliers, 2 Scarra Ntubeni, 1 Steven Kitshoff.
Replacements: 16 Martin Bezuidenhout, 17 Frans Malherbe, 18 Gerbrandt Grobler, 19 Don Armand, 20 Nic Groom, 21 Gary van Aswegen, 22 Gerhard van den Heever.

Game 3: Force v Sharks (Friday 13h45 SA time)

I simply cannot entertain the possibility of the Sharks losing for a sixth week in succession. They’ve only once in their history failed to put the Force away… that’s not going to happen this week. Sharks by 12, FTW!

Western Force: TBA

Sharks: 15 Riaan Viljoen, 14 Odwa Ndungane, 13 JP Pietersen, 12 Meyer Bosman, 11 Lwazi Mvovo, 10 Patrick Lambie, 9 Charl McLeod, 8 Keegan Daniel (Captain), 7 Willem Alberts, 6 Marcell Coetzee, 5 Franco van der Merwe, 4 Anton Bresler, 3 Jannie du Plessis, 2 Kyle Cooper, 1 JC Janse van Rensburg.
Replacements: 16 Monde Hadebe, 17 Wiehahn Herbst, 18 Pieter-Steph du Toit, 19 Tera Mtembu, 20 Jean Deysel, 21 Tian Meyer, 22 Piet Lindeque.

Game 4: Crusaders v Blues (Saturday 09h35 SA time)

Simply put, whoever wins here emerges as a strong contender for the Kiwi conference…. whoever doesn’t probably won’t make the knock-outs. My money is on the Crusaders to prevail at home, by 6 points.

Crusaders: 15 Tom Taylor, 14 Tom Marshall, 13 Robbie Fruean, 12 Ryan Crotty, 11 Zac Guildford, 10 Dan Carter, 9 Andy Ellis, 8 Kieran Read (captain), 7 Matt Todd, 6 George Whitelock, 5 Sam Whitelock, 4 Luke Romano, 3 Owen Franks, 2 Corey Flynn, 1 Wyatt Crockett.
Replacements: 16 Ben Funnell, 17 Joe Moody, 18 Dominic Bird, 19 Luke Whitelock, 20 Willi Heinz, 21 Adam Whitelock, 22 Israel Dagg.

Blues: 15 Charles Piutau, 14 Frank Halai, 13 Rene Ranger, 12 Jackson Willison, 11 George Moala, 10 Chris Noakes, 9 Piri Weepu, 8 Peter Saili, 7 Luke Braid, 6 Steven Luatua, 5 Ali Williams (captain), 4 Culum Retallick, 3 Angus Ta’avao, 2 Keven Mealamu, 1 Tim Perry.
Replacements: 16 Quentin MacDonald, 17 Sam Prattley, 18 Anthony Boric, 19 Brendon O’Connor, 20 Jamison Gibson-Park, 21 Baden Kerr, 22 Francis Saili.

Game 5: Waratahs v Brumbies (Saturday 11h40 SA time)

The Tahs are playing a desperate game of catch-up and really need a win at home to keep their chances alive. Jake White’s Brumbies have set the pace this season, but the Tahs are in form and also enjoyed a bye to help them get over their travel from SA. The Brumbies are similarly rested, though, meaning both sides will probably start a little flat. An intriguing contest awaits, which I see the Waratahs winning by 3 points.

Waratahs: 15 Israel Folau, 14 Cam Crawford, 13 Adam Ashley-Cooper, 12 Rob Horne, 11 Drew Mitchell, 10 Bernard Foley, 9 Brendan McKibbin, 8 Wycliff Palu, 7 Michael Hooper, 6 Dave Dennis, 5 Kane Douglas, 4 Sitaleki Timani, 3 Paddy Ryan, 2 Tatafu Polota-Nau, 1 Benn Robinson.
Replacements: 16 John Ulugia, 17 Sekope Kepu, 18 Will Skelton, 19 Mitchell Chapman, 20 Matt Lucas, 21 Berrick Barnes, 22 Peter Betham.

Brumbies: 15 Jesse Mogg, 14 Henry Speight, 13 Tevita Kuridrani, 12 Christian Lealiifano, 11 Joe Tomane, 10 Matt Toomua, 9 Nic White, 8 Ben Mowen, 7 George Smith, 6 Peter Kimlin, 5 Sam Carter, 4 Scott Fardy, 3 Ben Alexander, 2 Stephen Moore, 1 Scott Sio.
Replacements: 16 Siliva Siliva, 17 Ruan Smith, 18 Fotu Auelua, 19 Colby Faingaa, 20 Ian Prior, 21 Robbie Coleman, 22 Pat McCabe.

Game 6: Bulls v Highlanders (Saturday 17h05 SA time)

Ah this one is a breeze to call. The Bulls are going to walk it. Bulls by 20.

Bulls: 15 Jürgen Visser, 14 Akona Ndungane, 13 JJ Engelbrecht, 12 Jan Serfontein, 11 Lionel Mapoe, 10 Morné Steyn, 9 Francois Hougaard, 8 Pierre Spies (captain), 7 Dewald Potgieter, 6 Deon Stegmann, 5 Juandre Kruger, 4 Flip van der Merwe, 3 Frik Kirsten, 2 Chiliboy Ralepelle, 1 Morné Mellett.
Replacements: 16 Callie Visagie, 17 Werner Kruger, 18 Grant Hattingh, 19 Arno Botha, 20 Jano Vermaak, 21 Louis Fouché, 22 Bjorn Basson.

Highlanders: TBA

Game 7: Cheetahs v Reds (Saturday 19h10 SA time)

I’m afraid the dream ends this weekend for the Cheetahs. I simply don’t see them having the manpower or the resolve to beat the Reds, meaning the Aussies will win by around 10 points.

Cheetahs: 15 Hennie Daniller, 14 Willie le Roux, 13 Johann Sadie, 12 Robert Ebersohn, 11 Raymond Rhule, 10 Elgar Watts, 9 Piet van Zyl, 8 Philip van der Walt, 7 Pieter Labuschagne, 6 Heinrich Brüssow, 5 Francois Uys, 4 Lodewyk de Jager, 3 Lourens Adriaanse, 2 Adriaan Strauss (captain), 1 Coenie Oosthuizen.
Replacements: 16 Ryno Barnes, 17 Trevor Nyakane, 18 Rynhardt Landman, 19 Johannes Prinsloo, 20 Sarel Pretorius, 21 Riaan Smit, 22 Ryno Benjamin.

Reds: TBA


15 Comments

  • sharks by 14 pt i have 3k on game which will get me my cash back from the last 2 games lol. all the best to all the guys on tour.

  • Comment 1, posted at 16.05.13 10:44:31 by steve haag Reply
     
  • agree with every pick went for a draw with the tahs vs brumbies game on superbru

  • Comment 2, posted at 16.05.13 10:55:06 by Poisy Reply
    Author
    Poisy
     
  • @steve haag (Comment 1) : You are more brave than I am with 14. Perhaps by 5 !!!

  • Comment 3, posted at 16.05.13 10:58:16 by DaveB Reply

    DaveB
     
  • My prediction:
    Although i would love a Sharks win, it’s not going to get any easier for the Durban outfit. They’re thoroughly down in the dumps and any hint of a winning culture from 2012 has been eradicated with a slew of injuries and poor personal performances across the team. Especially from those in leadership positions. The only way they can turn that around is to be so desperate to win that they play like men possessed as if that was their last game. Alas, my suspicion is that many players are simply waiting for the new broom (in John Smit) to sweep the coaching department clean. Also with so many Lions players plying their mercenary trade for the Sharks this year, you simply can’t count on them to be desperate enough to restore the pride of the Sharks jersey. The Force haven’t looked bad this year and they’ll know exactly where to attack the Sharks: around the fringes of the ruck where the defense is weakest. We can probably expect more turnovers as the Sharks simply seem incapable of protecting their ball carriers anymore. The Sharks have showed us all season that their pack is their strong point and that they can score tries from set pieces – and I would back them to win in this department if weren’t for the fact that Plumtree has again selected tired and out-of-form players to start ahead of those who were showing some promise. Nope, I’m afraid I’m going to give it to the Force to win on their home ground.

  • Comment 4, posted at 16.05.13 11:05:21 by CapeShark Reply
    Author
    The Great Couch Shark
     
  • @steve haag (Comment 1) : A brave bet Steve but one that could pay off handsomely for you if the Sharks shock their critics.

  • Comment 5, posted at 16.05.13 11:07:38 by CapeShark Reply
    Author
    The Great Couch Shark
     
  • I recon the Sharks are actually in with a big chance, especially what happened this week, I think it brought them closer 😀

  • Comment 6, posted at 16.05.13 11:13:19 by Uli Reply
    Valued Sharksworld Supporter
    Uli Boelie
     
  • @CapeShark (Comment 4) : Which tired out of form players should he drop ?

  • Comment 7, posted at 16.05.13 11:30:18 by DaveB Reply

    DaveB
     
  • I guess the Sharks should win by 8, may the force be with you and behind you on the scoreboard. Waratahs had their best game last week and it was beautiful, brumbies by 6 but then again my global position on Superbru shows that I know nothing.
    Sharks groete

  • Comment 8, posted at 16.05.13 11:35:16 by TheLegend Reply
    Competition Winner
    TheLegend
     
  • @DaveB (Comment 7) : http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=NRIr9MNmCwU 🙂

  • Comment 9, posted at 16.05.13 11:58:56 by CapeShark Reply
    Author
    The Great Couch Shark
     
  • @CapeShark (Comment 9) :

    Love it, loved the movie!

  • Comment 10, posted at 16.05.13 13:50:44 by Pokkel Reply
    Friend of SharksworldCompetition Winner Author
     
  • Our predictions differ quite a bit… I anyone wants, they can check out my predictions: http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=CbD-2aQQY5M

  • Comment 11, posted at 16.05.13 13:56:16 by David12246 Reply

    Apollo
     
  • @Uli (Comment 6) : Certainly hope so…

  • Comment 12, posted at 16.05.13 14:33:02 by David12246 Reply

    Apollo
     
  • @TheLegend (Comment 8) : my favourit Sharks greeting is this…

    “Haaai”

    🙂

  • Comment 13, posted at 16.05.13 14:51:43 by robdylan Reply
    Competition Winner Administrator
    robdylan
     
  • Maybe this is my heart and not my brain, but here we go:

    Sharks to win with the 4 tries.
    Stormers to win
    Bulls and Cheetahs to loose without any bonus points.
    Basically al the away teams winning this weekend.

    End result:
    Bulls = 41
    Cheetahs = 37
    Sharks = 34
    Stormers = 34

    Noticeable we will only be 7 points behind the Bulls (2 games against them), therefore controlling the possibility to end up above them on the log. Cheetahs to lose one more game either against the Stormers / Bulls.

    I can still see us reaching the quarter finals.
    😉

  • Comment 14, posted at 17.05.13 00:55:37 by BluffShark Reply

    BluffShark
     
  • @BluffShark (Comment 14) : I like your optimism but I don’t think the Bulls are going to lose against the Highlanders.

  • Comment 15, posted at 17.05.13 02:32:03 by MysticShark Reply
    Competition Winner
    MysticShark
     

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